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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #14,781
  • Nov 3, 2015 7:15pm Nov 3, 2015 7:15pm
Could be right there stylinex.

ASX200 isn't joining the party at all. What a dog.

For those interested (not related to DAX at all) here's Australia's term structure of interest rates. You can see how bond investors got yesterday's rate decision completely wrong. The data is up until Oct 30 so doesn't include RBA's hold.

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Corripe Cervisiam!
  • #14,782
  • Nov 3, 2015 8:28pm Nov 3, 2015 8:28pm
Hang Seng in Hong Kong is up over 700 points and Index in Taiwan is up over 1%. These 2 are green light signals. I think next year I know how to play this one right. Wait for dip then buy in on the last quarter of the year calls/bulls and sit on them. Buy after the dip during 4th quarter. No brainer every year for gains
  • #14,783
  • Nov 3, 2015 10:44pm Nov 3, 2015 10:44pm
Quoting cat
The Dow H4 is showing that it may have peaked for now at 17,900 ( R1 ) but going higher to the Daily, then the weekly, it looks as if we could be in for a continuation upward, a real Santa rally. Without getting too carried away, if we can break 18,500, then surely 19,000 will be in the sights, and perhaps even 20,000? Needless to say, Dax will follow. and a break of 12,000 sometime this month could see it soar as well. NFP on Friday should shed some light on what is going to happen in the run up to Xmas.
Given the VW saga has wiped about EU50Bn from its market capitalisation; then assuming all other Dax companies retest their prices when the Dax hit 12,391pts (April 2015), then ceteris paribus excluding the VW write-down, I have a recalculation on this new Dax high as the equivalent of 11,922pts. But this is just a crude calculation based on market capitalisation.

This estimation of the Dax new highs, also doesn't consider these two important factors since April 2015 Dax high:
1. Vonovia has replaced Lanxess in the Dax30; and
2. The EURUSD has increased from 1.05 to 1.095.
  • #14,784
  • Nov 3, 2015 11:14pm Nov 3, 2015 11:14pm
Given the bullish movement in US and Asia shares, I hit the x2 mini long entries once it broke the 200sma on 1m around 10,971pts; expecting it to hit 11,000pts where I closed the trades.

I thought the algo's may trigger some selling above this big round number for a short period of time. So took a break and will probably wait for XO now.
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  • #14,785
  • Nov 3, 2015 11:21pm Nov 3, 2015 11:21pm
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} Given the VW saga has wiped about EU50Bn from its market capitalisation; then assuming all other Dax companies retest their prices when the Dax hit 12,391pts (April 2015), then ceteris paribus excluding the VW write-down, I have a recalculation on this new Dax high as the equivalent of 11,922pts. But this is just a crude calculation based on market capitalisation. This estimation of the Dax new highs, also doesn't consider these two important factors since April 2015 Dax high: 1. Vonovia has replaced Lanxess in the Dax30; and 2. The EURUSD...
It's not hanging around for Draghi is it? Yes, who knows how high it'll go now, but new highs before Christmas I wouldn't rule out. All we can do now for today is wait for Draghi. Upside resistance if that is the way we are going to go I'm reluctant to even try and put a level, but I guess we could see R3 @11, 120. On the downside, it's gotta take a shock to the market for this to come down far at all today. We found support yesterday on my 30m 100sma, and that today is at 10,935, so if for some reason that breaks to the downside, the next level will be 10,860 ( 30m 200ema/sma combined )
  • #14,786
  • Nov 3, 2015 11:26pm Nov 3, 2015 11:26pm
good morning,

dax on the way posted some time ago:

http://tc.md.it-finance.com/ProRealT...g&purpose=file

great day ahead with lord draghila, granny yellen + ism + adp.

good luck!
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #14,787
  • Nov 4, 2015 12:12am Nov 4, 2015 12:12am
long @10933 sl -10 tp +30
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #14,788
  • Nov 4, 2015 12:12am Nov 4, 2015 12:12am
Quoting deltaone
long @10933 sl -10 tp +30
sl = be now.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #14,789
  • Nov 4, 2015 12:13am Nov 4, 2015 12:13am
GM - VW being hit hard again on news that their petrol engines also have emission problems
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #14,790
  • Nov 4, 2015 12:14am Nov 4, 2015 12:14am
Happy swinging day...today?
I wish you green pips!
FXcube
  • #14,791
  • Nov 4, 2015 12:14am Nov 4, 2015 12:14am
Quoting deltaone
{quote} sl = be now.
sl hit. +-0
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #14,792
  • Nov 4, 2015 12:15am Nov 4, 2015 12:15am
DAX, Long @ 10'929 (2x)

(... & medium term: Hong Kong 33 @ Long 23'087, Target @ 27'250 before end of 2015)
FXcube
  • #14,793
  • Edited 12:28am Nov 4, 2015 12:17am | Edited 12:28am
Morning, Dax long 10925.
Aiming 11k++, since china hited nice PMI, so its a good day to pimp up a little.

Edit: Sl hited.
  • #14,794
  • Nov 4, 2015 12:22am Nov 4, 2015 12:22am
PO DAX, Long @ 10'840 (if so)
___
PO = Pending Order
  • #14,795
  • Nov 4, 2015 12:49am Nov 4, 2015 12:49am
GM
long 10946
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  • #14,796
  • Nov 4, 2015 12:57am Nov 4, 2015 12:57am
[quote = jmss59; 8574049] GM larga 10946 {image} [/ quote]
closed +40
  • #14,797
  • Nov 4, 2015 1:35am Nov 4, 2015 1:35am
Quoting Forexcube
DAX, Long @ 10'929 (2x) (... & medium term: Hong Kong 33 @ Long 23'087, Target @ 27'250 before end of 2015) FXcube
Hong Kong futures suck because they expire every month on the preceding business day of the last business day of the month. You pretty much have till the end of the day for the call or put to go your way. I prefer the 3 month options to trade. The Hong Kong ones can be very lucrative if you make the right call. Wrong call and your screwed with the big moves it make in either direction.
  • #14,798
  • Nov 4, 2015 1:56am Nov 4, 2015 1:56am
Either the economies are getting much better or the bubbles are getting much bigger. I do not see the economies getting much better. Everyone I know of in just about every industry says this year sales are worse compared to last year and previous years.
  • #14,799
  • Nov 4, 2015 2:02am Nov 4, 2015 2:02am
Research on the 15 second TF continues.....entries as shown during the first hour
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Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #14,800
  • Nov 4, 2015 2:23am Nov 4, 2015 2:23am
10918 stumbling block to shorts as previous cross over of 5/15 ma on the way up
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