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  • #1,021,321
  • Aug 22, 2015 9:56am Aug 22, 2015 9:56am
Quoting YvetteTeo
{quote} Lol calm down bro.
Doesn't seem so far fetched now. Crazy markets the past few trading days. Could see a little more but I don't think as strong of moves as of late.
  • #1,021,322
  • Aug 22, 2015 10:06am Aug 22, 2015 10:06am
Quoting iqyu5an
{quote} am about 90 % technical 10 % fundies, still blank i just follow my own road map. now still waiting for any candle confirmation
well done mr indonesia. you really trade long term. I think you were always bullish when it dipped to 1.09
  • #1,021,323
  • Aug 22, 2015 10:09am Aug 22, 2015 10:09am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} well done mr indonesia. you really trade long term. I think you were always bullish when it dipped to 1.09
thank china
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,021,324
  • Aug 22, 2015 10:57am Aug 22, 2015 10:57am
Next week EUR/USD will probably reach the previous high at 1.1436 but the question is whether it will rise any higher than that.
  • #1,021,325
  • Aug 22, 2015 11:46am Aug 22, 2015 11:46am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} It's difficult for me to see the bolded technical levels w/o having underlying reason. Do you notice that only EURUSD is moving up but GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, XXXUSD are not? And your guess is right, the fall will be sharp when market is changing direction in equities.

g\u not moving up a lot because they are in close to the same boat as us right now, expected rate increase had been getting priced in. The new bout of disinflation going to put the hold on that expectation. us had more priced in, but gpb was gaining as well, result they are getting gridlocked with slightly up. Also risk coming off helping to mute the rise there. aud,cad,nzd not blasting off because while us rates come off china putting downward pressure on commodities. If they gain, in environment of lower commodity prices it would increase the chance of rate cuts. Euro had coming into last week close to record levels of shorts and was, is being used as a funding currency like japan. As major positions close out of dax comodities etc they buy euro. In addition, euro qe is ending next fall... The longer us takes to raise rates the closer the spread between bund yields and 10yr notes will become as the difference in time between rate hikes in the future become smaller.
  • #1,021,326
  • Aug 22, 2015 12:02pm Aug 22, 2015 12:02pm
what you guys think about Monday .coz i have 3 short from 1.1350...1.1380;;;;;1.1385. leverage is too high.
  • #1,021,327
  • Aug 22, 2015 12:06pm Aug 22, 2015 12:06pm
Quoting giveachance
{quote} yup well done with that trade. I still have underwater shorts. what i want to see now is if euro is going to touch 1.15. my account and existing shorts cannot take that price. I will probably be washed out. However I am giving a second thought whether to reload my account. one thing for sure is it will not stop before 1.15-1.16.
On my broker if you hedge an equal amount of lots your used margin becomes zero. Yes I know, you are stuck with the hedge, but you will be able to use the available margin to trade and reduce the negative float slowly and very carefully
  • #1,021,328
  • Aug 22, 2015 12:08pm Aug 22, 2015 12:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} thank china
Yes thank the Chinese
rat
  • #1,021,329
  • Aug 22, 2015 12:14pm Aug 22, 2015 12:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} still a dumbass trying to scam?
nasty nasty who's not having much luck trading then?
rat
  • #1,021,330
  • Aug 22, 2015 12:21pm Aug 22, 2015 12:21pm
Quoting Patient1
{quote} g\u not moving up a lot because they are in close to the same boat as us right now, expected rate increase had been getting priced in. The new bout of disinflation going to put the hold on that expectation. us had more priced in, but gpb was gaining as well, result they are getting gridlocked with slightly up. Also risk coming off helping to mute the rise there. aud,cad,nzd not blasting off because while us rates come off china putting downward pressure on commodities. If they gain, in environment of lower commodity prices it would increase...
OK that's the past almost all story tellers across the website said the same thing.

Let's talk about future, when and where EURUSD is going to head down?
  • #1,021,331
  • Aug 22, 2015 12:26pm Aug 22, 2015 12:26pm
You all guys thinking - eur/usd monday will go up? i have short now(1.133), what do you think.. i need close my orders?
  • #1,021,332
  • Aug 22, 2015 12:42pm Aug 22, 2015 12:42pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} OK that's the past almost all story tellers across the website said the same thing. Let's talk about future, when and where EURUSD is going to head down?
well same pressures still on, not really the past too much I made nice money last thurs to fri riding this thing from 1.1035 to 1.1220. For the future, buy the dip if china revalues or cuts again. I think cutting more likely, yuan has been creeping back up. fed is off in sept.....even if they did cut..in this environment the dollar would be sold immediately after. So short if you want, but I think more money and less risky to buy the dips now...
  • #1,021,333
  • Aug 22, 2015 12:42pm Aug 22, 2015 12:42pm
Quoting rattyo
{quote} nasty nasty who's not having much luck trading then?
yes, want to sell me your signals? how much are they now?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,021,334
  • Aug 22, 2015 12:54pm Aug 22, 2015 12:54pm
Quoting Patient1
{quote} well same pressures still on, not really the past too much I made nice money last thurs to fri riding this thing from 1.1035 to 1.1220. For the future, buy the dip if china revalues or cuts again. I think cutting more likely, yuan has been creeping back up. fed is off in sept.....even if they did cut..in this environment the dollar would be sold immediately after. So short if you want, but I think more money and less risky to buy the dips now...
Not asking advice if I should short or making money - I was prepared/positioned for this risk off environment before the facts.

