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News trading discussion - continuation

  • #1,601
  • Nov 2, 2015 8:10pm Nov 2, 2015 8:10pm
Quoting toppo qqq
AUD Cash Rate 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% AUD RBA Rate Statement Measely pips in both directions {image}
fine
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,602
  • Nov 2, 2015 9:02pm Nov 2, 2015 9:02pm
ECB Mario Draghi speaking today - 2:00 pm Eastern.
  • #1,603
  • Nov 2, 2015 10:04pm Nov 2, 2015 10:04pm
Quoting vvFish
Tuesday 5:30 03/11/15 AU Interest HOT! (AU Cash Rate), Australia, AUDUSD Average reaction when the trigger 55.00 points in the first minute after the release. 40% probability trades. Despite the fact that the likelihood of interest rate cuts in Australia varies from area "50 to 50", official projections suggest its immutability, which can not play in our favor in terms of the volatility of a surprise at the time of the release of the decision of the Central Bank. It would appear that the reduction in the interest rate can not be avoided, "for" they...
vvFish,
There are many high impact news every days, every weeks,...
How do you chose which one is suite able to trade?
  • #1,604
  • Nov 2, 2015 10:49pm Nov 2, 2015 10:49pm
Quoting Ducdaovn
{quote} vvFish, There are many high impact news every days, every weeks,... How do you chose which one is suite able to trade?
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,605
  • Nov 3, 2015 1:38am Nov 3, 2015 1:38am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,606
  • Nov 3, 2015 9:18am Nov 3, 2015 9:18am
Scalping
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,607
  • Nov 3, 2015 9:19am Nov 3, 2015 9:19am
At 7:30 pm EDT Australia will release Retail Sales. Expected at 0.4 after a prior of 0.4.

Good luck everybody!
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,608
  • Nov 3, 2015 1:28pm Nov 3, 2015 1:28pm
Wednesday.
11:30
04/11/15
GB The index of activity in the services sector
(GB Services PMI), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 30.00 points in the first minute after the release.
14% probability trades.

Wednesday
15:15
04/11/15
US ADP number of employed
(US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change), the United States, USDJPY
Average reaction when the trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,609
  • Edited 1:56pm Nov 3, 2015 1:31pm | Edited 1:56pm
NZD Unemployement in 15 MIN!

UPDATE: Guess it's all in the AUDNZD cross.
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  • #1,610
  • Nov 3, 2015 1:56pm Nov 3, 2015 1:56pm
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,611
  • Nov 3, 2015 1:58pm Nov 3, 2015 1:58pm
Quoting vvFish
{image}{image}
Well done! toppo
  • #1,612
  • Nov 3, 2015 2:01pm Nov 3, 2015 2:01pm
Quoting toppo qqq
{quote} Well done! toppo
Thank you my friend.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,613
  • Nov 4, 2015 1:41am Nov 4, 2015 1:41am
At 10:00 am EDT the US will release ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. Expected at 56.6 after a prior of 56.9.

At 10:30 am EDT the EIA will release Crude Oil Inventories. Check expected number a couple of minutes before the data

Read this article to get some statistics.

********************************************************
Analysts Forecast 2.5M-Barrel Rise in Crude Stocks
Published: Nov 03, 2015

By Nicole Friedman


NEW YORK--U.S. crude-oil stocks are expected to rise in data due Wednesday from the Department of Energy, according to a survey of analysts by The Wall Street Journal.

Estimates from 11 analysts surveyed showed that U.S. oil inventories are projected to have risen by 2.5 million barrels, on average, in the week ended Oct. 30.

All 11 analysts expect stockpiles to rise. Forecasts range from a rise of 1 million barrels to a gain of 4.5 million barrels.

The closely watched survey from the Energy Information Administration is due at 10:30 a.m. EST Wednesday.

Gasoline stockpiles are expected to fall by 1.1 million barrels, according to analysts. Ten analysts expect a decline, with one expecting a rise. Estimates range from a rise of 500,000 barrels to a drop of 2 million barrels.

Stocks of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel, are expected to fall by 1.8 million barrels. All 11 analysts expect a decline. Forecasts range from a drop of 500,000 barrels to a decrease of 2.5 million barrels.

Refinery use is seen rising 0.2 percentage point to 87.8% of capacity, based on EIA data. Six analysts expect an increase, two expect a decline, one sees no change and two didn't provide an estimate. Forecasts range from a rise of 0.5 point to a drop of 0.3 point.

The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said late Tuesday that its own data for the same week showed a 2.8-million-barrel increase in crude supplies, a 3.0-million-barrel drop in gasoline stocks and a 230,000-barrel decline in distillate inventories, according to market participants.


