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  • #136,901
  • Sep 13, 2015 6:17pm Sep 13, 2015 6:17pm
Quoting Pharm0r
Are you sure? I'm not seeing anything prohibiting it, as long as it isnt leveraged or on margin everything seems fair game...?
is your account an IRA account?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #136,902
  • Sep 13, 2015 6:52pm Sep 13, 2015 6:52pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} is your account an IRA account?
Roth IRA
  • #136,903
  • Sep 13, 2015 8:14pm Sep 13, 2015 8:14pm
If I try to do options trades that are "infinite risk" in TDA Roth IRA account, those trades are blocked. They told me that they would not allow futures/options on futures trading from the IRA account. Never hurts to ask, though, and no proof like just trying to do it and see what happens.

Quoting Pharm0r
Roth IRA
http://www.decarleytrading.com/index...117&Itemid=125

" For instance, due to risk management concerns, many of the popular discount brokerages or broker-dealers (those dealing with stock and futures clients) don't give clients the option to trade futures or options on futures within a retirement account. Additionally, those discount firms that do accept IRA accounts might enforce stricter day-trading margins and or risk management techniques such as forced liquidation."
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #136,904
  • Sep 13, 2015 8:17pm Sep 13, 2015 8:17pm
You can set up a self-directed IRA account through a number of established account custodians. In those, you can trade just about anything. I know people who do RE investing through those kinds of setups. The question I would have is: what kind of protection (FDIC) is offered on your deposits with those custodians?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #136,905
  • Sep 13, 2015 10:32pm Sep 13, 2015 10:32pm
Quoting The Fool
You can set up a self-directed IRA account through a number of established account custodians. In those, you can trade just about anything. I know people who do RE investing through those kinds of setups. The question I would have is: what kind of protection (FDIC) is offered on your deposits with those custodians?
Obviously- the whole point of a retirement account is to have one when you get there

The question was answered though- futures can be traded in an IRA depending on broker. I was under the impression they couldn't be traded
  • #136,906
  • Sep 13, 2015 11:22pm Sep 13, 2015 11:22pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} No. I am assuming overreaction on Chinese numbers, winter demand and expectation of cut Pcc on the supply side. Rates will help the cause but not the main mover for this. On the major move. Mid term leg is pretty much cleared for an exhaustion leg below $30 ($26.xx handle) to form a long [and it will last for very long] term extended chop zone around $40 / $ 50 until we find a more sustainable equilibrium. Oil extreme short term unbalance between sply/demand are neither healthy or sustainable for the world economy for much long ... {quote}...
Thanks bro, got it
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #136,907
  • Sep 14, 2015 1:31am Sep 14, 2015 1:31am
Quoting sisse
{quote} ...and clearing 1.128x target. ......
Quote
NFP triggered a technical short term swing buy alert in the Euro for the FED fading the current lows (1.080x / 1.112x ...)[check] --> 1.147x [in play] with soft intermediate stops @ 1.128x [check]and strong 1.136x [check]with max extension to 1.184x (all with no hikes )....
... sisse
Clearing 1.136x target on the European opening & that was pretty much it until the Fed decision. Without surprises a healthy mattress for playing the FOMC.....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #136,908
  • Sep 14, 2015 5:12am Sep 14, 2015 5:12am
Quoting sisse
{quote}{quote} Clearing 1.136x target on the European opening & that was pretty much it until the Fed decision. Without surprises a healthy mattress for playing the FOMC..... sisse
north or south ....
Re-Incarnated
  • #136,909
  • Sep 14, 2015 5:34am Sep 14, 2015 5:34am
NORM is 1.1402/1435 or 1.1428/1458 for bears

I'll be shorting there
  • #136,910
  • Sep 14, 2015 5:39am Sep 14, 2015 5:39am
Quoting Pharm0r
NORM is 1.1402/1435 or 1.1428/1458 for bears I'll be shorting there
I've got 1406 and 1437
  • #136,911
  • Sep 14, 2015 5:50am Sep 14, 2015 5:50am
Quoting Pharm0r
NORM is 1.1402/1435 or 1.1428/1458 for bears I'll be shorting there
Imho i dont think those levels which you mentioned will be reached ....
Re-Incarnated
  • #136,912
  • Sep 14, 2015 7:52am Sep 14, 2015 7:52am
Typical PA. Tested the core of that weekly candle and indecision at 1.131x.

Interesting week ahead. All eyes on weighing the commodity/risk reaction via either FED action or inaction. The implications are complex on this particular pair so not as straight forward as the technical picture: as pointed out earlier on this page +- 1.1464 is the clear technical entry for shorts, either fast or with an extended range.

Wednesday's inflation prints could pre-empt the FED trigger wise with the actual call providing the follow through if we're looking for a buffer/mattress so something else to look out for.

