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  • #1,015,021
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:18am Jul 31, 2015 2:18am
Quoting egkid
0936 if this 1H close at it or under it no way to long target will b 09 0857 this how i will play today now i 'm on sell@0950 and 0935 ps: I could b wrong but share my thoughts

agree.... i horted when it broke the 57 mark but i tped around 39.. will re-enter short side at < 35. Let's see how USDJPY and EURJPY plays out..
There is no royal road to anything.
  • #1,015,022
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:21am Jul 31, 2015 2:21am
Quoting MaxDoom
Whilst, shorts may still have some legs these charts explain why I am currently biased to longs {image} {image} {image}
Monthly is hard to predict but on weekly it's just guessing, you're missing HH, only L and HL there, Daily depends - may reverse or create new LL with one clean blow.
  • #1,015,023
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:24am Jul 31, 2015 2:24am
Morning Markets: EURUSD bouncing towards 1.1000
https://www.tradingfloor.com/posts/m...-11000-5758465

Saxo Bank
  • #1,015,024
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:24am Jul 31, 2015 2:24am
If you look at the weekly chart of the Eur/usd. You will notice that it has been trading in this range since February. Every bounce Up has been knocked down. It has been churning at this level and i have not seen any confirmation of a break either down or up. It is however forming a solid base at this level. This base is where Longs can be initiated IF we get confirmation. On the downside this will form strong resistance
  • #1,015,025
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:24am Jul 31, 2015 2:24am
Quoting egkid
0936 if this 1H close at it or under it no way to long target will b 09 0857 this how i will play today now i 'm on sell@0950 and 0935 ps: I could b wrong but share my thoughts

1.Just be reminded let daily candle turn red for shorts and
2.also don't forget how it dint stay below 1.09200 and quickly came back above 109300 and never went down that shows support.
3.Also it has already come a long way down.

Never forget the basic rules. Follow the daily trend is most important. Because as in most scenario with euro usd doesn't matter what overall trend is, daily candle in currency act crazy. If daily is up it goes up crazy and if daily is down it goes down crazy.
For the jinns time is not like a river but like an ocean!
  • #1,015,026
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:28am Jul 31, 2015 2:28am
Quoting KzX
{quote} Monthly is hard to predict but on weekly it's just guessing, you're missing HH, only L and HL there, Daily depends - may reverse or create new LL with one clean blow.
you are seeing what you want to see.... I have marked the HH for you look again

as for guessing all prices beyond this moment are a guess.... for most here that is all they are plucked out of the air. mine are based on probability and experience take what you want from it but my guess come with a better pedigree than the crystal ball guesses that I mainly see here
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  • #1,015,027
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:34am Jul 31, 2015 2:34am
Quoting Ken A
you can add your grin to your latest posting or you are chasing your post count.
  • #1,015,028
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:36am Jul 31, 2015 2:36am
Quoting MaxDoom
Whilst, shorts may still have some legs these charts explain why I am currently biased to longs {image} {image} {image}
Thx for charts man. I would like to add: Your monthly chart is the exact reason why am gazing on 1,121 all the time. As you may recall I was bullish not so long ago, and it was hold of this number + LL on this chart below + 1,1083 hold, which convinced me to change sides. As if you measure this swing from bottom up to 1,145, chart is a) making LHs b) was hold on mentioned 1,121, and now broke mid and made LL below 38,2%. So should 1,098 hold, is a confirmation of attack for 1,0845, and break below means monthly chart holds 1,121 and we go down. Regarding that W chart, I cant find where I put it, but had a chart which showed during these massive swings at start/finish of a cycle, usuall correction is @ 25-28 % (quite weak), which would point 1,145 as a perf correction of last swing down.
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #1,015,029
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:36am Jul 31, 2015 2:36am
Quoting Ken A
Parrot
of a nonsense statement ...
  • #1,015,030
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:36am Jul 31, 2015 2:36am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} you are seeing what you want to see.... I have marked the HH for you look again as for guessing all prices beyond this moment are a guess.... for most here that is all they are plucked out of the air. mine are based on probability and experience take what you want from it but my guess come with a better pedigree than the crystal ball guesses that I mainly see here {image}
Good morning Max,
My main concern is time till rate hike. Do you think we have enough time to reach those levels if FED hikes during September?
  • #1,015,031
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:40am Jul 31, 2015 2:40am
Quoting robertbruce
Morning Markets: EURUSD bouncing towards 1.1000 https://www.tradingfloor.com/posts/m...-11000-5758465 Saxo Bank
They say what they want.

