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  • #1,020,261
  • Aug 19, 2015 10:39am Aug 19, 2015 10:39am
1120 seems very likely today..may be it retrace back tomorrow once 1120 reaches...
When Scalpers win, I lose and Vice varsa...
  • #1,020,262
  • Aug 19, 2015 10:43am Aug 19, 2015 10:43am
r/r wise a short when it touched 1068 with a 1069 stop + spread is/was a good trade.. the same as a long at 1017 was with a 1015 stop..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,020,263
  • Aug 19, 2015 10:50am Aug 19, 2015 10:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} closed.. if it makes a HH.. u may get one a possible entry 1045/1016.. the close is above 1027 now.... its more a bullish sign now, like not closing below 1027 earlier was not a bearish sign.. pre fed news is a good pump time
Do you mean HH like new high for today ?
Cause our high is 1209+x
  • #1,020,264
  • Aug 19, 2015 11:05am Aug 19, 2015 11:05am
Quoting MissPips
{quote} I agree. But there will probably be a knee jerk spike up reaction to a no hike scenario anyway. Good opportunity to look for shorts, based on the other factors you mention.
that will work also..i dont mind selling bounces..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,020,265
  • Aug 19, 2015 11:06am Aug 19, 2015 11:06am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} Do you mean HH like new high for today ? Cause our high is 1209+x
yes.. u have to read back today 1072 and 1068.9 are close enough for a dt.. anything below 1069 keeps the dt intack. the same with 1016. anything above 1015 keeps the db low intack. so w/o a break trades made near those for a bounce are good..1 pip or less w/o breaking is still a unbroken dt or db. example is a short at 1068 with a 1+ spread stop, is worth about 1% each 2 pips drop.. 200 pips doubles account..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,020,266
  • Aug 19, 2015 11:13am Aug 19, 2015 11:13am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yes.. u have to read back today
Thanks gator
  • #1,020,267
  • Aug 19, 2015 11:16am Aug 19, 2015 11:16am
Who wants to predict FOMC ............

Low oil price ............

China .......


.................
  • #1,020,268
  • Aug 19, 2015 11:21am Aug 19, 2015 11:21am
Quoting Ken A
Who wants to predict FOMC ............ Low oil price ............ China ....... .................
my prediction is it will come out about 2:00 est.
they will raise/lower rates =+- 1%.. i am betting on it full margin..

no cut, kneejerk spike, and than LT down. making fed unable to cut..because of freefall
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,020,269
  • Aug 19, 2015 11:23am Aug 19, 2015 11:23am
A little reading for you before the meeting minutes.

Bill Gross: Fed will hike rates in Sept as financial conditions a priority
http://www.streetinsider.com/Fed/Bil.../10828399.html

What To Expect From FOMC Minutes? - Views From 15 Major Banks
http://www.efxnews.com/story/30098/w...15-major-banks

Video: The Fed is walking headlong towards a mistake
http://news.forexlive.com/!/video-th...stake-20150819
  • #1,020,270
  • Aug 19, 2015 11:24am Aug 19, 2015 11:24am
Quoting Ken A
Who wants to predict FOMC ............ Low oil price ............ China ....... .................
holding patternMarket reaction harder to get in front of
  • #1,020,271
  • Aug 19, 2015 11:24am Aug 19, 2015 11:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} my prediction is it will come out about 2:00 est. they will raise/lower rates =+- 1%.. i am betting on it full margin..
What is margin ......

Non event is the prediction

Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} holding patternMarket reaction harder to get in front of
Everyone knows what's goin on in the world so likely will be non event

Tripping stops here and there
  • #1,020,272
  • Aug 19, 2015 11:30am Aug 19, 2015 11:30am
oil taking a bath.. 2008 lows near
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,020,273
  • Aug 19, 2015 11:31am Aug 19, 2015 11:31am
Quoting robertbruce
A little reading for you before the meeting minutes. Bill Gross: Fed will hike rates in Sept as financial conditions a priority http://www.streetinsider.com/Fed/Bil.../10828399.html What To Expect From FOMC Minutes? - Views From 15 Major Banks http://www.efxnews.com/story/30098/w...15-major-banks Video: The Fed is walking headlong towards a mistake http://news.forexlive.com/!/video-th...stake-20150819...
Thanks Robert!
defense wins championships
  • #1,020,274
  • Aug 19, 2015 11:33am Aug 19, 2015 11:33am
Quoting gatorinla
oil taking a bath.. 2008 lows near {image}
I cant zoom the Daily back to 2008
  • #1,020,275
  • Aug 19, 2015 11:36am Aug 19, 2015 11:36am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} What is margin ......
we spread it on bread like butter.
Quoting Ken A
Non event is the prediction {quote} Everyone knows what's goin on in the world so likely will be non event Tripping stops here and there
selling bounces.. germany in trouble..china government buying stocks....selling bounces more
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,020,276
  • Aug 19, 2015 11:36am Aug 19, 2015 11:36am
Quoting pjxtan
"Bulls in control"? We're still only about 40 pips up from the low and ~20 pips since the CPI miss... if bulls wanted a good reason to pump this back up to 1.12, that was it, but reaction seems muted so far. A hawkish Fed could send this tumbling down into oblivion... Personally, I'd love for this to jump up another 100 pips to reload more shorts. Let's wait and see...
Everything is relative . A 74 atr , late summer and price location , on my setup , shows bulls in control . ( for today , at this point in time )

In reality , its probally 3 big fat bulls , standing in the way of 2 lazy bears . Everyone is chillin , smoking a little something something and drinking a cold one .
Peace
  • #1,020,277
  • Aug 19, 2015 11:37am Aug 19, 2015 11:37am
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  • #1,020,278
  • Aug 19, 2015 11:41am Aug 19, 2015 11:41am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} I cant zoom the Daily back to 2008
2008
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,020,279
  • Aug 19, 2015 11:52am Aug 19, 2015 11:52am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} I cant zoom the Daily back to 2008
be careful after 39.35, that should be the minimum chart wise.. the thing is china was stockpiling last time in 2008.. no evidence of that this time. demand still low..
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,020,280
  • Aug 19, 2015 12:02pm Aug 19, 2015 12:02pm
dt broke.. it made a HH.. possible 1045 entry L.. this close to fed release, sitting on hands may be better.. just watching the fireworks from the cheapseats.. my higher shorts are covered with green stops.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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