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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #57,821
  • Sep 3, 2015 8:34am Sep 3, 2015 8:34am
Quoting FXSayWhat
ECB cut growth forecast. Fed is likely to told rate in September now. UJ moves below 120.00.
...even after the beige book saw continuing economic improvement?
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  • #57,822
  • Sep 3, 2015 8:34am Sep 3, 2015 8:34am
Quoting FXSayWhat
ECB cut growth forecast. Fed is likely to told rate in September now. UJ moves below 120.00.
Doubt that would or would not affect decision.
  • #57,823
  • Sep 3, 2015 1:11pm Sep 3, 2015 1:11pm
This is weird man.....
FREEDOM IS SECURITY.
  • #57,824
  • Edited 5:44pm Sep 3, 2015 5:31pm | Edited 5:44pm
Next week, if USD/JPY can go up to about 121.1x, I will buy YEN.
  • #57,825
  • Edited 6:48pm Sep 3, 2015 6:37pm | Edited 6:48pm
It's very likely the price would hang around the 120.00 level till the NFP release in the next 12 hours or so.

Quoting Exodus
{quote} ...even after the beige book saw continuing economic improvement?
Growth is consistent. That is correct.

It's the global risk that has been challenging Fed's hike decision. The recent China move, and today ECB stated further QE would be applied if needed. I believe US is not likely to take the lead when China and ECB are giving dovish hands, at least not in September.

Quoting SunTrader
{quote} Doubt that would or would not affect decision.
Price is losing ground since the last FOMC. Plus today's ECB statement, I'd like to believe September is going to be no-hike.
If u luv happiness, start w/ discomfort, make friends w/ pain and failure.
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  • #57,826
  • Sep 3, 2015 7:41pm Sep 3, 2015 7:41pm
Fed will watch the markets reaction to NFP (which they already seen) and everything else they look at. I'd say it is a coin toss whether they will make a move during this month's meeting.

But something else they also are seeing happen is, after 1 month libor rate hitting bottom in May'14 going almost straight up since (+14.02% 2014 & +18.42% so far in 2015) - albeit from a really, really low point:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 Month Libor.png Size: 86 KB
  • #57,827
  • Sep 3, 2015 9:33pm Sep 3, 2015 9:33pm
this keeps falling when stocks are red but this time there seem to be no buybacks which makes me consider the bigmoney is already placed for the "no rate hike". If by 12 price doesnt go back up im closing my long i think im on the wrong side here
  • #57,828
  • Sep 4, 2015 1:31am Sep 4, 2015 1:31am
It has to go back to 121.65 mark before anything else, xabcd, keltner, perfect 0.618 fib the whole shamoodels, it all pointing to the 121.65ish Unless 24/9/2015 is real and the drop in gold is because its the new currency and we are really entering a cashless society which is utter butter, I am not frigging budgin .......... until maybe later today when some numbers come out it is going UP, UP UP UP UP UP UP UP UP UP UP UP....
FREEDOM IS SECURITY.
  • #57,829
  • Sep 4, 2015 1:32am Sep 4, 2015 1:32am
Daily chart by the way......
FREEDOM IS SECURITY.
  • #57,830
  • Sep 4, 2015 3:21am Sep 4, 2015 3:21am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPY_H1.gif Size: 186 KB
  • #57,831
  • Sep 4, 2015 3:23am Sep 4, 2015 3:23am
Quoting hippiedog
It has to go back to 121.65 mark before anything else, xabcd, keltner, perfect 0.618 fib the whole shamoodels, it all pointing to the 121.65ish Unless 24/9/2015 is real and the drop in gold is because its the new currency and we are really entering a cashless society which is utter butter, I am not frigging budgin .......... until maybe later today when some numbers come out it is going UP, UP UP UP UP UP UP UP UP UP UP UP....
It doesn´t seem to care much about your analysis, hehe
  • #57,832
  • Sep 4, 2015 3:24am Sep 4, 2015 3:24am
with u permit..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH4.png Size: 59 KB
Tatargaluh parahiyangan
  • #57,833
  • Sep 4, 2015 3:58am Sep 4, 2015 3:58am
Does anyone know what is happening to the U/J? Why is it going to 118? What news was there that this could be a possibility?
  • #57,834
  • Sep 4, 2015 4:03am Sep 4, 2015 4:03am
Quoting hippiedog
It has to go back to 121.65 mark before anything else, xabcd, keltner, perfect 0.618 fib the whole shamoodels, it all pointing to the 121.65ish Unless 24/9/2015 is real and the drop in gold is because its the new currency and we are really entering a cashless society which is utter butter, I am not frigging budgin .......... until maybe later today when some numbers come out it is going UP, UP UP UP UP UP UP UP UP UP UP UP....
It could also be going DOWN, DOWN, DOWN.....!

We will know soon enough if we are seeing another excursion to 116.00 followed by a retrace to 118.50; and then another leg-down to 112 or 110.

One thing I have learned in all my chart watching is that the minute you pin your reputation to some solid numbers the market does something else....
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  • #57,835
  • Sep 4, 2015 4:18am Sep 4, 2015 4:18am
Quoting Dano12
{image}
Tatargaluh parahiyangan
  • #57,836
  • Sep 4, 2015 4:27am Sep 4, 2015 4:27am
Quoting HareshBM
A quick short trade below 120.30 for an immediate drop to 120.00 mark, below which USDJPY is likely to aim back towards 118.50-40 support area.
USDJPY clearly seems to aim to test 118.40 support.
  • #57,837
  • Sep 4, 2015 7:11am Sep 4, 2015 7:11am
welcome NFP......
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH4.png Size: 59 KB
Tatargaluh parahiyangan
  • #57,838
  • Sep 4, 2015 7:23am Sep 4, 2015 7:23am
Let's Get Ready To Rumble
Inserted Video
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPY_H1.gif Size: 205 KB
  • #57,839
  • Sep 4, 2015 7:36am Sep 4, 2015 7:36am
Looks like buyers were coming in no matter what the number was although it did touch your 118.60 mark Dano! Skills
  • #57,840
  • Sep 4, 2015 7:46am Sep 4, 2015 7:46am
Unemployment rate is down to 5.1% from 5.3%
Very slight increase in average hourly earnings
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