Crude Gasoline Distillates Refinery Use

Again Capital 3.4 -1.4 -0.9 0.3
Citi Futures Perspective 2.5 -1.0 -2.0 0.5
Confluence Investment Management 1.5 -1.5 -2.0 unch
Energy Management Institute 2.8 -0.5 -0.5 0.5
Frost & Sullivan 1.75 -1.25 -1.5 0.5
IAF Advisors 4.5 0.5 -2.0 n/a
Price Futures Group 1.0 -2.0 -2.0 0.1
Ritterbusch and Associates 3.0 -0.7 -2.2 -0.3
Schneider Electric 2.0 -0.9 -2.0 -0.2
Tradition Energy 1.5 -1.7 -2.4 0.5
Tyche Capital Advisors 4.0 -1.5 -2.5 n/a

AVERAGE 2.5 -1.1 -1.8 0.2


(Figures in millions of barrels except for refining capacity, which is reported in percentage points. For analysts providing forecasts in a range, the average of the upper and lower ends of the range is used.)

******************************************************************

Good luck everybody!
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,614
  • Nov 4, 2015 5:17am Nov 4, 2015 5:17am
Can anyone suggest any news sources which are worth paying for? Historically, I had success using Thompson - Reuters but they charge 99$/month. Can anyone share or suggest any other news service they use?
  • #1,615
  • Nov 4, 2015 9:18am Nov 4, 2015 9:18am
Quoting hpmpracer
... Thompson - Reuters but they charge 99$/month...
i always thought they charged more.
i lose money for a living
  • #1,616
  • Nov 4, 2015 10:42am Nov 4, 2015 10:42am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,617
  • Nov 4, 2015 10:51am Nov 4, 2015 10:51am
Thursday
11:00
05.11.15
NO GOOD Interest
(NO Interest Rate), Norway, EURNOK
Average reaction when the trigger 50.00 points in the first minute after the release.
40% probability trades.

Thursday
14:00
05.11.15
GB The official rate of asthma
(GB Official Bank Rate), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 80.00 points in the first minute after the release.
1% probability trades.

The interest rate remains unchanged, and we will observe the voting structure.
Doubts that by some miracle, the interest rate may be changed in principle is not observed, but in the event the drivers of the market may well be, most important of which will be: the structure of the voting on interest rates, as well as the text of the accompanying protocol, the inflation report published on a quarterly basis.
The structure of voting
Analysts expect the loneliness McCafferty in the camp voting for an immediate rate hike. Forecast voting is as follows: 1 "increase" - 0 "decrease" - 8 "current level".
This will be the primary driver for the markets and any change will cause initial movement of quotations sterling (2 votes to increase - growth, increase 0 votes - falling).
Protocol
The text of the protocol will contain the main points of discussion at the meeting of the Bank of England MPC. Typically, this projection views, divided by themes: labor market, inflation, economic growth, the external factor. Despite the fact that the last release seemed soft markets, the Bank of England remains hawkish division regulators, which plans to raise interest rates rather than the opposite.
The focus of the phrase on salaries. In terms of the comments about the wages you can count on the positive comments as well as a fairly fresh reports this week by the PMI pointed to the growth of sentiment in this plane. Non-manufacturing employment index showed a maximum in May, production is also on the positive.
Emphasis inflation prospects will be transferred to the third British driver this day.
Inflation Report
Published on a quarterly basis and used to correct market expectations of monetary policy regulation. As is known, the global component in the form of a reduction in commodity prices puts pressure on inflation in developed countries, which was one of the main reasons for a pause in monetary tightening.
Britain is not the exception, for the annual CPI is currently the British economy is in deflation of -0.1%.
Volatility will, this should be more careful. For automatic bidding will be used and the rate structure of the voting

Thursday
17:30
05.11.15
US Natural Gas Reserves
(US Natural Gas Storage), the United States, #NG
Average reaction when the trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
35% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,618
  • Nov 4, 2015 11:58pm Nov 4, 2015 11:58pm
Dear vvFish,

I trid to add Bollinger Band to the CC4 indicator but I can not add it. Because when I add and put the "Apply to" as "Previous/first indicator data" it gives me huge numbers and cannot seen on the CC+ indicator.

I would be appriciated if you can explain me how to add teh Bollinger band.

Thank you in advance.

Erkan.

Quoting vvFish
{quote} In one of the posts Vigovskoi gives a clue to help the СС set bollenger 24. Before the news it helps with the entrance into the market - but not always. {image}
Imparo ancora
  • #1,619
  • Nov 5, 2015 1:55am Nov 5, 2015 1:55am
Quoting erksa
Dear vvFish, I trid to add Bollinger Band to the CC4 indicator but I can not add it. Because when I add and put the "Apply to" as "Previous/first indicator data" it gives me huge numbers and cannot seen on the CC+ indicator. I would be appriciated if you can explain me how to add teh Bollinger band. Thank you in advance. Erkan. {quote}


Inserted Video


Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,620
  • Nov 5, 2015 2:23am Nov 5, 2015 2:23am
DAX
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