Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
News trading discussion - continuation
- #1,443
- Sep 29, 2015 1:18am Sep 29, 2015 1:18am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
{quote} Yes off course, im refering when you say for example : (CA Overnight Rate), Canada, USDCAD Average reaction when the trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release. 7% probability trades i want to know how the average reaction is calculated , what it mean trigger 60 points and what it mean 7% probability trade
7% of the possible percentage of the work of the news.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #1,445
- Sep 29, 2015 3:19am Sep 29, 2015 3:19am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
{quote} 60.00 point 7% How do you calculate these number?
It all depends with what the testimony will be and how the news analysts wrong in their forecasts.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #1,446
- Sep 29, 2015 5:41am Sep 29, 2015 5:41am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #1,448
- Sep 29, 2015 11:54am Sep 29, 2015 11:54am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
{quote} Okay thank you , what analyst say this?
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #1,450
- Sep 30, 2015 3:34am Sep 30, 2015 3:34am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #1,451
- Sep 30, 2015 3:44am Sep 30, 2015 3:44am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
At 10:30 am EST the EIA will release Crude Oil Inventories.
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Analysts Expect Increase in U.S. Oil Stockpiles
Published: Sep 29, 2015
By Christian Berthelsen
U.S. crude-oil stocks are expected to rise in data due Wednesday from the Department of Energy, according to a survey of analysts by The Wall Street Journal.
Estimates from 10 analysts surveyed showed that U.S. oil inventories are projected to have increased by 300,000 barrels, on average, in the week ended September 25.
Seven analysts expect stockpiles to rise, while three analysts expect stockpiles to fall in the week. Forecasts range from a rise of 3.5 million barrels to a drop of 2.5 million barrels.
The closely watched survey from the Energy Information Administration is due at 10:30 a.m. EDT Wednesday.
Gasoline stockpiles are expected to rise by 200,000 barrels, according to analysts. Seven analysts expect an increase, with three expecting a decrease. Estimates range from a rise of 2 million barrels to a drop of 2 million barrels.
Stocks of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel, are expected to fall by 800,000 barrels. Seven analysts expect a drop, while three see a decline. Forecasts range from a drop of 2.8 million barrels to a gain of 1.5 million barrels.
Refinery use is seen falling 0.7 percentage point to 90.2% of capacity, based on EIA data. One analyst expects a rise, seven expect a decline and two didn't provide an estimate. Forecasts range from a rise of 0.3 points to a drop of 1.5 points.
The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said late Tuesday that its own data for the same week showed an increase of 4.6 million barrels in crude-oil supplies, according to a source. The group said that gasoline supplies rose by 3.3 million barrels and that U.S. distillate stocks increased by 200,000 barrels in the week, according to a source.
Estimates for week ending 9/25/15
Crude Gasoline Distillates Refinery Use
-1 -0.5 -2 -1 Confluence Investment Management
0.5 0.5 1 -0.5 Energy Management Institute
0.216 0.923 -2.781 -1.1 Excel Futures
2 -1.5 1 n/a IAF Advisors
1 2 -1.5 -1.5 EBW AnalyticsGroup
-2 -2 1.5 0.25 Frost & Sullivan
-2.5 1 -2 -0.5 Price Futures Group
1 0.3 -0.8 -0.4 Ritterbusch and Associates
0.5 0.75 -0.5 n/a Tyche Capital Advisors
3.5 1 -2 -1 Tradition Energy
AVERAGE 0.3 0.2 -0.8 -0.7
MAXIMUM 3.5 2 1.5 0.25
MINIMUM -2.5 -2 -2.781 -1.5
********************************************************
Good luck everybody!
******************************************************
Analysts Expect Increase in U.S. Oil Stockpiles
Published: Sep 29, 2015
By Christian Berthelsen
U.S. crude-oil stocks are expected to rise in data due Wednesday from the Department of Energy, according to a survey of analysts by The Wall Street Journal.
Estimates from 10 analysts surveyed showed that U.S. oil inventories are projected to have increased by 300,000 barrels, on average, in the week ended September 25.
Seven analysts expect stockpiles to rise, while three analysts expect stockpiles to fall in the week. Forecasts range from a rise of 3.5 million barrels to a drop of 2.5 million barrels.
The closely watched survey from the Energy Information Administration is due at 10:30 a.m. EDT Wednesday.
Gasoline stockpiles are expected to rise by 200,000 barrels, according to analysts. Seven analysts expect an increase, with three expecting a decrease. Estimates range from a rise of 2 million barrels to a drop of 2 million barrels.
Stocks of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel, are expected to fall by 800,000 barrels. Seven analysts expect a drop, while three see a decline. Forecasts range from a drop of 2.8 million barrels to a gain of 1.5 million barrels.
Refinery use is seen falling 0.7 percentage point to 90.2% of capacity, based on EIA data. One analyst expects a rise, seven expect a decline and two didn't provide an estimate. Forecasts range from a rise of 0.3 points to a drop of 1.5 points.
