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EURUSD

  • #1,038,181
  • Nov 24, 2015 6:52am Nov 24, 2015 6:52am
not worried about this noise. hopefully GDP can give the push needed toward 1.07. entry is 0617
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,038,182
  • Nov 24, 2015 6:54am Nov 24, 2015 6:54am
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
not worried about this noise. hopefully GDP can give the push needed toward 1.07
Or Turkey and Russia will
  • #1,038,183
  • Nov 24, 2015 6:55am Nov 24, 2015 6:55am
Here is some quantitative data about the upcoming show: in EURUSD (eurusd_vol.pdf) we
get a 0.24% 15M candle (or 25ish pips at todays rate) on average. The
largest seen is above 1% in 2008 (135ish pips). USDJPY (usdjpy_vol,pdf) is more fun, we
get a little larger candles on average 0.26%, but even largest candle
is smaller than the one in EURUSD. These numbers say nothing about
direction, neither in short term nor in longer term (ie how the data
can change 'trend'). The other files, with date, show the day's PA on GDP day.
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf usdjpy_vol.pdf   6 KB | 272 downloads
File Type: pdf eurusd_vol.pdf   6 KB | 304 downloads
File Type: pdf 2015-10-29.pdf   13 KB | 236 downloads
File Type: pdf 2015-03-27.pdf   12 KB | 275 downloads
File Type: pdf 2015-04-29.pdf   12 KB | 228 downloads
File Type: pdf 2015-05-29.pdf   12 KB | 231 downloads
File Type: pdf 2015-06-24.pdf   13 KB | 251 downloads
File Type: pdf 2015-07-30.pdf   13 KB | 222 downloads
File Type: pdf 2015-08-27.pdf   13 KB | 219 downloads
File Type: pdf 2015-09-25.pdf   12 KB | 257 downloads
  • #1,038,184
  • Nov 24, 2015 6:58am Nov 24, 2015 6:58am
Quoting buaksam
Here is some quantitative data about the upcoming show: in EURUSD (eurusd_vol.pdf) we get a 0.24% 15M candle (or 25ish pips at todays rate) on average. The largest seen is above 1% in 2008 (135ish pips). USDJPY (usdjpy_vol,pdf) is more fun, we get a little larger candles on average 0.26%, but even largest candle is smaller than the one in EURUSD. These numbers say nothing about direction, neither in short term nor in longer term (ie how the data can change 'trend'). The other files, with date, show the day's PA on GDP day. {image} {image} {image}...
How to make a trade decision base on those quantitative data
  • #1,038,185
  • Nov 24, 2015 7:03am Nov 24, 2015 7:03am
Quoting MaxDoom
DAX is heading down to that zone again, earlier it provided a quick reaction and a good trade {image}
long on DAX stop currently below the S3
  • #1,038,186
  • Nov 24, 2015 7:04am Nov 24, 2015 7:04am
Testing H4 resistance.. will it break?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 24 KB
Consistency.
  • #1,038,187
  • Nov 24, 2015 7:10am Nov 24, 2015 7:10am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} If so, sell EURUSD bet the farm w/o hesitation and be a billionaire
Lol only inside information
  • #1,038,188
  • Nov 24, 2015 7:13am Nov 24, 2015 7:13am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} stops above 57 (risking -12) ... will see top-bottom = 50 pips ...
-12
  • #1,038,189
  • Nov 24, 2015 7:15am Nov 24, 2015 7:15am
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
not worried about this noise. hopefully GDP can give the push needed toward 1.07. entry is 0617
No stop losses I case of spike / flush like European session
  • #1,038,190
  • Nov 24, 2015 7:19am Nov 24, 2015 7:19am
Quoting gatorinla
i missed this.. in one h.. if it's a better than expected number. eu should be weighted. if it's better than expected, and it goes up. it's probably a tech bounce. {image}
I woke up and my long is still intact. Looks like they never released a statement? Or at least nothing to write home about.
Back from the dead * ding fries are done *
  • #1,038,191
  • Nov 24, 2015 7:19am Nov 24, 2015 7:19am
Nearing daily resistance and weekly pivot. Might drop back down.
Consistency.
  • #1,038,192
  • Nov 24, 2015 7:20am Nov 24, 2015 7:20am
Lets clear some stops then again.
  • #1,038,193
  • Nov 24, 2015 7:21am Nov 24, 2015 7:21am
Quoting janpec1000
Lets clear some stops then again.
Weird that GU is going down...something's odd
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #1,038,194
  • Nov 24, 2015 7:22am Nov 24, 2015 7:22am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} How to make a trade decision base on those quantitative data
Consider it as an input to the trading decision: if you think that as a result of the announcement the EURUSD is going up temporarily you could sell current price + 0.25% (anywhere up to about current +1.0 if there is a huge surprise). Above 1.0% you'd know that you are wrong or more precisely my data has no instance of a bigger move. One could dig deeper, add any other indis, numbers whatever you trust with your experience, but that would assume a fairly complete model of trading, like how much do you expect the prices to move today...
  • #1,038,195
  • Nov 24, 2015 7:23am Nov 24, 2015 7:23am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Weird that GU is going down...something's odd
below 51067 things will be ugly for GU...
do not stand out in the open with gun ;stand in the bushes with knife..
  • #1,038,196
  • Nov 24, 2015 7:25am Nov 24, 2015 7:25am
Quoting countdown
{quote} below 51067 things will be ugly for GU...
If good GDP, goodbye GU towards 1,496x and then to hell...time will tell

I'm still looking for some buys before a move down
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #1,038,197
  • Nov 24, 2015 7:26am Nov 24, 2015 7:26am
Sold EU below R1

latest gdp est 2.1
  • #1,038,198
  • Nov 24, 2015 7:27am Nov 24, 2015 7:27am
Quoting yumademe
Testing H4 resistance.. will it break? {image}
I think it will....
  • #1,038,199
  • Nov 24, 2015 7:28am Nov 24, 2015 7:28am
[email protected] daily R1. stop now BE
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: trad33.JPG Size: 56 KB
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #1,038,200
  • Nov 24, 2015 7:28am Nov 24, 2015 7:28am
Quoting cspip
{quote} I think it will....
Still holding. I think its having a hard time... but hoping it will also!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 24 KB
Consistency.
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