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News trading discussion - continuation

  • #1,341
  • Sep 3, 2015 7:39am Sep 3, 2015 7:39am
Quoting toppo qqq
US ISM Non-Manuf Composite 59 58.2 60.3 Direction was wrong. Stopped & reversed with double lots. {image}
  • #1,342
  • Sep 3, 2015 7:54am Sep 3, 2015 7:54am
That's the trouble with using free software.
Seconds before I get publicity operation, covering my mt4, I did not see anything (-225 +100(re enter)) = -125$
If he had not appeared advertising, he had tested positive
demo demo and more demo
Inserted Video
  • #1,343
  • Sep 3, 2015 9:36am Sep 3, 2015 9:36am
Hi I would like to know that has happened with the Gas that I don't see publications inrelation to the news
  • #1,344
  • Sep 3, 2015 9:54am Sep 3, 2015 9:54am
Thoughts on "smart traders"

Key reasons for the fall of the euro and the dollar and here?

EUR fell 100 points, and the reason was a press conference by Mario Draghi, to understand the impact of performance on the causes.
The first stable blow to the euro followed the very first words of Mario Draghi, the primary application of the ECB has become a statement of fact to increase the limits on redemption of securities of the issue (from 25% to 33%). Despite the fact that the incentive program has remained unchanged at 60 billion. Euro per month, this statement was seen as an extension of the incentives that led to the first descent of quotations for 47 points.
Further more
- Recovery continues, but resumed the downside risks of growth and inflation, it is not clear whether they have specific consequences.
- The ECB has the ability and the will to proceed, if need be.
- Rising inflation is slower than expected.
- The inflation outlook has changed largely because of oil prices.
- Probably Eurozone deflation will meet in the coming months, but it will be the effect of the fall in oil prices.
Reduced growth forecast / inflation
GDP
In 2015 from 1.5% to 1.4%
In 2016 from 1.9% to 1.7%
Inflation
In 2015 from 0.3% to 0.1%
In 2016 from 1.5% to 1.1%
There was no discussion about the revision of the inflation target by the ECB, have the old goal of 2% consumer price index.
We also have: we are watching for the effect of inflation and see what to do next; talk about increasing QE does not arise.
In general, Mario Draghi may be called pessimistic at this time.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,345
  • Edited 10:42am Sep 3, 2015 9:55am | Edited 10:42am
Friday
15:30
04/09/15
1 Comments
US Number of employed outside agriculture HOT!
(US Non-Farm Employment Change), the United States, USDJPY
Average reaction when the trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
50% probability trades.
___________________________________________________________________________________________


In order to understand how to trade the pair reacts to different degrees of deviation from the fact that news of its forecast, see a visual table of statistics reactions
US Number of employed outside of agriculture
Date of
Deviation from the fact that the news of her forecast (US Non-Farm Employment Change)
Deviation from the fact that the news of her forecast (US Unemployment Rate)
Reaction trading pairs in points
Comments
07/08/2015 -10 0 23/30 spiking
02/07/2015 -0.1 -10 Fall 38-50 pairs
05/06/2015 55 90 0.1 Growth couple
05/08/2015 -4.5 0 45 and rolled back drop back to
03.04.2015 -119 0 90 Falling couple
03/06/2015 60 45 0.1 Growth couple
09/01/2015 12 -0.1 40/15 to 40/15 spiking
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,346
  • Edited Sep 4, 2015 1:07am Sep 3, 2015 11:39pm | Edited Sep 4, 2015 1:07am
DE Factory Orders (M/M) -1.4 -0.6 2 1.8
DE DE Factory Orders (Y/Y) -0.6 0.4 7.2 7
Poor results.
Wheelbarrel trailing stop exit often give away profits that would have been secured if manually closed as soon as price begin retracing. It's a decision of trader.

Edit: It's 7 sec to news, not 7 min LOL
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,347
  • Sep 4, 2015 12:40am Sep 4, 2015 12:40am
Hi
I am newbies please will anyone help in this issue ,The news of "Average Hourly Earnings m/m" of USD, What will happen in that time that means it is Buy signal or sell ?
  • #1,348
  • Sep 4, 2015 5:38am Sep 4, 2015 5:38am
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All a good weekend.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,349
  • Sep 4, 2015 5:41am Sep 4, 2015 5:41am
2:30pmCAD Employment Change
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  • #1,350
  • Sep 4, 2015 5:44am Sep 4, 2015 5:44am
Quoting vvFish
{image}{image} All a good weekend.
We took same trades ahahahah
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  • #1,351
  • Sep 4, 2015 5:47am Sep 4, 2015 5:47am
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  • #1,352
  • Sep 4, 2015 5:52am Sep 4, 2015 5:52am
Yeh at last i on the same boat

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  • #1,353
  • Sep 4, 2015 6:00am Sep 4, 2015 6:00am
Quoting vvFish
{image}{image} All a good weekend.
Its the best what ive seen ! trade 2 direction we all need to learn from you ) Havve a good weekend
  • #1,354
  • Sep 4, 2015 6:03am Sep 4, 2015 6:03am
Quoting vvFish
{image}{image} All a good weekend.
sell at 01, buy at 00 ???
  • #1,355
  • Edited 7:26am Sep 4, 2015 7:13am | Edited 7:26am
Thoughts on "smart traders"

Why would not miss next week.

