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EURUSD

  • #1,026,381
  • Sep 16, 2015 11:05pm Sep 16, 2015 11:05pm
Quoting giveachance
{quote} damm its so difficult to trade since past 4 months. look at kiwi for example. rate cut may not come but its still falling when aussie has given a 300 pip bounce. good thing is 6285 was bought heavily. thats a floor for now. but 6370 is difficult level to take out
I bought in that range and cashed out (h4/d1 positioning)
Thinking it will see a 3 soldiers formation on weekly though.

Bottom is soon, feels similar to EU in March. Rally then double bottom sometime in October then lift off into year end.

67c is the major resistance. 6060 should hold for the remainder of 2015... next year could attack 50c though.
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Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,026,382
  • Sep 16, 2015 11:15pm Sep 16, 2015 11:15pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
{quote} I bought in that range and cashed out (h4/d1 positioning) Thinking it will see a 3 soldiers formation on weekly though. Bottom is soon, feels similar to EU in March. Rally then double bottom sometime in October then lift off into year end. 67c is the major resistance. 6060 should hold for the remainder of 2015... next year could attack 50c though. {image}
although I dont trade aud/usd , nzd/usd, I do trade aud/nzd. I am looking for a trendline break @1.1222. If that level goes we can head back to 1.08 without any problem.
  • #1,026,383
  • Sep 16, 2015 11:54pm Sep 16, 2015 11:54pm
follow the flow
  • #1,026,384
  • Sep 17, 2015 12:15am Sep 17, 2015 12:15am
Quoting Atihun
Early birds get the worm

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  • #1,026,385
  • Sep 17, 2015 12:32am Sep 17, 2015 12:32am
Anyone trading the "epic" FOMC later today? Wonder how big of a spike we will see if rates change (or not). I guess about 800 to 1000 pips in 10 seconds are possible. Other opinions?
  • #1,026,386
  • Sep 17, 2015 12:36am Sep 17, 2015 12:36am
Quoting geektrader
Anyone trading the "epic" FOMC later today? Wonder how big of a spike we will see if rates change (or not). I guess about 800 to 1000 pips in 10 seconds are possible. Other opinions?
This will not happenSuch spikes only happen when no one know. Like snb, nzd last month
  • #1,026,387
  • Sep 17, 2015 12:40am Sep 17, 2015 12:40am
Quoting Ken A
{image} {quote} Active trade {quote} Waiting FOMC to either close the sell (if not being s/o by then) or buy {image} ''''''''''''' I have 1.55278 marked as possible S/R here Replied Sep 4, 2015 Replied Sep 2, 2015 Replied Jul 28, 2015
Got stopped out overnight, I had my stop at BE and it was hit. Where are you planning to buy GU, around 1,545?

How do you plan such a FOMC Ken? Do you put pending orders at extreme levels? Do you focus on one currency or multiple?
  • #1,026,388
  • Sep 17, 2015 12:43am Sep 17, 2015 12:43am
Quoting ceetee
{quote} Got stopped out overnight, I had my stop at BE and it was hit. Where are you planning to buy GU, around 1,545? How do you plan such a FOMC Ken? Do you put pending orders at extreme levels? Do you focus on one currency or multiple?
I don't plan to buy GU at such levels. For FOMC if position against USD will close otherwise will let it run. No plan to open new orders during FOMC other than managing existing ones
  • #1,026,389
  • Sep 17, 2015 12:45am Sep 17, 2015 12:45am
Quoting ffmonry
{quote} This will not happenSuch spikes only happen when no one know. Like snb, nzd last month
Let´s see later on, in Forex, ANYTHING can happen, especially with todays FOMC!
  • #1,026,390
  • Sep 17, 2015 12:49am Sep 17, 2015 12:49am
Quoting geektrader
Anyone trading the "epic" FOMC later today? Wonder how big of a spike we will see if rates change (or not). I guess about 800 to 1000 pips in 10 seconds are possible. Other opinions?

No Doubt it's going to be one of the happening events in 2015 resulting into good volatility and spike BUT 800-1000 pips in 10 seconds ?? I highly doubt it..
Losers Hope, Winners Believe
  • #1,026,391
  • Sep 17, 2015 12:50am Sep 17, 2015 12:50am
Quoting geektrader
{quote} Lets see later on, in Forex, ANYTHING can happen, especially with todays FOMC!
Lets hope it.. I am keeping 1000 pips take profit
  • #1,026,392
  • Sep 17, 2015 12:52am Sep 17, 2015 12:52am
Quoting geektrader
Anyone trading the "epic" FOMC later today? Wonder how big of a spike we will see if rates change (or not). I guess about 800 to 1000 pips in 10 seconds are possible. Other opinions?
there are more (tradeable) scenarios than hike or no hike.
follow the flow
  • #1,026,393
  • Sep 17, 2015 12:52am Sep 17, 2015 12:52am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} I don't plan to buy GU at such levels. For FOMC if position against USD will close otherwise will let it run. No plan to open new orders during FOMC other than managing existing ones
When do you start opening new orders, the day after or a few hours after already?
  • #1,026,394
  • Sep 17, 2015 12:57am Sep 17, 2015 12:57am
Quoting ceetee
{quote} When do you start opening new orders, the day after or a few hours after already?
It depends on FOMC I can't answer right now
  • #1,026,395
  • Sep 17, 2015 1:01am Sep 17, 2015 1:01am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} It depends on FOMC I can't answer right now
exactly - I will not trade any big lots before the FOMC announcement.
Get rich or die tryin!
  • #1,026,396
  • Sep 17, 2015 1:02am Sep 17, 2015 1:02am
I think this article pretty much nailed it:


We're watching 4 points during the meeting:

  1. Decision on Rates
  2. Guidance
  3. Economic Projections
  4. Number of Dissenters

And here are the most likely scenarios along with the potential reaction in the dollar:

  1. Hike but imply that they are one and done for the year > Initial USD spike followed by vicious reversal
  2. No hike but indicate that rates will still rise this year > Initial USD drop followed by healthy relief rally
  3. No hike and no guidance on when rates would rise > Multi-day decline in USD
  4. Hike and indicate that more could come in 2015 if headwinds fade and US economy strengthens > Multi-day rally in USD

​
Source: http://www.investing.com/analysis/tr...he-fomc-265282

Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #1,026,397
  • Sep 17, 2015 1:02am Sep 17, 2015 1:02am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Early birds get the worm {image}
blessed are those that can have no sleep
  • #1,026,398
  • Sep 17, 2015 1:05am Sep 17, 2015 1:05am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} It depends on FOMC I can't answer right now
Thanks for the info. I don't think I will open a new order before FOMC, it's probably useless anyway because price will probably move viciously in 2 directions anyway
  • #1,026,399
  • Sep 17, 2015 1:14am Sep 17, 2015 1:14am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} blessed are those that can have no sleep
You skip schooll today
  • #1,026,400
  • Sep 17, 2015 1:20am Sep 17, 2015 1:20am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} You skip schooll today
follow the flow
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