GL to all for this very interesting week and congrats to the bulls from the lows.
  • #136,913
  • Sep 14, 2015 12:33pm Sep 14, 2015 12:33pm
... very simple sessions across the board. Euro held 1.136x as widely expected. All key markets forming compression zones intraday for the FOMC with plenty of major swings melting in the oven. Particularly interesting OIL and GOLD with cheap tickets on offer for today close.

Quoting sisse
{quote} ...All eyes on Oil today for the energies close. $45.8x opens a very yummy and tradable fast test $49.9x for the final rally of the year....
For those following the OIL swing $43.6x holding the energies close will unlock a 3rd attempt to crack $45.8x and the leg to $49.9x. Also GOLD, with a strong contrarian opp (NSN trade === Not Suitable x Newbies...coined by sisse again as many people have asked more details on those complex legs.... ) fading the lows (109x.xx holding the close till the FOMC for reference) with no rates for a quick rally to $1200.xx with extension to $1250.xx.

Cheap tickets available in commodities for the preemptive and risk play with FED chickening out ... On the rest, same levels, same trades, same all...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #136,914
  • Sep 14, 2015 1:13pm Sep 14, 2015 1:13pm
Quoting sisse
... Cheap tickets available in commodities for the preemptive and risk play with FED chickening out ...
no way, esse - time to nut up. Easier trade on a Fed whiff, for my money, is just a VIX crash back to the August lows, and corresponding risk rally in the indices (SPY for me) - back to the August highs. Oil maybe too but dicier...but anyway, I'm bigger on the other end cuz I think they bite the bullet.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #136,915
  • Sep 14, 2015 1:48pm Sep 14, 2015 1:48pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} no way, esse - time to nut up. Easier trade on a Fed whiff, for my money, is just a VIX crash back to the August lows, and corresponding risk rally in the indices (SPY for me) - back to the August highs. Oil maybe too but dicier...but anyway, I'm bigger on the other end cuz I think they bite the bullet.
I don't disagree with you my bias is 100% neutral for the FOMC. My personal opinion and macro numbers are aligned for a hike (a small one) but FED is flirting with chickening out after the big legs in August ...so I CANT just overlook the latest strong moves.

--> I am only loaded in the euro given the simple ride after NFP. In Equities I am flat as a pancake and I will remain so until the announcement. However in Dollar, OIL and GOLD (among the majors) the latest sharp legs unlocked the other side too (no hikes sep) from a technical point of view (both sides open ...therefore short term neutral outlooks in all of them).

--> Based on experience alone, Treasuries (not trading this week) and Gold will lead pre rates and gold is flirting to turn around for the announcement. In simple words I wont be surprise with a rally in gold / drop in dollar with no hikes. Whether you want to bid the preemptive cheap ticket is a whole different matter and depends on risk aversion more than anything else (OIL and GOLD looks very tempting for today close). I will personally only consider playing them with inflation reports the day before ...

We'll see ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #136,916
  • Sep 14, 2015 2:01pm Sep 14, 2015 2:01pm
Quoting sisse
... We'll see ... sisse
I'm in since early August, two-sided trades on VXX, SPY, a little bit on the high-yield bond etf, HYG.....mostly for Sept expiry (the day after the FOMC) some bullish VXX spreads for October, in case we get a spike to end the month & then a reversion, smaller hedging trades for the week after Sept expiry......gonna be glorious, nothing to do but wait now....good luck, mate.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #136,917
  • Sep 14, 2015 2:44pm Sep 14, 2015 2:44pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} I'm in since early August, two-sided trades on VXX, SPY, a little bit on the high-yield bond etf, HYG.....mostly for Sept expiry (the day after the FOMC) some bullish VXX spreads for October, in case we get a spike to end the month & then a reversion, smaller hedging trades for the week after Sept expiry......gonna be glorious, nothing to do but wait now....good luck, mate.
Sounds like the best place to be for this FOMC.... GL to you too ....

We'll get the last hints for the intraday reactions on Wednesday, for now entering in no man's land across the board...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #136,918
  • Sep 14, 2015 3:46pm Sep 14, 2015 3:46pm
Slightly bullish closes in OIL, Gold and Euro triggering early alerts for this week moves ... Expecting chop until Wednesday inflation (oil inventories too) numbers that could trigger the start of the FED announcement moves ...

Got what i needed ...so same levels, same trades, same all ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #136,919
  • Sep 15, 2015 7:46am Sep 15, 2015 7:46am
.... inline (with revisions) retail sales but ufff what a miss in the Empire State Manufacturing Index. It wasn't a one off last time but its actually a massive turn around. This number will bring tail (sadly it remind me of the pre financial collapse in 2008) when NY turned sour way before the rest of the US....

Whatever the case, strong misses in expectations in Germany and now in NY .... FED under extreme pressure as expected and they may have missed the window for hikes earlier this year ....

NY to come but nothing to see across the board. Expecting chop zone all over the place...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #136,920
  • Sep 15, 2015 7:50am Sep 15, 2015 7:50am
good time for a vacation. good luck everyone. nice call on oil sisse
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