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  • #1,022,861
  • Aug 27, 2015 7:56am Aug 27, 2015 7:56am
This will all depends on how to stocks end tooday
  • #1,022,862
  • Aug 27, 2015 8:00am Aug 27, 2015 8:00am
On another note, monthly candles are starting to look quite brutal on some charts.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #1,022,863
  • Aug 27, 2015 8:04am Aug 27, 2015 8:04am
Quoting Dano12
but before we know Q 3 GDP = this September and growing opportunities to raise interest rates
There will never be a rate hike in whole 2015. Because of china turmoil rate hike will be in 2016.
  • #1,022,864
  • Aug 27, 2015 8:04am Aug 27, 2015 8:04am
Quoting MissPips
{quote} I don't know. One thing that bothers me about that scenario is that many years ago I read a book by somebody predicting what was going to happen to the US market (unfortunately can't remember which one - I've read so many), and he said that it was going to be just fine and chug steadily on up until 2012, if I remember right, and then either crash or stagnate. This was really a long time ago, and basically he got it quite right, seeing as how the current drop took us back to 2013 levels. His entire analysis was based on demographics - that...
energy trumps
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,022,865
  • Aug 27, 2015 8:06am Aug 27, 2015 8:06am
1220-1175 is the level to keep an eye on now i guess. this level almost all bulls stop loss might get triggered and later might see a short pull back.
Dont follow me if others express my same view, you get screwed!
  • #1,022,866
  • Aug 27, 2015 8:07am Aug 27, 2015 8:07am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
On another note, monthly candles are starting to look quite brutal on some charts.
Like EU if closes below 1,121 is a megabearish hold and new lows confirm. Also UJ closing above 121,84 could be fun.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #1,022,867
  • Aug 27, 2015 8:12am Aug 27, 2015 8:12am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Yy, stacked up a bit. Also stacked few EG shorts again. Price is great, momentum not ...actually pretty bad. Am hoping it goes back in the range with 7248 mid. EU still the same targets, currently focusing 1,121 and 1,1085. On the top side focusing 1,146. My primary stops are just a bit above, last SL level currently above high, hoping it holds the move. Am now mostly waiting for tomorrows GDP which should provide push, so would prefere price to be @ 1,121 on data release, so my top stops are safe. T
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Euro seems ready to push on both EG and EU charts. EG running 7303 edit: {quote}
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
edit: got next level on EG 7248 and UJ is my partial at 121,23.
EG again hanging @ lows, so I wouldnt mind that push. After 7248 I have 0,72, where I partial.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #1,022,868
  • Aug 27, 2015 8:25am Aug 27, 2015 8:25am
Nervously clearing my throat as i am in multiple 100's of pips profit.. No scam, no amazing system to sell
  • #1,022,869
  • Aug 27, 2015 8:29am Aug 27, 2015 8:29am
getting close to 1209.. thats the first 500 of what i think is a long term trend.
gdp up in one
gdp down in another
its shows the move had no clothes
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,022,870
  • Aug 27, 2015 8:29am Aug 27, 2015 8:29am
Quoting mkvy
Nervously clearing my throat as i am in multiple 100's of pips profit.. No scam, no amazing system to sell
Congrats, but I have one question. How many times are we going to hear about your amazing system per day, per week etc? Thanks
  • #1,022,871
  • Aug 27, 2015 8:30am Aug 27, 2015 8:30am
Quoting gatorinla
getting to 1209.. thats the first 500 of what i think is a long term trend.
What you think ?? we are getting more down ?? move is very slow i am still bullish long term
  • #1,022,872
  • Aug 27, 2015 8:31am Aug 27, 2015 8:31am
Quoting Rockerzeus
{quote} Congrats, but I have one question. How many times are we going to hear about your amazing system per day, per week etc? Thanks
As many times as anyone wants to know... But it will never work in the long term, ive been told that by all the GURU's here
  • #1,022,873
  • Edited 8:42am Aug 27, 2015 8:31am | Edited 8:42am
Quoting gatorinla
getting to 1209.. thats the first 500 of what i think is a long term trend.
Absolutely agree, not looking to get back above 1.17xx before a new low sub 1.04xxx

Want the 1.1209 monthly close to help...

*all subject to rates/china - rates liftoff should push the trend

edit: still longing the 1.09xx bull norm in case the above is wrong
  • #1,022,874
  • Aug 27, 2015 8:31am Aug 27, 2015 8:31am
US index is approaching 96 make or break point
  • #1,022,875
  • Aug 27, 2015 8:33am Aug 27, 2015 8:33am
Quoting Luther
I think we'll see 1.10 sooner than 1.17. Not in a straight line since 1217 is a strong level.
Bailed at 1227. Hit into a wall of orders defending ahead of 1217. Not going to argue over 10 pips.
  • #1,022,876
  • Aug 27, 2015 8:37am Aug 27, 2015 8:37am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} 4 trading days and 200 pips to 1.1209.....making a few calls to a few friends. Have to get a few things to align, need some funny math on GDP. Yellen wont answer her phone after yesterday August historically is inline or higher, maybe not even need the funny math.
No funky math required
  • #1,022,877
  • Edited 8:48am Aug 27, 2015 8:37am | Edited 8:48am
Quoting Talhazz
{quote} What you think ?? we are getting more down ?? move is very slow i am still bullish long term
slow moves stepping stairs are good ones.. i would love a 1453 bounce and a pony. its not looking good for either.. 1209 has been talked about to nauseam.. mid point between 1453 and 0964. about 245 pips apart.. added to 1453 its about 1700. added to 1466 its 1710
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,022,878
  • Edited 8:59am Aug 27, 2015 8:49am | Edited 8:59am
Quoting gatorinla
1237 has nothing to do with 0964.. it is 1/2 of one pa target...looks like a new LL. and another 4h close under a level 1249 {image}
got it on LM let's C if bull power is here....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,022,879
  • Aug 27, 2015 8:49am Aug 27, 2015 8:49am
Quoting MissPips
His entire analysis was based on demographics - that the baby boomers would drive the US economy and market starting from about the mid/late 70s with increasing power as they hit their stride until then, and then as they started to retire they stop contributing to the economy and start consuming their savings
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} energy trumps
Energy and infrastructure. US had it's war time infrastructure in place while Europe and Asia were in ruins, so there was a capacity advantage for 20 years.

The peak lined up with the end of the baby boom and the top for domestic energy production in the States. Even though the baby boomers were driving the economy, consumption was outstripping productivity from the 70's forward. Same time the debt credit cycle started accelerating and the US went off the gold standard.

Interesting where the curve is heading now.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,022,880
  • Aug 27, 2015 8:50am Aug 27, 2015 8:50am
But through EW i am looking as a 4th wave which could end near time. Thats why shorting is risky according to me. Daily close below 1.1200 can give us good idea but i think we will see 1.1800 before 1.0900
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