The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said late Tuesday that its own data for the same week showed an increase of 4.6 million barrels in crude-oil supplies, according to a source. The group said that gasoline supplies rose by 3.3 million barrels and that U.S. distillate stocks increased by 200,000 barrels in the week, according to a source.
Estimates for week ending 9/25/15
Crude Gasoline Distillates Refinery Use
-1 -0.5 -2 -1 Confluence Investment Management
0.5 0.5 1 -0.5 Energy Management Institute
0.216 0.923 -2.781 -1.1 Excel Futures
2 -1.5 1 n/a IAF Advisors
1 2 -1.5 -1.5 EBW AnalyticsGroup
-2 -2 1.5 0.25 Frost & Sullivan
-2.5 1 -2 -0.5 Price Futures Group
1 0.3 -0.8 -0.4 Ritterbusch and Associates
0.5 0.75 -0.5 n/a Tyche Capital Advisors
3.5 1 -2 -1 Tradition Energy
AVERAGE 0.3 0.2 -0.8 -0.7
MAXIMUM 3.5 2 1.5 0.25
MINIMUM -2.5 -2 -2.781 -1.5
********************************************************
Good luck everybody!
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #1,452
- Sep 30, 2015 6:23am Sep 30, 2015 6:23am
Hey,
Im with big interest reading all the posts in this threat and now I want to help you a bit if you want:
1. You never will predict correctly a up or down move with indicators like you use in this threat. Why: because you use only indicators which generating a value based on price data. That's your problem. Of course, when all usd pairs for example before news announcement moving down, there is a possibility that news have a negative impact on usd. But it's more 50/50. Believe it or not. I tell you what you need: not a indicator which measures the price change... You have to now when big traders buying or selling. Volume is the key. You have to know when a big guy is bringing big volume into the market. Now the tell you a second key knowledge: the big guys don't buying or selling 10 minutes before the news. The do that maybe 3 or two second right before news. So all the volatility before the news, and also the direction of the currency strength indicators is based on noises from small retail traders and news traders which haven't a possibility to win seriously. I only want to help you. If you want to now in which direction the market goes before news, you need a really special volume indicator which shows you separate detailed buy and sell volume
. If you want, pm me and I will make you a good offer.
2. Thank you fish for your work hear, but please stop giving people hope, which is not correct. Your accounts are clearly demo accounts. Or you using other indicators like me or other things like volume analyses. But you can't predict the market like you show in your charts.
That are my 2 cents. Be wise
Bye
Im with big interest reading all the posts in this threat and now I want to help you a bit if you want:
1. You never will predict correctly a up or down move with indicators like you use in this threat. Why: because you use only indicators which generating a value based on price data. That's your problem. Of course, when all usd pairs for example before news announcement moving down, there is a possibility that news have a negative impact on usd. But it's more 50/50. Believe it or not. I tell you what you need: not a indicator which measures the price change... You have to now when big traders buying or selling. Volume is the key. You have to know when a big guy is bringing big volume into the market. Now the tell you a second key knowledge: the big guys don't buying or selling 10 minutes before the news. The do that maybe 3 or two second right before news. So all the volatility before the news, and also the direction of the currency strength indicators is based on noises from small retail traders and news traders which haven't a possibility to win seriously. I only want to help you. If you want to now in which direction the market goes before news, you need a really special volume indicator which shows you separate detailed buy and sell volume
. If you want, pm me and I will make you a good offer. 2. Thank you fish for your work hear, but please stop giving people hope, which is not correct. Your accounts are clearly demo accounts. Or you using other indicators like me or other things like volume analyses. But you can't predict the market like you show in your charts.
That are my 2 cents. Be wise
Bye
- #1,453
- Sep 30, 2015 6:45am Sep 30, 2015 6:45am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
Hey, Im with big interest reading all the posts in this threat and now I want to help you a bit if you want: 1. You never will predict correctly a up or down move with indicators like you use in this threat. Why: because you use only indicators which generating a value based on price data. That's your problem. Of course, when all usd pairs for example before news announcement moving down, there is a possibility that news have a negative impact on usd. But it's more 50/50. Believe it or not. I tell you what you need: not a indicator which measures...
we will be glad your successes.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #1,454
- Sep 30, 2015 7:23am Sep 30, 2015 7:23am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #1,455
- Sep 30, 2015 7:33am Sep 30, 2015 7:33am
{quote} If you are trading on the news, show the deal in the subject. we will be glad your successes.
I only want to help
- #1,456
- Sep 30, 2015 7:33am Sep 30, 2015 7:33am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #1,457
- Sep 30, 2015 9:21am Sep 30, 2015 9:21am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
{quote} I don't will give away for free, for what I worked so hard over years. I think that's only fair. But If someone I'd interested, can pm me. If not, no problem
There generally no one sells.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #1,458
- Sep 30, 2015 9:33am Sep 30, 2015 9:33am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #1,459
- Sep 30, 2015 9:36am Sep 30, 2015 9:36am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...