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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #57,741
  • Aug 21, 2015 9:17am Aug 21, 2015 9:17am
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  • #57,742
  • Aug 21, 2015 4:11pm Aug 21, 2015 4:11pm
I wouldn't go long until 121.7...
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  • #57,743
  • Aug 21, 2015 4:59pm Aug 21, 2015 4:59pm
Quoting iwillwait
I wouldn't go long until 121.7... {image}
I think it will break through strong momentum. But time will tell. anyways i'm looking more to 119.5 level for trend change.
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  • #57,744
  • Aug 21, 2015 5:00pm Aug 21, 2015 5:00pm
Quoting SteeP7
{quote} I think it will break through strong momentum. But time will tell. anyways i'm looking more to 119.5 level for trend change. {image}
Here you can see it better
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  • #57,745
  • Aug 22, 2015 5:16pm Aug 22, 2015 5:16pm
Usd/Jpy is hovering around 122.00 level after lost almost 150 pips on Friday, further loss may expected next week.
  • #57,746
  • Aug 22, 2015 5:42pm Aug 22, 2015 5:42pm
On Monday, latest Tuesday, I'd say more likely at least a bounce if not a lot more:
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  • #57,747
  • Aug 23, 2015 6:24pm Aug 23, 2015 6:24pm
Haven't had a move like this in tokyo for a long time, hopefully coming back into the fall months tokyo session picks up like this again. Night all Cheers
  • #57,748
  • Aug 23, 2015 10:16pm Aug 23, 2015 10:16pm
Quoting Dano12
1737684 {image}
right on the money again Dano nice!
  • #57,749
  • Aug 24, 2015 12:20am Aug 24, 2015 12:20am
YEN will continue its downward course again in September then look for 130 YEN target. Next month they have elections and some talk about stimulus I believe. YEN strength are buying opportunities to short the YEN. Japan is just worried about China YUAN weakening which will weaken whether the Japanese like it or not to boost exports and maintain growth.
  • #57,750
  • Aug 24, 2015 8:15am Aug 24, 2015 8:15am
Fortunately for me I have no positions open at the moment, ...or unfortunately if you are short

I have just seen UJ fall 350 pips in one 15 minute candle. Shades of the great carry-trade unwinding of ten years ago....
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #57,751
  • Aug 24, 2015 8:24am Aug 24, 2015 8:24am
best step aside when the markets are in this kind of state for now!
rat
  • #57,752
  • Aug 24, 2015 8:24am Aug 24, 2015 8:24am
That Japanese YEN hit a high of 116.138 on my chart today. These new highs are great for going short long term. Not sure what caused the EURO and YEN spike up today while Asian currencies tanked. Yuan and other Asian currencies are down along with Russian Ruble.
  • #57,753
  • Aug 24, 2015 9:10am Aug 24, 2015 9:10am
Nikkei was down 4.6% today, but that market closed a good few hours ago....
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #57,754
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:17am Aug 24, 2015 10:17am
The indicators of the chart are well negative showing oversold conditions. Still sell with a target 118.1.
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  • #57,755
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:22am Aug 24, 2015 10:22am
Quoting Winthorpe
{quote} Lol, GL with that, boj will never allow it. Might get a temporary retrace to 122-121 max but beyond that they'd have to discover oil in the sea of japan lol.
How's the oil doing
  • #57,756
  • Aug 24, 2015 10:35am Aug 24, 2015 10:35am
Quoting Ngp
{quote} right on the money again Dano nice!
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  • #57,757
  • Aug 24, 2015 12:22pm Aug 24, 2015 12:22pm
anyone else thinking maybe short here?
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  • #57,758
  • Aug 24, 2015 12:37pm Aug 24, 2015 12:37pm
Quoting SteeP7
anyone else thinking maybe short here? {image}
If I had to pick, I would go short.
  • #57,759
  • Aug 24, 2015 12:39pm Aug 24, 2015 12:39pm
Short at 118.20 need it to swing back down otherwise i'm in trouble!
  • #57,760
  • Aug 24, 2015 1:04pm Aug 24, 2015 1:04pm
I don't think this is over quite yet. There is the potential that we can shape a bearish outside bar on the monthly chart. Also, notice how we hit the 38.2% fib from the rally starting in May last year - almost to the pip around 116.30. If the market wants to correct to the 50% fib of this last rally, and that can happen fast if carry trades starts to really unwind, we are looking at 113.30.
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