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AUD/USD

  • #92,581
  • Oct 9, 2015 5:44am Oct 9, 2015 5:44am
Quoting SkyrEk
This bull run is awesome. Could get myself another AMG!
Just tell the dealer you changed your mind and now want to swap the 45 for the 63 😉
  • #92,582
  • Oct 9, 2015 6:28am Oct 9, 2015 6:28am
Is GBP/AUD driving A/U up? G/A has dropped 174 pips in the last 6 hrs per FF. G/A approaching possible support on the daily chart.
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #92,583
  • Edited 8:35am Oct 9, 2015 6:31am | Edited 8:35am
Weren't they predicting that this pair will be heading down to the low 60 in the next few months?
What happened?
  • #92,584
  • Oct 9, 2015 11:13am Oct 9, 2015 11:13am
Quoting Irridium
{quote} Just tell the dealer you changed your mind and now want to swap the 45 for the 63 😉
Haha, i wish i could. That will cause the dealer a hella problems. Hahaha, have a good weekend to you and all traders.
  • #92,585
  • Oct 9, 2015 11:18am Oct 9, 2015 11:18am
As we welcome the weekends, this is how the weekly candle looks like currently. The most bullish candle one can ever find in years. .74 is a stone throw away from current levels. Whether it hits it and beyond is really up to anyone's imagination. Don't be in a rush to short it as well. Wait for confirmation first.

I look forward to another good week of earnings next week!
Have a good weekend to all!
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  • #92,586
  • Oct 9, 2015 11:20am Oct 9, 2015 11:20am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #92,587
  • Oct 9, 2015 11:30am Oct 9, 2015 11:30am
Quoting SkyrEk
As we welcome the weekends, this is how the weekly candle looks like currently. The most bullish candle one can ever find in years. .74 is a stone throw away from current levels. Whether it hits it and beyond is really up to anyone's imagination. Don't be in a rush to short it as well. Wait for confirmation first. I look forward to another good week of earnings next week! Have a good weekend to all! {image}
Hi SkyrEK, you seem to know a fair amount about this... which is awesome, can I ask for your prediction as to where the Aud may sit at the end of this year? Or even better, where do you think it will sit in a months time?
  • #92,588
  • Oct 9, 2015 12:57pm Oct 9, 2015 12:57pm
The weekly candle does look very bullish, but there's also a significant resistance at 0.7360. I'll wait and see whether it will break above that level before I open new long positions next week.
  • #92,589
  • Oct 9, 2015 1:10pm Oct 9, 2015 1:10pm
Quoting dCtrader15
{quote} Knocked out ~110pips @ 2.5lots... Was a bit worried after the spike, hats off to you my friend! But rode this along, closed out ATM, but might get back on it after a minor pullback...
Congrats on great trades.

Yes was a big week here too...

Buy dips its definitely going higher
Attached Image
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #92,590
  • Oct 9, 2015 2:38pm Oct 9, 2015 2:38pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
{quote} Congrats on great trades. Yes was a big week here too... Buy dips its definitely going higher {image}
Any prediction as to where the aud may sit in a month time, or at the end of this year?
  • #92,591
  • Oct 9, 2015 2:49pm Oct 9, 2015 2:49pm
I'm bearish on this pair.
  • #92,592
  • Oct 9, 2015 2:57pm Oct 9, 2015 2:57pm
Quoting moonhead
{quote} Any prediction as to where the aud may sit in a month time, or at the end of this year?
.7525 to .7700 zone.

Could even happen this month, October... but I think its a 95% chance of happening by end of November.

Quoting AussieForexM
Have commodity prices just skyrocketed because I can not think of any other reason for this bull run (except USD weakness). As far as I can tell, the RBA may cut rates again, and a short opportunity may be arising (.74 ish).
AUD is a cheap currency relative to where it has been in the past..

It's a technical correction.
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #92,593
  • Oct 9, 2015 3:07pm Oct 9, 2015 3:07pm
Quoting postino
{quote} Hehehe just testing out the probabilities. Right now the boat is heavy on one side and there's currently downward pressure on the USD with the FED holding the rates. {image}
That's a contrarian indicator! If most are short, I know I'm probably right going long.

70% of Forex Factory Trade Explorers are short to me means I'm right to be long.
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #92,594
  • Oct 9, 2015 3:08pm Oct 9, 2015 3:08pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
{quote} .7525 to .7700 zone. Could even happen this month, October... but I think its a 95% chance of happening by end of November. {quote} AUD is a cheap currency relative to where it has been in the past.. It's a technical correction.
Thanks for the prediction, i really appreciate it! I'm heading over to the US from Australia for a holiday at the end of this month until the end of November so I'm hoping the dollar will be as strong as possible..
  • #92,595
  • Oct 9, 2015 8:34pm Oct 9, 2015 8:34pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
{quote} That's a contrarian indicator! If most are short, I know I'm probably right going long. 70% of Forex Factory Trade Explorers are short to me means I'm right to be long.
Hehe just got lucky this time. You're right, its a contrarian Indicator but its also not a sure thing. I've been burnt a few times learning that.

I've closed all trades before it reached the 0.73500 mark coz of the weekend.

0.69 seems to be the bottom for the Aussie but I'd still be careful going long, as I think the RBA will cut again before end of this year. Especially if it hits 0.75.
  • #92,596
  • Oct 10, 2015 12:37am Oct 10, 2015 12:37am
Quoting SkyrEk
As we welcome the weekends, this is how the weekly candle looks like currently. The most bullish candle one can ever find in years. .74 is a stone throw away from current levels. Whether it hits it and beyond is really up to anyone's imagination. Don't be in a rush to short it as well. Wait for confirmation first. I look forward to another good week of earnings next week! Have a good weekend to all! {image}
This weeks candle is better from open to close (just) compared to 1st week of August 2013 but 2013 one had higher range.

Bulls will be hoping for a different outcome in the coming weeks to what happened in 2nd, 3rd and 4th weeks of August 2013.
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #92,597
  • Oct 10, 2015 11:38am Oct 10, 2015 11:38am
Sell AUD rallies, says Credit Agricole
  • #92,598
  • Oct 10, 2015 11:42am Oct 10, 2015 11:42am
using the bollinger bands on weekly have the AUD/USD testing the middle now. I will be watching the current level ...
  • #92,599
  • Edited 5:04pm Oct 10, 2015 4:14pm | Edited 5:04pm
Quoting postino
{quote} Hehe just got lucky this time. You're right, its a contrarian Indicator but its also not a sure thing. I've been burnt a few times learning that. I've closed all trades before it reached the 0.73500 mark coz of the weekend. 0.69 seems to be the bottom for the Aussie but I'd still be careful going long, as I think the RBA will cut again before end of this year. Especially if it hits 0.75.
Thinking it will hit .7700, without going under .7150

97% certain of it.

Even higher possibly. Some very strong confluence levels just below .7900

We have the 23.6% retracement of 1.1080 to .6900 coming in at .7891
We have the 76.4% retracement of .8162 to .6900 coming in at .7866
We have the 261.8% extension of .7279 to .6935 coming in at .7834
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #92,600
  • Oct 11, 2015 12:41am Oct 11, 2015 12:41am
monthly TL retest soon to come into play around 0.77/78 for possible longer term shorts
watching steep weekly 55ema for retest
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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