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  • #1,022,001
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:33am Aug 24, 2015 10:33am
DOW recovered more than 800 points within few hours. Is the risk aversion changing ?
  • #1,022,002
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:34am Aug 24, 2015 10:34am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} UJ = U/J = USD/JPY
Tks mate!
  • #1,022,003
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:34am Aug 24, 2015 10:34am
Wow... just woke up, and .... !!!

I'm now gonna go back through and read the comments to catch up. Anyone who lost it all on this, I'm really sorry. Me... I definitely lost some, though account is still alive... still, not happy.

Oh hey.... what does "off quotes" mean when trying to place a trade? Like I said, my account is still fine, so I'm not sure what that means.
  • #1,022,004
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:36am Aug 24, 2015 10:36am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} I wont sell gold right now - no reason to yet
if gold drops, that's not a good e sign
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,022,005
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:37am Aug 24, 2015 10:37am
Quoting JinnTrader
Target is 1.15700 this week! Because third time going for 1.14 and this time will break. And going with a lot of steam!
yes enjoy!!!
For the jinns time is not like a river but like an ocean!
  • #1,022,006
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:37am Aug 24, 2015 10:37am
Quoting openyoureyes
{quote} I mostly buy long usd/nok vanillas NY execution (short crude). I'm also holding a ubs biotech etf fund for +1 year. (stocks will be recovering no matter what) I also sell puts/calls for high premium when there is liq. which I don't recommend... I think by end of sep. Eur will be a sure buy, but not now
Tks mate for replying however which platform are u using btw?I read that some bugger hedgefund bought put options on cny.. usdcny jus before the devaluation by pboc. Maybe options are safer and cheaper in a way than fx lol
  • #1,022,007
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:38am Aug 24, 2015 10:38am
Quoting openyoureyes
easy one: FED rate hike is already priced in... btw stocks are nowhere near a crash. edit: also back in 2008 china was doing GREAT. china = world production
Priced in from when though? Back in April we started the month at 1.07xx. NFP in April was a huge miss so that killed expectations of a rate hike for May, June. And now we are 700 pips ABOVE that. So when was it priced in? Because AFTER April is when the NFP started to improve.

Stocks: Hopefully it's just a correction, though Nasdeq down 5%, Shanghai down 8.5% in one day doesn't bode well. Still last time the dollar moved in the opposite direction. Stocks down used to equal dollar up.

China. Very good point. Still doesn't make sense to me why that would make investors prefer Euros to dollars though.
  • #1,022,008
  • Edited 10:57am Aug 24, 2015 10:38am | Edited 10:57am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} So you trade the plan?
Placed my Pending Buy & Went to sleep, Did not Trigger, Missed out on that
at least made some in my initial SHORT & LONG
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #1,022,009
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:38am Aug 24, 2015 10:38am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} when uj spiked down you would think all other xxx/usd pair would spike up. nope, aussie and kiwi spiked down. this means euro and yen were bought against all other currencies, more so than against the us dollar
Quoting seemoore
{quote} Panic in markets is the main cause. Global growth concerns most recently had their fires fanned by China. Risk off then moved westward thru financial markets and currencies are reacting to the money flows; ie money is coming out of risk funding currencies (euro & yen) and either disappearing (due to losses in equities/commodities) or waiting.
Quoting mkvy
{quote} people making loads of money buying euros at a cheap price, then cashing into USD... simple
thank you so much guys for the great great replies
I am glad that I stayed away from the market since the day of devaluation of yuan and my E/U buying position is gaining rapidly. Hope y'all having a okay-day, too.
Profits are not the point when I always learn things.
  • #1,022,010
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:40am Aug 24, 2015 10:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if gold drops, that's not a good e sign
Keeping an eye on UST

Probably some from oil stock is running into gold

Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} Placed my Pending Buy & Went to sleep, Did not Trigger, Missed out on that at least made some in my initial SHORT & LONG unlike many who Lost
Why compare the lost
  • #1,022,011
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:42am Aug 24, 2015 10:42am
Stopped out because of lack of equity, such a crazy 25 hours! Over 10k loss.
  • #1,022,012
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:43am Aug 24, 2015 10:43am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Keeping an eye on UST Probably some from oil stock is running into gold {quote} Why compare the lost
still bullish on UJ as you stated in your signature ?
bounced 2.033 atm
  • #1,022,013
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:45am Aug 24, 2015 10:45am
still going to be wild Be-Aware
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Never follow/blame others,Patience is the key skill for Succesfull trading.
  • #1,022,014
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:47am Aug 24, 2015 10:47am
Quoting seemoore
{quote} Great questions MissPips! I'm no macro fundie, but have been thinking about this for the last week. Here's my guess. You are right, it doesn't make sense....at first. The market no longer believes the Fed is going to raise rates. (Proof/source: http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/inte...fed-funds.html). As of end of day Friday, only 23.6% of the market believed in a Sept hike. 5% more for Oct. Then up to 39% by December. still less..What does the market do when it second guesses its former assumptions? retrace as people cover their positions. This is starting to look like a move back to the 50% 1.22 level in EU, but it could just be a fast 38.2% retrace to 1.18.
Thanks. This makes a lot of sense. (Thanks to all the other repliers too!)
  • #1,022,015
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:47am Aug 24, 2015 10:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if gold drops, that's not a good e sign
Why is it not a good sign? What will that affect?
  • #1,022,016
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:48am Aug 24, 2015 10:48am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} still bullish on UJ as you stated in your signature ? bounced 2.033 atm
Yes, 800 pips drop won't change the bias - it gets lower the more bullish the bias is and vice versa
  • #1,022,017
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:48am Aug 24, 2015 10:48am
Quoting giggsy
{quote} Tks mate for replying however which platform are u using btw?I read that some bugger hedgefund bought put options on cny.. usdcny jus before the devaluation by pboc. Maybe options are safer and cheaper in a way than fx lol
it is a luxembourg bank mate..

fx for hobby+corrections+news trade
(au broker)
  • #1,022,018
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:49am Aug 24, 2015 10:49am
All this disaster simply implies -ve interest rates are due from FED soon...
When Scalpers win, I lose and Vice varsa...
  • #1,022,019
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:49am Aug 24, 2015 10:49am
you guys have fun . I've got a terrible delay in my data for some reason . Out till I figure out why .

Good trades all
Peace
  • #1,022,020
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:49am Aug 24, 2015 10:49am
Quoting MissPips
{quote} Priced in from when though? Back in April we started the month at 1.07xx. NFP in April was a huge miss so that killed expectations of a rate hike for May, June. And now we are 700 pips ABOVE that. So when was it priced in? Because AFTER April is when the NFP started to improve. Stocks: Hopefully it's just a correction, though Nasdeq down 5%, Shanghai down 8.5% in one day doesn't bode well. Still last time the dollar moved in the opposite direction. Stocks down used to equal dollar up. China. Very good point. Still doesn't make sense to me...
Try to look for the ctfc report on euro..the ans might be there
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