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News trading discussion - continuation

  • #1,281
  • Sep 1, 2015 1:38am Sep 1, 2015 1:38am
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  • #1,282
  • Sep 1, 2015 1:44am Sep 1, 2015 1:44am
Quoting toppo qqq
{image}
good.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,283
  • Sep 1, 2015 1:57am Sep 1, 2015 1:57am
Quoting vvFish
{quote} good.
Большое спасибо
  • #1,284
  • Sep 1, 2015 4:17am Sep 1, 2015 4:17am
Covered my losing trade but still not understand what i missed , good GBP result....waiting for CAD....
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  • #1,285
  • Sep 1, 2015 5:13am Sep 1, 2015 5:13am
Quoting Valentinik87
Covered my losing trade but still not understand what i missed , good GBP result....waiting for CAD.... {image} {image}
My friend, imagine for a moment that all merchants who began to trade on the news only became successful. And What will the brokers in this case. If Forex trading was that easy, he would not have existed.
Do not forget rule trader news:
1. Do not trust the figures (they are late)
2. Do not trust analysts
3.Verit can only be the price on the chart.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,286
  • Sep 1, 2015 5:16am Sep 1, 2015 5:16am
Thoughts on "smart traders"

Canada is balancing between fluctuations in oil prices and the likely actions of its American neighbor. Recall that this year the Bank of Canada has resorted to lowering interest rates, and the markets do not exclude the repeated similar actions. In view of the CAD it remains quite volatile.
In terms of the probability of pulse power - the attractiveness of the script on the side of "the fact of worse prognosis," in this case can confirm the worst fears of the markets and Canada will be really on the road to recession.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,287
  • Sep 1, 2015 5:31am Sep 1, 2015 5:31am
vvFish, you're right!! thanks for your consideration
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  • #1,288
  • Sep 1, 2015 5:33am Sep 1, 2015 5:33am
Thank you very much.
Have a nice day, the price was moving like the signals.
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  • #1,289
  • Sep 1, 2015 5:35am Sep 1, 2015 5:35am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,290
  • Sep 1, 2015 5:36am Sep 1, 2015 5:36am
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  • #1,291
  • Sep 1, 2015 7:11am Sep 1, 2015 7:11am
Wednesday
4:30
02/09/15
1 Comments1 new comments
AU GDP growth HOT!
(AU GDP), Australia, AUDUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 40.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.

Wednesday
15:15
02/09/15
US ADP number of employed
(US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change), the United States, USDJPY
Average reaction when the trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
33% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,292
  • Sep 1, 2015 7:15am Sep 1, 2015 7:15am
Thoughts on "smart traders"

AU GDP

The quarterly indicator of GDP growth in Australia, scheduled for publication of data of the second quarter. The index requires special attention and is able to sufficiently influence the market, but will not do without pitfalls.
It is no secret that the Australian economy is heavily dependent on the economic rate of its main export customer, China, so that even his indicators we trade on the AUDUSD. The weakening of the high places, as well as expectations of growth of the interest rate by the US Federal Reserve had and put pressure on the Australian exchange rate against the dollar has reached 70 cents.
RBA quite happy with this situation, and until recently the quotations at the level of $ 0.7 were his goal. Since this is to be expected as a result of the session controller left its interest rate unchanged at 2%.
The economy of the first quarter showed a very significant increase of the level of 0.9%, but now analysts expect to witness an easing of growth of 0.4%. At the same time present the view that growth may reach 0.5% and. Economists note that the latest GDP changed weight classes, despite the decline in exports and the mining industry, an increase in tourism and other services, but the importance of this information to a greater extent only that markets can "capricious" to take to the published figures. Imagine, for example, that the data came out higher than expected (this is the most uncomfortable option), but after a minute analysis of the structure of GDP shows that exports continued to decline, and in spite of the increase in spending from the state investment in the mining industry do not work - expect a rollback of such case. Given the fact that the publication is not an officially regulated we can expect a delay of the signal (traditional), multiplying these facts, you must correctly choose their own risk.
For the scenario "fact lower than forecast" and present their doubts: apparently, the price is already laying the scenario. In any case, you should opt for a strategy of "caution" in the small deviations of the actual data.
In total
The script may be a short-term optimist, if you have any questions to the GDP
Pessimist scenario seems to look more promising, but that the state must comply with the dynamics of quotations of pre Surprise, not to eat all of the fuel before the release. In this scenario, we could have a great assistance to the revision of the previous value for Q1 is the quarter (0.9%) on that count is still possible.
Do not forget about the delay indicator, for the fans to "sit a little longer," we would recommend taking into account the developments to close most of the volume in the first minute of trading. In view of the fall and the phase of the market, we may well see significant volatility, with adequate deviations.

US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

On Friday we can expect the publication of Nonfarm Payrolls, so on Wednesday, ADP traditionally tries to guess the size of the upcoming data. Moreover, in this month's FOMC meeting the Fed will take a chance now and are as follows: 32.1% of analysts believe that the interest rate will still be raised.
Excitement, in a word. But you always have to say to yourself, "but." The situation is serious enough to expectations, as "a factor closer" in mind that the markets will probably want a more powerful arguments. It is better to rely on yourself for a little momentum in the middle and lower deviations from the fact that news of its forecast.
ADP quite inaccurate as it usually take the median and dynamics. For example, the last release pointed to the expected increase of the level of 185K, NFP, in turn, has been published with the dynamics of 215K. Not critical, but when it comes to "lower / higher" psychological 200K, the error may be a heavy and unpleasant.
Our recommendation on the data below the forecast strongly not to ignore the risks to the data pulse is higher than the forecast may prove useful. The dynamics of the revision of expectations the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in recent days is positive, as to say it's better this trend will be maintained, "the kid."
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,293
  • Sep 1, 2015 8:03am Sep 1, 2015 8:03am
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  • #1,294
  • Edited 10:50am Sep 1, 2015 10:27am | Edited 10:50am
A good day.
need to rest​.

Inserted Video
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,295
  • Sep 1, 2015 1:47pm Sep 1, 2015 1:47pm
Another metod
Inserted Video
  • #1,296
  • Sep 1, 2015 1:56pm Sep 1, 2015 1:56pm
Quoting chinchano
Another metod https://youtu.be/JvmM5G9EnRE
Interesting! money maker toppo
  • #1,297
  • Sep 1, 2015 5:49pm Sep 1, 2015 5:49pm
Quoting toppo qqq
{quote} Interesting! money maker toppo
My friend, with this widening of spreads all the stops as the geese fly away. (From my practice of Stop orders for 5 sec. To the news.)
Losses amounted to $ 1530.00 (if it is not my habit to record the video to prove the broker that it has expanded the spread to such an extent it would be impossible.)
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,298
  • Sep 1, 2015 6:08pm Sep 1, 2015 6:08pm
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,299
  • Sep 1, 2015 6:34pm Sep 1, 2015 6:34pm
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,300
  • Sep 1, 2015 6:38pm Sep 1, 2015 6:38pm
Made a good money, 30.7 pips at this time.
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