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EURUSD

  • #1,024,521
  • Sep 4, 2015 3:40pm Sep 4, 2015 3:40pm
Quoting Marco-Kanto
{quote} I'll try not to worry... Thanks mate.
There, did you close it?
  • #1,024,522
  • Sep 4, 2015 3:50pm Sep 4, 2015 3:50pm
Quoting publicjud
{quote} There, did you close it?
Closed with a smile and a 1 pip gain! Just call me Gordon Gekko. THANKS FOR THE ADVICE EVERYONE.
Focus.
  • #1,024,523
  • Sep 4, 2015 4:27pm Sep 4, 2015 4:27pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i dont know for sure.. the ej has a norm at 137.17.. if that support mentioned earlier stops this drop.. the eu should go with it higher. that 530 ish ej pips.. ken can tell u eu wise.. a norm at 1433 is still untouched. even 1/2 of an ej move is a few hundred pips.. i dont know if this happens. speculation waiting on the fed many times has a pump involved.. good luck.. i did have a pending eu long at 1092 that was missed the second dip by 2. it closed above 1108 has me not willing to short the eu w/o a bounce.. Monday u.s. closed and china...
ej held above support. china markets were closed for 2 days. Monday is a u.s. holiday. i really dont know, but i speculate. if the Asian markets drops early next week, the eu may rise a shitload. with china being closed the last 2 days this week, it may happen hard, as china beefs up its market (they may sell usd). that leaves Sunday and Monday w/o u.s. markets trading. if those markets drop. on Tuesday when u.s. opens, there is no telling what they are waking into. i personally will not be in the least surprised to see many margin calls worldwide. if so, the yen should flex some muscle.. the euro maybe will get a nice large bounce..

fed raises, and u.s. markets drop is the consensus. what if fed raises and markets drop, but the eu rises and the uj sinks? at least initially..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,024,524
  • Sep 4, 2015 5:53pm Sep 4, 2015 5:53pm
FFS. I completely forgot I'm not on a fixed speed and finished 3 pips down. SPOT THE AMATEUR.
Focus.
  • #1,024,525
  • Sep 4, 2015 6:48pm Sep 4, 2015 6:48pm
Hi iam confused about what happened to the dollar, specifically against the euro. When the NFP came out 173k was official number which is well below market expectations, I was doing a quick scalp and I expected the euro to strengthen against the dollar, however much to my surprise the dollar strengthened almost immediately not only against the euro but the cable too. The only rationale i can muster is that maybe the markets view this as an ok for the fed to raise rates which would be bullish on the dollar but even that doesn't make sense why would a weak NFP signal a go-ahead for rate hike? Anyways I would appreciate anyone's thought on this.

- Bonez
  • #1,024,526
  • Sep 4, 2015 11:44pm Sep 4, 2015 11:44pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} ej held above support. china markets were closed for 2 days. Monday is a u.s. holiday. i really dont know, but i speculate. if the Asian markets drops early next week, the eu may rise a shitload. with china being closed the last 2 days this week, it may happen hard, as china beefs up its market (they may sell usd). that leaves Sunday and Monday w/o u.s. markets trading. if those markets drop. on Tuesday when u.s. opens, there is no telling what they are waking into. i personally will not be in the least surprised to see many margin calls...
I'd be careful with those eu longs.......non-farm missed and suggested that the fed would hold off raising rates in september and the eu failed to break the previous day's high? like I said be careful with those eu longs....
  • #1,024,527
  • Sep 5, 2015 1:40am Sep 5, 2015 1:40am
Quoting AmeriTrini
{quote} I'd be careful with those eu longs.......non-farm missed and suggested that the fed would hold off raising rates in september and the eu failed to break the previous day's high? like I said be careful with those eu longs....
Thanks u advise
Tatargaluh parahiyangan
  • #1,024,528
  • Sep 5, 2015 2:19am Sep 5, 2015 2:19am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} cancelled sell limit's I'am bullish on EU for now due to my chart Targetting 1.14 area ( 1.1140 atm ) I'm flat atm will get in on train after NFP my bullish view will drop if we can break down 1.1097 area . will try to scalp during NFP . I've got 1.1219 up there above that number I am bullish below that level I would target 1.08xx area . let's see what will NFP bring US
H4 chart attached 1097 defended , next week will try to get clear long signal and ride it till 1.14
Attached Image
  • #1,024,529
  • Edited 8:46am Sep 5, 2015 8:22am | Edited 8:46am
Quoting AmeriTrini
{quote} I'd be careful with those eu longs.......non-farm missed and suggested that the fed would hold off raising rates in september and the eu failed to break the previous day's high? like I said be careful with those eu longs....
i did not say long or short, especially over the weekend. i am saying the china reaction before the fed is one to watch. what the fed does or not is in almost 2 weeks. between now and than other reactions can give a better price. for some reason many of you assume me saying a bounce, is bullish. i just use them to sell higher mostly. i use certain places where support may be, as a place to close. just a few weeks ago there was a equity sell off the eu was at 17xx. technically the eu has closed a quarter higher, also. that's a HH on the year after a LL. Fridays close was above Junes quarter close, after being below. technically these are not bearish signs... it didnt hold it once under. at the same time ej is near a support and stalled.. what happens early next week may be a dud, or extremely important. u.s. markets were red, and we dont know how Chinese markets will react after several days off. long before the fed 11 days away.. i expected dragis to poor mouth,, he did.. right on que near 1209 support at the time last week. and yet eu has barely moved..