The week - the last before the September FOMC meeting the US Federal Reserve.
On Monday, the United States and Canada over the weekend after Labor Day - respectively, place a bet on the liquidity of the day.
Tuesday, apparently at the news background is a hangover as important publications is not planned.
Wednesday will force you to watch the British publication of statistics on the growth of production, and the evening will attract the attention of the Bank of Canada, which will decide on the level of the interest rate.
Thursday, the most densely-time, start early enough, with the publication of the interest rate in New Zealand, it is interesting that analysts had already planned rate reduction from 3.0% to 2.75%, that in anticipation of FOMC a little strange and certainly requires attention. Early in the morning followed by the publication of labor market statistics from Australia. In the afternoon - a meeting of the Bank of England, which, in addition to the rate, will also present voting structure that markets like to speculate.
But if we trade, industrial production in China on Friday - would still have to think about.

Wednesday.
11:30
09/09/15
GB Industrial Production
(GB Industrial Production), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 20.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.

Wednesday.
17:00
09/09/15
CA overnight rate BC
(CA Overnight Rate), Canada, USDCAD
Average reaction when the trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
7% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,356
  • Sep 4, 2015 7:23am Sep 4, 2015 7:23am
Thoughts on "smart traders"

This person Nonfarm Payrolls, and the first assessment by the Fed

Autumn began briskly enough: the decision of the ECB dropped the EUR, Canada suffers from petroleum, Australia gives in to rate and Non-Farm in dissonance. No less frisky and will next week: just a meeting of three key Central Bank (the one with the consequences).
EUR
Simmering expectations change QE program of the European Central Bank finally rushed decisions under the pressure regulator.
European Central Bank changed the terms of the functioning of the program of quantitative easing, which was perceived by the market as one of the methods to increase QE. In general, Mario Draghi is pessimistic enough.
USD
Kocherlakota some exercise market before the publication of the data of the labor market, saying that "the persistence of low interest rates may also benefit the labor market", "inflation is too low for the rate hike in 2015". The individual, though a member of the Federal Reserve, but does not have the right to vote in the FOMC, but decided to listen. Included in the group of "soft policy".
The dollar is expected to publish NFP, as the last hope in the rhetorical question "increase or not increase?" (Talking about the interest rate, of course). Before the release of his little interest and reduction ISM Manufacturing PMI to 51.1 from the previous 52.7 and the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI which is contrary climbed to its maximum (59).
Publication of NFP did not provide the ability to fully blow off steam, that has accumulated in the engine market - data published by the conflict in discord.

NonFarm Payrolls 173K against 217K
Unemployment Rate 5,1% against 5,2%
Average Hourly Earnings 0,3% against 0,2%
NonFarm Payrolls Revised 245K against 215K
Prior Average Hourly Earnings YoY revised from 2.1% to 2.2%
As a result of the confusion of the market, who played in the headliner, and further turmoil positive side of the package.
Oil poured Lacker, predsavitel Fed voice, "a report published today was good, and does not alter the terms of the current policy."
You can see how it was in the air
GBP
The pound is still ahead, we will have a meeting of the Bank of England next week, and while a number of publications from the PMI sentiment indices point to a probable future negative blow: Manufacturing PMI 51.5 vs. 52; Construction PMI 57.3 vs. 57.5; Services PMI 55.6 vs 57.7.
Inflation remains a major concern for the fate of the British interest.
AUD
On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia left interest rates at 2.0% - unchanged, few institutions are resolved in the action before the Fed, as they say, "Ladies first."
Nevertheless, as seen this week, weak GDP growth and a reduction in retail sales. GDP q / q was able to add only 0.2% instead of the projected 0.4%. Retail Sales at all showed an outflow of this month to negative -0.1%. The challenge for Australia is a risk of reducing the demand for raw materials Kojima so rich exporting country, the state of affairs makes to remember the early articles about a possible recession continent.
CAD
Earlier this week, Canada has pleased us more than the forecast GDP growth: 0.5% vs. 0.2% forecast. CAD is tied to oil prices, and enhanced binding only to the worsening macro indicators, the most striking example was the anchor on Monday.
Posted on Friday, a report on the labor market has been mixed. NFP with the growth, but the unemployment rate rose:
Employment Change 12K against -5K
Unemployment Rate 7% vs 6.8%
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,357
  • Sep 4, 2015 8:24am Sep 4, 2015 8:24am
Quoting Jerkmiew
Yeh at last i on the same boat {image}
  • #1,358
  • Sep 5, 2015 6:48pm Sep 5, 2015 6:48pm
Quoting ak.azad
Hi I am newbies please will anyone help in this issue ,The news of "Average Hourly Earnings m/m" of USD, What will happen in that time that means it is Buy signal or sell ?
Set up under the GTM your calendar and you'll see what you have to know before neohodimo news trade.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,359
  • Sep 6, 2015 6:44pm Sep 6, 2015 6:44pm
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,360
  • Sep 7, 2015 6:35pm Sep 7, 2015 6:35pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
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