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EURUSD

  • #1,034,921
  • Nov 10, 2015 3:30am Nov 10, 2015 3:30am
April's open @ 1.07328...waiting...
  • #1,034,922
  • Nov 10, 2015 3:37am Nov 10, 2015 3:37am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} what's your target ? 1.061x could be ?
lets see where it runs out of steam, intraday the obvious markers are 1.0705 1.0682 1.0646
overall the levels of immediate interest are still as per Friday post http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...56#post8578956
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU 2015 Nov 10b.PNG Size: 26 KB
  • #1,034,923
  • Nov 10, 2015 3:38am Nov 10, 2015 3:38am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} lets see where it runs out of steam, intraday the obvious markers are 1.0705 1.0682 1.0646 overall the levels of immediate interest are still as per Friday post http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...56#post8578956
1.0068.8 is on my chart , thanks
  • #1,034,924
  • Nov 10, 2015 4:12am Nov 10, 2015 4:12am
According to gann square of nine calculation today is potentially a CIT day Change in Trend
as well as the 20th and 30th. watch out these days
  • #1,034,925
  • Nov 10, 2015 4:25am Nov 10, 2015 4:25am
everywhere boring maybe this triangle moves on EUR USD will be interesting
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,034,926
  • Edited 4:48am Nov 10, 2015 4:30am | Edited 4:48am
We closed above 0734 so there is potential for reversal
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Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,034,927
  • Nov 10, 2015 4:34am Nov 10, 2015 4:34am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} lets see where it runs out of steam, intraday the obvious markers are 1.0705 1.0682 1.0646 overall the levels of immediate interest are still as per Friday post http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...56#post8578956 {image}
can you share this indicator for support/resistance you use?
Sometimes it's better to be wrong,to learn..
  • #1,034,928
  • Nov 10, 2015 4:38am Nov 10, 2015 4:38am
Quoting KiNgEdwarD
{quote} can you share this indicator for support/resistance you use?
sent you a pm
  • #1,034,929
  • Nov 10, 2015 4:42am Nov 10, 2015 4:42am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} Thanks, I see what you are looking at now. It is actually trying to measure the sentiment of investors as measured by volatility in the open option contracts. So I appreciate your point and those meters can be useful. It is not actually priced in though as the under lying assets have not moved in price, but a gauge of what the option markets are expecting all the same. The big issue with options as a gauge is that you never know how many of them are being used as a hedge for the real asset position. thanks for the clarification
We are on the same page. I used the wrong terminology (parroting the original poster) when I used the term 'priced in'. As you note, it isn't priced in, simply there is open interest ie existing out-of-money contracts at those strikes. My view is that the volatility options market is tiny compared to spot, so those contracts might make a speculative trader a bit richer or the owner of a bunch of worthless expired contracts. Or as you also note, if those are hedges then someone isn't going to lose more than he/she is prepared for...which is what trading should be like. I'll fix my post to indicate the wrong wording.
  • #1,034,930
  • Nov 10, 2015 4:47am Nov 10, 2015 4:47am
Quoting buaksam
{quote} We are on the same page. I used the wrong terminology (parroting the original poster) when I used the term 'priced in'. As you note, it isn't priced in, simply there is open interest ie existing out-of-money contracts at those strikes. My view is that the volatility options market is tiny compared to spot, so those contracts might make a speculative trader a bit richer or the owner of a bunch of worthless expired contracts. Or as you also note, if those are hedges then someone isn't going to lose more than he/she is prepared for...which...
yep, most options expire worthless primarily because they were part of a strategy or hedge

I use options to protect my equities on occasion, always interesting to see how people use the term hedge around here.... 1 long and 1 short is flat and not a hedge imo. Whereas if you are long an asset and hedge it with an option to sell, you protect the downside but are still in the game for the long side.
  • #1,034,931
  • Nov 10, 2015 4:49am Nov 10, 2015 4:49am
EUR USD h4 which version correct hmm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,034,932
  • Nov 10, 2015 5:00am Nov 10, 2015 5:00am
34 pips so far , coffe time .
  • #1,034,933
  • Nov 10, 2015 5:05am Nov 10, 2015 5:05am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} lets see where it runs out of steam, intraday the obvious markers are 1.0705 1.0682 1.0646 overall the levels of immediate interest are still as per Friday post http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...56#post8578956 {image}
Hi mate. I have joined to have a look if you are still selling into santa rally or bought retrace of this monthly close. Your sell didnt calm me down . Am cleared all trades and now just playing this minibounce waiting for price to form a range. Would be fun if we broke lows pre end of the year though and if Draghi pumps up could be possible. Generally saying Fed cowards + Draghi+ Santa was a nice run since end of summer. Should they wanna hike Jan/Feb would be perf with fresh ECB money and everyone on vacations.
I hope you guys are doing well, T
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #1,034,934
  • Nov 10, 2015 5:10am Nov 10, 2015 5:10am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Hi mate. I have joined to have a look if you are still selling into santa rally or bought retrace of this monthly close. Your sell didnt calm me down . Am cleared all trades and now just playing this minibounce waiting for price to form a range. Would be fun if we broke lows pre end of the year though and if Draghi pumps up could be possible. Generally saying Fed cowards + Draghi+ Santa was a nice run since end of summer. Should they wanna hike Jan/Feb would be perf with fresh ECB money and everyone on vacations. I hope you guys are doing...
I still believe in santa My main focus to gain from it though is equities. regarding EU, USD still has the upper hand I doubt that will change this year, EU could be a real snail to trade....
  • #1,034,935
  • Nov 10, 2015 5:22am Nov 10, 2015 5:22am
This is hard to believe, but my (still favorite) EUR/TRY that I sold August 23 is now 2,390 pips in profit.
I think it's time to take profit, since a few days ago it was 350 pips more.
On the other hand, it has reached important daily resistance line so may still wait a little?
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #1,034,936
  • Nov 10, 2015 5:22am Nov 10, 2015 5:22am
Quoting KillerWhale
This is hard to believe, but my (still favorite) EUR/TRY that I sold August 23 is now 2,390 pips in profit. I think it's time to take profit, since a few days ago it was 350 pips more. On the other hand, it has reached important dailly support line so may still wait a little?
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #1,034,937
  • Nov 10, 2015 5:25am Nov 10, 2015 5:25am
Quoting MaxDoom
short from 1.0749 just below Daily Pivot and the open {image}
testing the weekly open
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU 2015 Nov 10c.PNG Size: 35 KB
  • #1,034,938
  • Nov 10, 2015 5:26am Nov 10, 2015 5:26am
What do you guys think of EU? going down much more or reversing?
Need to spend some time to analyze that.
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #1,034,939
  • Nov 10, 2015 5:31am Nov 10, 2015 5:31am
Very good trading opportunity at the CAD/JPY 1h advance double Gartley with good structure on the stops and positive risk/reward ratio, the bottom picture shows legs on FIB 0.618 almost perfect pattern completion
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  • #1,034,940
  • Nov 10, 2015 5:39am Nov 10, 2015 5:39am
I'm trying to get more involved here at the moment, but I also found out that I'm kind of a talented Black Jack player.
Last week I was in Caesar's Palace on the strip in Las Vegas and won $4,000 starting with $300 in just under 6 hours.

Next thing on that level is learning more about Poker playing.
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
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