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  • #1,036,341
  • Nov 15, 2015 1:54am Nov 15, 2015 1:54am
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
{quote} Nothing in the markets is for sure.
Hahaha..Yes you are right. I'm willing to eat my hat if she goes North on Monday .
  • #1,036,342
  • Nov 15, 2015 2:28am Nov 15, 2015 2:28am
I think this attack will probably have no effect on EURUSD exchange rate.... maybe only if Mario Draghi would have been been killed in the attack, that would have brought uncertainty regarding ECB policy, cause it seems this is the only thing that matters on EURO value. So wherever EURUSD was going before the attack will go after.
  • #1,036,343
  • Nov 15, 2015 2:36am Nov 15, 2015 2:36am
This attack might have an massive impact for the longer term..

Instantly for now the attack will not directly affect the markets that much. Still, remember 911 in New York. A foreign country based terrorist group attacked USA. As a member of Nato the article 5 comes into play.

This is the exact same scenario almost a dedade an a half later. Just change USA with France and Al-Qaeda with IS, change Afghanistan with Syria/Iraq.

France is repeatedly beeing attacked by terrorists. It is an increasing spiral. My bet is that we will se conventional Nato soldiers on the ground in Syria and again in Iraq.

This will affects the market, when/if this picture is getting drawn..
Do not let the cost of being wrong, exceed the prize of beeing right
  • #1,036,344
  • Nov 15, 2015 2:36am Nov 15, 2015 2:36am
Quoting Philforex
{quote} Hahaha..Yes you are right. I'm willing to eat my hat if she goes North on Monday .
I don't think you will be eating your Hat on Monday
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #1,036,345
  • Nov 15, 2015 2:51am Nov 15, 2015 2:51am
Quoting Decima
This attack might have an massive impact for the longer term.. Instantly for now the attack will not directly affect the markets that much. Still, remember 911 in New York. A foreign country based terrorist group attacked USA. As a member of Nato the article 5 comes into play. This is the exact same scenario almost a dedade an a half later. Just change USA with France and Al-Qaeda with IS, change Afghanistan with Syria/Iraq. France is repeatedly beeing attacked by terrorists. It is an increasing spiral. My bet is that we will se conventional Nato...
I agree on having impact on longer term... this may even change the west stance on supporting Bashar al Assad, maybe more future capital allocation on security and military. Although not as big as the 911 attack on the US this attack seems to have a similar emotional impact on the french people.
  • #1,036,346
  • Nov 15, 2015 3:31am Nov 15, 2015 3:31am
Quoting mclon
{quote} A Syrian and an Egyptian passports have been found at the site of the suicide bombing at the Stade de France stadium in Paris. The documents are currently being checked by the authorities. It has also been reported that a set of fingerprints belonging to a French citizen who had allegedly taken part in the terrorist attack were found at the scene. Two of seven terrorists responsible for Fridays deadly attacks in Paris have been identified, police said. One of them was found to be a Syrian, another one a French national. Earlier, a Syrian...
The terrorist could have bought the fake passport but just attached their own picture to it for identification purposes to get through Greece to France or Germany, the identity of the terrorist therefore is unknown, how do they know the terrorist is Syrian?
  • #1,036,347
  • Nov 15, 2015 3:51am Nov 15, 2015 3:51am
Quoting miguel.mmuk
WARNING - NOT A JOKE - TERRORIST ATTACK on EURO => 1.09 to 1.05: {image} Sadly we are all witnessing a conspiracy ! An event was missing and we had this terrorist attack just 5 mns after closing the forex market ! ..a perfect timing, but for sure it was only a coincidence as usual ! -/ And you all understood that this terrorist attack is the travel ticket to go under parity!
This is going too far... a terrorist attack just because a currency could fall along a path that was going to be followed anyway? Fed could just rise interest rates, that would be a lot easier and cheaper in terms of human lives.
  • #1,036,348
  • Nov 15, 2015 3:54am Nov 15, 2015 3:54am
Quoting miguel.mmuk
WARNING - NOT A JOKE - TERRORIST ATTACK on EURO => 1.09 to 1.05: {image} Sadly we are all witnessing another conspiracy ! An event was missing and we had this terrorist attack just 5 mns after closing the forex market ! ..a perfect timing, but for sure it was only a coincidence as usual ! -/ And you all understood that this terrorist attack is the travel ticket to go under parity!
is possible to go down all the way 1.05.. but hit 1.09205.. first.
  • #1,036,349
  • Nov 15, 2015 4:08am Nov 15, 2015 4:08am
Last Friday, we hit the low at 1.07133 and beginning to go up again. Where will it retrace ? I am watching keenly. By the way I trade only the 15M charts. I may decide to go long if last Friday low is not violated.
  • #1,036,350
  • Nov 15, 2015 4:25am Nov 15, 2015 4:25am
I'm showing interbank rate at 1.0750... Don't get too caught up in trying to game a terrorist event... Let Dax open... And see what develops...