i want to short for other reasons, higher s better. among them i expect German gdp to drop further with or w/o a fed rate raise. we need a reset of currency prices closer toward 1973 and before. shorting at support generally dont turn out well. getting lucky about the direction ahead of what china does should be taken for what it is. good luck or bad luck, it has little to do with trading skills or lack of. if one is going to take the gamble, risking a slice of bread for a loaf seems the best thing..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,024,530
  • Sep 5, 2015 8:47am Sep 5, 2015 8:47am
I really hope we will finally see some serious movement on the EUR/USD chart because this range has been going on for months now.
  • #1,024,531
  • Sep 5, 2015 8:48am Sep 5, 2015 8:48am
Quoting victoriajen
I really hope we will finally see some serious movement on the EUR/USD chart because this range has been going on for months now.
is 17xx in that range?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,024,532
  • Sep 5, 2015 8:57am Sep 5, 2015 8:57am
Quoting Bonez
Hi iam confused about what happened to the dollar, specifically against the euro. When the NFP came out 173k was official number which is well below market expectations, I was doing a quick scalp and I expected the euro to strengthen against the dollar, however much to my surprise the dollar strengthened almost immediately not only against the euro but the cable too. The only rationale i can muster is that maybe the markets view this as an ok for the fed to raise rates which would be bullish on the dollar but even that doesn't make sense why would...
Listening to the news pundits you would think there was a straight forward mechanical relationship between news and price. There is not. further the immediate price action surround a major new event is unpredictable. Often the price goes both ways, and very quickly. Then it can just fluctuate and return to where it was or it can start trending. Finally, trying to rationalize the price movement is just that... a rationalization. The exact thinking of the market -- a horde of presumably bright people all making simultaneous decision for varied reasons in an environment where everybody lacks true viability is, at the end of it, unknowable.
Kill the ego, or it will kill the mission.
  • #1,024,533
  • Sep 5, 2015 11:13am Sep 5, 2015 11:13am
hey fff ..i know you are enjoying your weekend ..wish happy time with your...no w quiz again ...
1. what is your TA about eurousd ?
2.what phase we are now?
3.Accumulations.....mark up ..distribution or ..mark down
4.now i am giving img to find ANS(not anus!!)

i will post answer latter...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eusd order flow.PNG Size: 179 KB
Say something meaningful or Silence!!
  • #1,024,534
  • Edited 5:19pm Sep 5, 2015 11:31am | Edited 5:19pm
Quoting marskaydir
Well its freaky friday so something must give. Eu gave me a shitty week. Anyways its time to trade
How was the week for you?

It was fabulous yet again for me.

was able to concentrate in my trading a lot better than never before.

As I informed you last week, avoiding un wanted discussions allowed me to concentrate and make more.

I am not impacted by bias or levels as I do not read posts here and have clear mind in my system. But I would not forget to thank ForexFactory, especially the technical threads gave me lots of input in my trading.

Results? Fabulous, never before to be frank. Had a loss day on Tuesday but rest of the days had been fantastic. As usual I have with drawn my profits and left only basic capital in both of my accounts.

Hope to continue in this same way. Best of luck to you and guys here.

Cheers !
Intraday only.
  • #1,024,535
  • Sep 5, 2015 12:41pm Sep 5, 2015 12:41pm
Quoting AmeriTrini
{quote} I'd be careful with those eu longs.......non-farm missed and suggested that the fed would hold off raising rates in september and the eu failed to break the previous day's high? like I said be careful with those eu longs....
Hikity hike in your cinemas soon.
  • #1,024,536
  • Sep 5, 2015 4:10pm Sep 5, 2015 4:10pm
Quoting Gamabunta
{quote} I will wait until it break this trendline, then I will short {image}
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Zoom out to H4 you'll see the same formation, at its lower line now If I were to attack it, which I may..it'd be on a retest after the break, less risk that way of being faked out
Did you take it? I missed it
Attached Image
  • #1,024,537
  • Sep 5, 2015 9:11pm Sep 5, 2015 9:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i did not say long or short, especially over the weekend. i am saying the china reaction before the fed is one to watch. what the fed does or not is in almost 2 weeks. between now and than other reactions can give a better price. for some reason many of you assume me saying a bounce, is bullish. i just use them to sell higher mostly. i use certain places where support may be, as a place to close. just a few weeks ago there was a equity sell off the eu was at 17xx. technically the eu has closed a quarter higher, also. that's a HH on the year...
You didn't say long or short, but only gave reasons for going long....lol.......ok.....
  • #1,024,538
  • Sep 5, 2015 11:19pm Sep 5, 2015 11:19pm
here is da answer try match previous img ...
euro usd testing previos accumulation stage/level..may me she is ready to go north...higher low (taken out prev lower high)and fibo 50 is giving lil shed light me.... till fed decision..IMHO..what you are thinkin
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eusd accu mark up.PNG Size: 187 KB
Say something meaningful or Silence!!
  • #1,024,539
  • Sep 5, 2015 11:30pm Sep 5, 2015 11:30pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} {quote} Did you take it? I missed it {image}

Bounce off of 2015s mid - not once but twice - too much for a coincidence .......... and look at that 1.11618

H1

Attached Image
  • #1,024,540
  • Sep 6, 2015 12:17am Sep 6, 2015 12:17am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Bounce off of 2015s mid - not once but twice - too much for a coincidence .......... and look at that 1.11618 H1 {image}
Good find! I have the long in, as we discussed but dont have that fib set up. Considering my short, I'd much rather this one get taken out..but I'll ride it to 1.14xx if it gets there....
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