{quote} Hey Squawk, Don't know about smart, but quite simply, they will raise rates due to one word: fear. They fear the affects of ZIRP for too long and fear being stuck at 0 with possibility(probability) of crisis/recession. They fear their models(none of which work but...) when UE is low.(We can argue about validity of numbers and workforce part, but...) Irony is they also fear raising rates(are markets/economy addicted to qe?), but they won't so publicly promote this one for obvious reasons. Got to love it, create the problem, and then raise...
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-0...p-backup-plans
So taking Hilsenrath as The Fed's unofficial mouthpiece, this note suggests rates are coming off the zero-bound no matter what as a lack of 'tools' in a downturn trumps the risk of causing a downturn to start with.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
was reading this somewhere yesterday. Bottom line is they have to raise prior to next downturn, leave it to late and they cant. 
Ill be interested to see the reaction on the ten year and dollar when they do.
. Playing thread tennis
yet? Brn and dt....
