- #163
- Oct 9, 2015 1:03pm Oct 9, 2015 1:03pm
- Joined Sep 2009 | Status: Trader | 1,027 Posts
{quote} Thanks Could you expand a little more when you have some time? maybe with some charts. What is the best time to look for fake moves to fade and when expect a real continuation move?
Ask him to forecast each entry / exits signal live and you will see "exception case this is a DD"
Just think about: why buy/sell and why not sell/buy or why there and not in 20-100 pip difference , sweet dreams
I want to buy PATIENCE
- #164
- Oct 9, 2015 1:20pm Oct 9, 2015 1:20pm
- | Membership Revoked | Joined Jul 2020 | 7,294 Posts
{quote} It is easy to make you wizard for a diagram for the past!
?
{quote} It is easy to make you wizard for a diagram for the past!
- #171
- Oct 9, 2015 3:31pm Oct 9, 2015 3:31pm
- Joined Sep 2009 | Status: Trader | 1,027 Posts
{quote} Why don't you forecast something instead of asking for a forecast since you seem to be a very professional trader. It looks like you know a lot and are very successful trader
Look :
I am a wizard now
Only a novice trader believe for historical chart spectacle, but they are enogh
I want to buy PATIENCE
- #172
- Edited 5:57pm Oct 9, 2015 5:45pm | Edited 5:57pm
- Joined Sep 2009 | Status: Trader | 1,027 Posts
I am wondering what if the market really isn't moving on technical!
Let be a pause in the system or an introduced new currency: Forexfactory/usd
Now we know the usd has effects on economy.
Let introduce another currency: Metatraders/usd
So we have a cross, fresh news pair: Forexfactory/Metatraders, other whatever ABC/DEF pair.
Now how to trade this:
- no info, probably less are trading.
- some has an idea "let's try to go up" and you will make the first tick, buy purchasing it.
At this moment, you just purchased the highest offer, so the offers price will go down.
- some will see and it say , hey it is not going up, but is going down, they will withdraw the pending sale orders and will make a sale @ marker or pending buy. In case of become a seller: the offers will go down, because he withdraw the pending sale and he will purchase a pending buy the lowest one.
The spread start to widening.
And at some point it will start moving . Until to a level which is considered oversold or overbought by most of the market players, then reverse.
While moving you can draw many indicators you want maybe from thousands of lines will math a series exactly the movement, but that is just a coincidence.
Maybe when there is a movement some bigger players will come to make an earthquake here too and double - triple they money by manipulating it.
Pls check the bitcoin/usd example: huge spike from nowhere.
Oanda shows this:
But he hides the volumes
At ECN is called the second level of marker.
Dukascopy's JForex it shows it, at Metatrader I don't know, the Deep of the Market doesn't show for me, if there is the place.
Anyway if we know where is the money we know the current support and resistance zones ( and not from the past, because some time ago it was there...)
What is shows the JForex it is not enough for me, because it was just a few pip difference thousands of lots: 3-7-50-300-800 and such.
Weren't info enough for the next 30-50-100 pip.
What I found important is: how is going the market.
In the Reminiscences of Stock operator he could read the tape, it is somewhat see the L2 correctly and use it, but also we can see how much times is moving the price in the M1 chart.
If there is a bull and bear fight ( at news) the price will go very fast up and down maybe in range of 1-3 pips ( not really worth to trade with 1.5 spread+commission)
I wrote an indicator to check it:
The surprise it is useless this info - or I don't how to use it yet. Sometimes there at ticks ( not volume, but ticks) and not enough movement otherwise movement is high tick less.
I have others too like volume / movement:
or volatility speed:
but didn't helped me to much.
Right now I have discovered what about 5-6 years ago: the market not on indicators is moving
Let be a pause in the system or an introduced new currency: Forexfactory/usd
Now we know the usd has effects on economy.
Let introduce another currency: Metatraders/usd
So we have a cross, fresh news pair: Forexfactory/Metatraders, other whatever ABC/DEF pair.
