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  • #1,036,201
  • Nov 13, 2015 2:45pm Nov 13, 2015 2:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 15 m hours ago pointed to 0790 as a micro norm before a new low. london closed bear side. h bulls have your retrace and 0886 target.. its not a cut and dry indication either way for me. 0790 is more doable than 0850 or 0886. so i just play pocket pole with the holes in my pocket. remember 0692 is a um. i wouldn't count a larger bounce out just yet. 0886 is nearer 0963 R (between .0827) this week high 0830
typo i changed 0792 to the correct 0692 um
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,036,202
  • Nov 13, 2015 2:53pm Nov 13, 2015 2:53pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} a bit more is still unlocked until DEC but its a ticking bomb one more time ...What its getting clear by the minute is that the leg down is going to be fast, deep and WONT allow the average retail and investor to even sniff the leftovers of the move .... In any case, we are finally set to lose 1.096x area after 5 very long months this month (one more test is still wide open) ...there is very little (data and charts wise) in between today and Dec 3 for the QE / ECB rates mega play and only weeks after the FED will end the fireworks ... sisse...
i fixed a typo in the quoted post.. it's going to be hard to raise with oil dropping helping keeping inflation down.. brent/wti spread no longer 10$... i have a initial 38.84 brent target, but cant rule out a dead cat 50$... remember a few years back? some dummy mentioned a 30 handle *LOL*.. a brent LL may also open the unreasonable 14$ handle. unlikely, but pa is the indicator. posted oil earlier in the week before it was a vogue topic
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,036,203
  • Nov 13, 2015 3:00pm Nov 13, 2015 3:00pm
EU - Apparently second new support is being developed at 1.0776.

Support area between 1.0700 to 1.0675 is very important. Break of this area will bring price to 1.0545.
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Love for all; Hatred for none.
  • #1,036,204
  • Nov 13, 2015 3:05pm Nov 13, 2015 3:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i fixed a typo in the quoted post.. it's going to be hard to raise with oil dropping helping keeping inflation down.. brent/wti spread no longer 10$... i have a initial 38.84 brent target, but cant rule out a dead cat 50$... remember a few years back? some dummy mentioned a 30 handle *LOL*.. a brent LL may also open the unreasonable 14$ handle. unlikely, but pa is the indicator
Last week I changed my long term view in Oil from SELL to Neutral.

I think the intrinsic OIL macro fundamentals have bottomed up especially from the Demand side (Europe formed a bottom and sluggishly will start picking up in the next few quarters, while China quick shock seem to be a much needed correction rather than a collapse). Also in the macro Supply side, shale producer and OPEC seem to staring to define a stop for the long term in the bloody market war of the last year ...

However, I am still in Sell mode in the mid term as I think we have a solid high in equities across the world that will probably last until Q3/Q4 2016 as we get the rate normalisations in play in the US / UK and the end of negative rates in Europe... Technically 26.xx is wide open and I would love a panic exhaustion leg there as it will make charts a lot cleaner...

