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  • #1,023,461
  • Aug 31, 2015 1:49pm Aug 31, 2015 1:49pm
Quoting sherifFares
EUR/USD is moving in a tight range and I dont think we will see any sudden movement until the ECB press conference and the NFP.
I agree with you on that, Because it should be some high volatility after that.
  • #1,023,462
  • Aug 31, 2015 2:22pm Aug 31, 2015 2:22pm
Quoting Alcibiade
5 successful months of demo trading. First day with a live account. 8 consecutive losing trades. -10% ouch
u picked a bad day end of month around 1209
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,023,463
  • Aug 31, 2015 2:30pm Aug 31, 2015 2:30pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Well kinda screwed up today on that EG...also EU cut me on few stops. Lucky took some partials on Dax, so.... day bad...but month good. Am now again on cozy leverage 10:1 with entries quite far...so hoping I will take part of floating in next month ...am locked BE + peanuts. And now am really gone. Cya and stay safe. T
53.14 53.37 has a shot, but 50.23 is safer
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,023,464
  • Aug 31, 2015 2:31pm Aug 31, 2015 2:31pm
Quoting AkMaLiTo
{quote} Please reduce your position size to something like 20% of the risk you used in demo trading... don't look for profit that fast, get yourself used to the psychology of "live" account first by using a very small position size that won't matter much if it was a profit or a loss trade, because most likely it will be a loosing trade... Live to trade another day!
Thanks! I already cut down my risk from 2% to 1%, but you're right, I might need to go lower for the time being. I'm not as ready as I thought i was.
Trading is easy right? lol
It's clearly psychology. My first trades were good (even if unlucky) but the last ones sucked big time. Revenge trades and so on. This was not happening on demo any more.
More work to do! The yacht will have to wait haha.

(And thanks to Gatorinla!)
  • #1,023,465
  • Aug 31, 2015 2:46pm Aug 31, 2015 2:46pm
Quoting Alcibiade
{quote} Thanks! I already cut down my risk from 2% to 1%, but you're right, I might need to go lower for the time being. I'm not as ready as I thought i was. Trading is easy right? lol It's clearly psychology. My first trades were good (even if unlucky) but the last ones sucked big time. Revenge trades and so on. This was not happening on demo any more. More work to do! The yacht will have to wait haha. (And thanks to Gatorinla!)
see where the day closes.. a fight in progress 1209 ish... a scalpers market.. even a ideal close on the bear side -1193. is just above the 1/4 close 1135/42 depending on time you consider closes ..we got a 1 h 15 min left for ny. or 8h 15 min fo 00:00.. london had its at 1200
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,023,466
  • Aug 31, 2015 2:54pm Aug 31, 2015 2:54pm
Long till 1.14
  • #1,023,467
  • Aug 31, 2015 3:10pm Aug 31, 2015 3:10pm
Vely quiet

Ghost town

Quoting ceetee
{quote} Ken, what is your guess where the EU will end up, it looks like they want to take it up to 1,17-1,18 at least looking at the monthly and quarterly charts. But they didn't build any support levels so if this falls it will be a sharp fall I think, what is your opinion?
And it did from 1.17x to 1.115x
  • #1,023,468
  • Aug 31, 2015 3:23pm Aug 31, 2015 3:23pm
Quoting NuNix
{quote} fall asleep & missed the 1st buy @1.1197, still no position on EU. still waiting to open buy on UJ & sell on EJ.
so i need to change my bias on Eu from bullish to bearish & open 1st sell @1.1212

still hold 1 buy on UJ and 1 sell on EJ.
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Dangdut is a music of my country
  • #1,023,469
  • Aug 31, 2015 3:25pm Aug 31, 2015 3:25pm
back in the middle again

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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,023,470
  • Aug 31, 2015 3:26pm Aug 31, 2015 3:26pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} I have 10% left from $38.0x From $38.7x is still full boat - sitting on this one - Crude weekly swing don't change direction out of nowhere w/o fundamental reason Also sitting on USDCAD short
Wow. Nice oil trade!! What made you go long at $38? If I may ask.
  • #1,023,471
  • Aug 31, 2015 3:35pm Aug 31, 2015 3:35pm
Quoting lancedes
{quote} Wow. Nice oil trade!! What made you go long at $38? If I may ask.
This below;

Quoting Ken A
{quote} This can't jack the price up and still haven't heard anything yet - looking to buy dip

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  • #1,023,472
  • Aug 31, 2015 3:41pm Aug 31, 2015 3:41pm
Quoting Ken A
Vely quiet Ghost town {quote} And it did from 1.17x to 1.115x
Didn't trade the plan though. I know now that psychology plays a very big part. The price was moving so quickly up that I had doubts that it would move even much further up. Guys like yourself and the other good traders here must have a lot of confidence and psychologically very strong, especially since you guys are putting in bigger lot sizes. Still a lot to learn about that part of trading, getting rid of fear is not easy.
  • #1,023,473
  • Aug 31, 2015 3:48pm Aug 31, 2015 3:48pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} This below; {quote} {image} {image}
Cheers for that. Makes perfect sense !!

Edit: So a sizeable deviation in that crude inventories number can play a big part in moving the crude price. hmmm, never knew that.
What about the API crude number on a Tuesday? Which one, if any, would you say is more important?
  • #1,023,474
  • Aug 31, 2015 3:51pm Aug 31, 2015 3:51pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Didn't hold the short from 1.17x because waiting for confirmation - highest short I hold is from 1.155x {image}
You still expect a test of the highs before the FOMC-meeting?
  • #1,023,475
  • Aug 31, 2015 4:00pm Aug 31, 2015 4:00pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} I can go back to dig out the # but it's basically supply and demand. Not easy sitting on Crude trade (at least for me) eyes and ears on the news even on Saturday and Sunday. {quote} I personally don't think so, they (FED) will be very careful not to crash the equity markets.
On the monthly chart there is an engulfing candle again, isn't this normally a strong signal that it want to go up higher?
  • #1,023,476
  • Aug 31, 2015 4:00pm Aug 31, 2015 4:00pm
1.12096 here...

what did london close?
  • #1,023,477
  • Aug 31, 2015 4:37pm Aug 31, 2015 4:37pm
IMO
H4 EU
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And falling's just another way to fly...
  • #1,023,478
  • Aug 31, 2015 5:21pm Aug 31, 2015 5:21pm
Quoting Pharm0r
1.12096 here... what did london close?
I have 1.11995 as London 4:30 pm close.
  • #1,023,479
  • Aug 31, 2015 6:37pm Aug 31, 2015 6:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} bulls want to close a higher month. april is the highest in the cluster (above 1207/12) 1209 is the one i am using from 0964/1453.. the 1/4 close 113x.. a fight, around 1209 has merit for today months end. bears have other plans
april.. atm was above london close
ny was below 1221.2
still waiting on 00:00. close

london and ny at odds.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,023,480
  • Edited 7:13pm Aug 31, 2015 6:56pm | Edited 7:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 53.14 53.37 has a shot, but 50.23 is safer
I got cut on 48,2 break and lost 70 bucks. My second Oil trade. Was prolly stupid, I have just thought my monthly zone will hold and wanted to diversify a bit, but acknowledge I got no clue of Oil market...so will wait for some better setup.

Btw, if Nikkei tanks I bail out of UJ real soon and maybe even lot of EU if 1,1234...1259 gets broken.

edit: Well TO is rolling 10 minutes and UJ+EU approaching first level ..UJ is 120,971...120,97..119,81.
Thik I will bail (if broken ofc) and wait for reload. Dont wanna hold against correction.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
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