Now how to trade this:
- no info, probably less are trading.
- some has an idea "let's try to go up" and you will make the first tick, buy purchasing it.
At this moment, you just purchased the highest offer, so the offers price will go down.
- some will see and it say , hey it is not going up, but is going down, they will withdraw the pending sale orders and will make a sale @ marker or pending buy. In case of become a seller: the offers will go down, because he withdraw the pending sale and he will purchase a pending buy the lowest one.
The spread start to widening.
And at some point it will start moving . Until to a level which is considered oversold or overbought by most of the market players, then reverse.
While moving you can draw many indicators you want maybe from thousands of lines will math a series exactly the movement, but that is just a coincidence.
Maybe when there is a movement some bigger players will come to make an earthquake here too and double - triple they money by manipulating it.
Pls check the bitcoin/usd example: huge spike from nowhere.
Oanda shows this:
But he hides the volumes
At ECN is called the second level of marker.
Dukascopy's JForex it shows it, at Metatrader I don't know, the Deep of the Market doesn't show for me, if there is the place.
Anyway if we know where is the money we know the current support and resistance zones ( and not from the past, because some time ago it was there...)
What is shows the JForex it is not enough for me, because it was just a few pip difference thousands of lots: 3-7-50-300-800 and such.
Weren't info enough for the next 30-50-100 pip.
What I found important is: how is going the market.
In the Reminiscences of Stock operator he could read the tape, it is somewhat see the L2 correctly and use it, but also we can see how much times is moving the price in the M1 chart.
If there is a bull and bear fight ( at news) the price will go very fast up and down maybe in range of 1-3 pips ( not really worth to trade with 1.5 spread+commission)
I wrote an indicator to check it:
The surprise it is useless this info - or I don't how to use it yet. Sometimes there at ticks ( not volume, but ticks) and not enough movement otherwise movement is high tick less.
I have others too like volume / movement:
or volatility speed:
but didn't helped me to much.
Right now I have discovered what about 5-6 years ago: the market not on indicators is moving
I want to buy PATIENCE
- #174
- Oct 9, 2015 9:12pm Oct 9, 2015 9:12pm
- | Membership Revoked | Joined Jul 2020 | 7,294 Posts
{quote} Look : {image} I am a wizard now
- #176
- Oct 10, 2015 3:57am Oct 10, 2015 3:57am
- Joined Sep 2009 | Status: Trader | 1,027 Posts
9 times out of 10 most people look for others to tell them how to use it and then they lose.
9 times out of 10 the person who consistently pulls in a positive return in any market has done their own analysis and would never risk capital because someone else says this trade will work.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...66#post8533566
I bet everyone from here know how to make an equity curve linearly increasing and the pips maybe isn't increasing or is negative...
Or what is happen exactly when at back test / optimization you have a profit factor above 6 and the equity curve raised exponentially.
In the past few days I saw a nice ranging market system, with his weakness.
I saw a few nice trending system, with they weakness.
I have checked a few price action system and saw they weakness.
I wanted to combine the ranging system with the trending system: I got the exponential equity curve
Then I saw other combinations has they weakness.So, or I set the parameters , filters to the system to allow loss, cut the wins (and maybe becomes unprofitable) or it is profitable or very profitable ( profit factor above 20) until a certain point, where it gives back all what he got from market, even more
This I have found at the ranging, trending, PA system and combination of they.
I believe:
The news are the impact for bigger traders to move the market.
They will move for an X price distance, allowing oscillations ( there is working all trending systems, huge DD for ranging systems from consecutive loss)
Then they are out and it is no push: the market will start ranging ( there is working the ranging systems, huge DD for trending systems from consecutive loss)
Another news are coming and the loop begins again.
This news are 2-3 / month: bank rate announcements: or has impact or no impact, news dependent.
When is an impact it will be visible for 2-3 month, when no impact just a local circus at D1, H4 chart.
I want to buy PATIENCE