Usually strong risk off And been positive for e/u and risk on has been negative... The spike to 1.17 came when stocks were crashing...

Be calm.. Let the the markets open including dax open.. then trade your normal signals!
The only system that will work is one designed by and for yourself.
  • #1,036,351
  • Nov 15, 2015 4:47am Nov 15, 2015 4:47am
Quoting Pharm0r
they have a habit of leaving passports behind Consider it a calling card
  • #1,036,352
  • Nov 15, 2015 4:55am Nov 15, 2015 4:55am
Quoting Philforex
{quote} Hahaha..Yes you are right. I'm willing to eat my hat if she goes North on Monday .
ok , waiting your video on Monday showing yourself eating your hat .
  • #1,036,353
  • Nov 15, 2015 5:24am Nov 15, 2015 5:24am
Quoting Ksth
{quote} is possible to go down all the way 1.05.. but hit 1.09205.. first.
Agree
  • #1,036,354
  • Edited 7:14am Nov 15, 2015 5:38am | Edited 7:14am
Quoting miguel.mmuk
WARNING - NOT A JOKE - TERRORIST ATTACK on EURO => 1.09 to 1.05: {image} Sadly we are all witnessing another conspiracy ! An event was missing and we had this terrorist attack just 5 mns after closing the forex market ! ..a perfect timing, but for sure it was only a coincidence as usual ! -/ And you all understood that this terrorist attack is the travel ticket to go under parity!
Just to be contrarian here, it could actually help the French and European economy. The reason 9/11 had such a bad effect on the dollar is that the when the US decided to engage in two major wars, instead of raising taxes to pay for it, it printed money and borrowed from the Chinese. (The amount the Chinese hold in US debt is almost equal to the amount spent on Iraq.)

In the case of the Euro however, the ECB has ALREADY decided to do QE, and its main problem right now is that people aren't putting that money to work and spending enough of it (as measured by the deflation we see in the Eurozone). If, now, because of the attacks, governments all over Europe start spending money on defense and various companies start developing/deploying anti-terrorism mechanisms, that could actually generate jobs and cause the economy to pick up. If, as mentioned, the ECB printed money to pay for it, that would, over the long run, weaken the Euro (just like it did the dollar), but meanwhile, in the short run that is not the case, since they have already decided to do QE anyway, and the problem is putting that money to work to generate economic activity.
  • #1,036,355
  • Nov 15, 2015 7:24am Nov 15, 2015 7:24am
Anyone else noticing the hidden posts b/c of breach of trader code of conduct?

I've never seen those before....an update?
  • #1,036,356
  • Nov 15, 2015 7:25am Nov 15, 2015 7:25am
Was wondering when someone would come out and blame the Illuminati. Makes sense it's the guy with a second, or third, or fourth user name.
  • #1,036,357
  • Nov 15, 2015 7:26am Nov 15, 2015 7:26am
Quoting Mr Hatch
{quote}
  • #1,036,358
  • Nov 15, 2015 7:45am Nov 15, 2015 7:45am
How much will EU open today? -100 - 200 pips down ?? 300 pips ? more ?
  • #1,036,359
  • Nov 15, 2015 7:48am Nov 15, 2015 7:48am
Quoting Kubiasty
How much will EU open today? -100 - 200 pips down ?? 300 pips ? more ?
we will know in 3 hours,patience ...
Sometimes it's better to be wrong,to learn..
  • #1,036,360
  • Nov 15, 2015 8:12am Nov 15, 2015 8:12am
xe market open already.
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