Money (serious money) is to be made by identifying before things happen and sitting on the positions in waiting mode.

BTW, I don't want to be trapped buying 1.1380 or higher then have to wait for the price coming down in praying mode.
  • #1,021,335
  • Aug 22, 2015 12:58pm Aug 22, 2015 12:58pm
Quoting Patient1
{quote} well same pressures still on, not really the past too much I made nice money last thurs to fri riding this thing from 1.1035 to 1.1220. For the future, buy the dip if china revalues or cuts again. I think cutting more likely, yuan has been creeping back up. fed is off in sept.....even if they did cut..in this environment the dollar would be sold immediately after. So short if you want, but I think more money and less risky to buy the dips now...

On one more thought, The only reason I can think of to sell eur right now, would be if ez breakup gains traction. us coming off rates going to support euro and they haven't even raised the white flag yet....... If market capitulates and gets out of hand, eur going to be supported by funding currency status.... Why would you want to sell it?.......My thought is that us sits tight while china gets situated, falling usd will help curb the fall in oil and stocks, and we see how things go in a couple months for dec. Its the smartest way for fed to play it...... you won't find that thesis on the net, its my own! I'm curious though fundamentally why you would want to sell euro with whats going on..... e/gbp also looking like a good buy to me, on a pullback. gbp going to be coming off their hike policy as well and it should benefit euro direct
  • #1,021,336
  • Aug 22, 2015 12:59pm Aug 22, 2015 12:59pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Not asking advice if I should short or making money - I was prepared/positioned for this risk off environment before the facts. Money (serious money) is to be made by identifying before things happen and sitting on the positions in waiting mode. BTW, I don't want to be trapped buying 1.1380 or higher then have to wait for the price coming down in praying mode.
no doubt, buying here way too risky......I'm hoping china can bring it back
  • #1,021,337
  • Aug 22, 2015 1:01pm Aug 22, 2015 1:01pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Let's talk about future, when and where EURUSD is going to head down?
Hi KenA! Dano was showing the wave count, we are finishing wave 5 now. If it is not finished yet, we can have setback towards 1.1250 in wave 4 of 5 and then final 5 of 5 and if all this move was a bigger degree wave 1, there should be corrective setback in wave 2 towards 1.1120 followed by wave 3 up. If all this move was kind of correction, like wave c, than we might test 1.0808 again. This is what I'm going to trade next week depending on price action.
  • #1,021,338
  • Aug 22, 2015 1:02pm Aug 22, 2015 1:02pm
Things will repeat itself ---- not too long ago when EURUSD was at 1.39xxx ---- people calling 1.45x ----- never heard from them since .........

Quoting Maks
{quote} Hi KenA! Dano was showing the wave count, we are finishing wave 5 now. If it is not finished yet, we can have setback towards 1.1250 in wave 4 of 5 and then final 5 of 5 and if all this move was a bigger degree wave 1, there should be corrective setback in wave 2 towards 1.1120 followed by wave 3 up. If all this move was kind of correction, like wave c, than we might test 1.0808 again. This is what I'm going to trade next week depending on price action.
Sure some are really smart, unfortunately, I am not that smart.

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  • #1,021,339
  • Aug 22, 2015 1:12pm Aug 22, 2015 1:12pm
Quoting Ken A
Things will repeat itself ---- not too long ago when EURUSD was at 1.39xxx ---- people calling 1.45x ----- never heard from them since .........
I don't care if it goes up or down ken, hell it can even trade a range. I watch price action, track the fundamentals and spot opportunities. I wait until I understand whats happening and then use technicals to reach good r/r. When fundamental tide pushes one way, that is the direction of my entries. I don't lose money missing a trade. I guess for my learning sake could you tell me why fundamentally you are selling the euro/usd
  • #1,021,340
  • Aug 22, 2015 1:15pm Aug 22, 2015 1:15pm
I never impose my views or advocating sell/buy certain ccy pairs .......

In wait and see mode but have some longs from 1.06x and 1.086x (NFP dip) .....
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