We'll see how it pans out but i am very confident that we will squeeze some final juicy moves in Oil before it enter in extended chop zone for a very very long time ....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #1,036,205
  • Nov 13, 2015 3:13pm Nov 13, 2015 3:13pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} Last week I changed my long term view in Oil from SELL to Neutral. I think the intrinsic OIL macro fundamentals have bottomed up especially from the Demand side (Europe formed a bottom and sluggishly will start picking up in the next few quarters, while China quick shock seem to be a much needed correction rather than a collapse). Also in the macro Supply side, shale producer and OPEC seem to staring to define a stop in the long term in the bloody market war of the last year ... However, I am still in Sell mode in the mid term as I think...
even israel has oil now. new techs are finding oil everywhere. the saudis are borrowing. the russians are broke. china spent much of its wad on saving its equity markets. what happens when the china well runs dry...i smell lack of liquidity. oil everywhere, and china decreases demand. less oil need for basket weavers.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,036,206
  • Nov 13, 2015 3:18pm Nov 13, 2015 3:18pm
Just going on record to say that I am very pleased that my long EURUSD as US stocks accelerated to the downside (actually a USD short) didn't develop until very, very late in the day. FML
  • #1,036,207
  • Edited 4:34pm Nov 13, 2015 3:41pm | Edited 4:34pm
Trying a short at 1.0758...
  • #1,036,208
  • Nov 13, 2015 3:47pm Nov 13, 2015 3:47pm
terrorist attack in paris,, dozens dead, still active situation. gunfire and explosions
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,036,209
  • Nov 13, 2015 3:51pm Nov 13, 2015 3:51pm
Quoting egkid
{quote} True all the week no daily close under 0725 give high possibility to touch 0856 till Monday we will c
PS It will b very silly if back to 0756 today and close there choppy frog
0764 Now
Damn frog
  • #1,036,210
  • Nov 13, 2015 3:53pm Nov 13, 2015 3:53pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} a bit more is still unlocked until DEC but its a ticking bomb one more time ...What its getting clear by the minute is that the leg down is going to be fast, deep and WONT allow the average retail and investor to even sniff the leftovers of the move .... In any case, we are finally set to lose 1.096x area after 5 very long months this month (one more test is still wide open) ...there is very little (data and charts wise) in between today and Dec 3 for the QE / ECB rates mega play and only weeks after the FED will end the fireworks...
Totally Agree
  • #1,036,211
  • Nov 13, 2015 3:53pm Nov 13, 2015 3:53pm
still fluid, 3 locations
https://twitter.com/MailOnline?ref_s...Ctwgr%5Eauthor
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,036,212
  • Nov 13, 2015 3:57pm Nov 13, 2015 3:57pm
Quoting gatorinla
still fluid, 3 locations https://twitter.com/MailOnline?ref_s...Ctwgr%5Eauthor
hostages in a theatre. first time there is a kamikaze attack in paris.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #1,036,213
  • Nov 13, 2015 3:58pm Nov 13, 2015 3:58pm
Nice close
  • #1,036,214
  • Nov 13, 2015 3:58pm Nov 13, 2015 3:58pm
Quoting gatorinla
still fluid, 3 locations https://twitter.com/MailOnline?ref_s...Ctwgr%5Eauthor
26 dead
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,036,215
  • Nov 13, 2015 4:02pm Nov 13, 2015 4:02pm
Quoting dhby
{quote} I say 'may' or better might ..but looks like chances are there - prior low 1.0751, resistance channel since October 15 starts at 1.0747 at close. Last minute will show. If bears succeed may be a good signal that support is melting
not a chance, still closed the second week in the support range
  • #1,036,216
  • Nov 13, 2015 4:02pm Nov 13, 2015 4:02pm
Quoting Ken A
Nice close
higher est close week above last week's london.. wickish on both ends
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,036,217
  • Nov 13, 2015 4:02pm Nov 13, 2015 4:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 15 m hours ago pointed to 0790 as a micro norm before a new low. london closed bear side. h bulls have your retrace and 0886 target.. its not a cut and dry indication either way for me. 0790 is more doable than 0850 or 0886. so i just play pocket pole with the holes in my pocket. remember 0692 is a um. i wouldn't count a larger bounce out just yet. 0886 is nearer 0963 R (between .0827) this week high 0830
have 0794
but not c 0886 only 0855
  • #1,036,218
  • Nov 13, 2015 4:03pm Nov 13, 2015 4:03pm
Quoting maximinus
{quote} hostages in a theatre. first time there is a kamikaze attack in paris.
Market closed.
  • #1,036,219
  • Nov 13, 2015 4:04pm Nov 13, 2015 4:04pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Market closed.
yes but started 90 minutes ago but euro continued to climb.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #1,036,220
  • Nov 13, 2015 4:04pm Nov 13, 2015 4:04pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} higher est close week above last week's london.. wickish on both ends
Keeping the EU long - equities have been hovering in upper range - something about to happen
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