Don't believe them.

You go long and they go big short.
  • #1,015,032
  • Edited 2:57am Jul 31, 2015 2:42am | Edited 2:57am
Quoting krishelis
{quote} Moved SL to BE, so i have free risk trade. That's the beauty of the system, perfect timing and risk free trades, but the target will be met no matter what. But in general we are going down.
I am out, but price will be back to reach 1.0977.
It could reach 1.0877 and then come back to 1.0977, but i would prefer come back from 1.0925 with out breaking it.

1.0925 is sell trigger on my chart (break of this level)
  • #1,015,033
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:43am Jul 31, 2015 2:43am
Best place to buy with yesterdays low as stop loss. I am in guys!

Lets see what happens!
For the jinns time is not like a river but like an ocean!
  • #1,015,034
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:45am Jul 31, 2015 2:45am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} you are seeing what you want to see.... I have marked the HH for you look again as for guessing all prices beyond this moment are a guess.... for most here that is all they are plucked out of the air. mine are based on probability and experience take what you want from it but my guess come with a better pedigree than the crystal ball guesses that I mainly see here {image}
Yes, probably, I'm looking at it differently, first H is meaningless to me. In my view it's still ranging, it's scalping perfect. I take longer trades only when it's near decision points.
  • #1,015,035
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:54am Jul 31, 2015 2:54am
Quoting JinnTrader
Best place to buy with yesterdays low as stop loss. I am in guys! Lets see what happens!
You are yelling "buy" "buy" every day, yet it keeps on going down since you do. Seems we should simply trade against your advise to become rich
  • #1,015,036
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:57am Jul 31, 2015 2:57am
Quoting geektrader
{quote} This pair is just pure bullshit lately, range stuck with non-sense spikes eitherway and random, just to come back to where it was. There are a lot more predictable pairs out there (AUDCAD is a hot tip, just sell the highs and buy the lows with tight SL, if SL hit, wait for new range to settle and repeat the process! Its a money machine the last months and completely predictable as 95% of the times it bounces back from its highs / lows and has good ranges on top).
This pair is predictable too if you know what to look for. For example (just one): These screenshots the LO hour is darker than the others (green for up and dark gold for down). How often does a day close above where London sold that morning on the open or below where they bought? (Not often and if it happens look to the days before or the days after and see what happened. And what happens when price gets back to a point like that?) And how does price act at the red lines (the mids of the day) most days. Well, how did they know it was the mid?
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  • #1,015,037
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:58am Jul 31, 2015 2:58am
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  • #1,015,038
  • Jul 31, 2015 2:59am Jul 31, 2015 2:59am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Thx for charts man. I would like to add: Your monthly chart is the exact reason why am gazing on 1,121 all the time. As you may recall I was bullish not so long ago, and it was hold of this number + LL on this chart below + 1,1083 hold, which convinced me to change sides. As if you measure this swing from bottom up to 1,145, chart is a) making LHs b) was hold on mentioned 1,121, and now broke mid and made LL below 38,2%. So should 1,098 hold, is a confirmation of attack for 1,0845, and break below means monthly chart holds 1,121 and we go...
you are welcome, even if I was bearish EU which those you were around will recall was before the 1.40 high and all the way down, at these levels and with this PA on the larger TFs the risks are stacking up on shorts (not talking about intraday trades for 20-40 pips) so any shorts I take would be for small gain only, whereas longs can be left to to run once in the green imo.

Quoting Rockerzeus
{quote} Good morning Max, My main concern is time till rate hike. Do you think we have enough time to reach those levels if FED hikes during September?
any rate hike will be small and already priced I expect by the time we get there, the real question is will the rate differential be enough to move significant amounts of foreign currency? from euro to dollar or pound to dollar?


I have saved a post by merging
  • #1,015,039
  • Jul 31, 2015 3:02am Jul 31, 2015 3:02am
short term direction point here...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,015,040
  • Jul 31, 2015 3:03am Jul 31, 2015 3:03am
Quoting geektrader
{quote} You are yelling "buy" "buy" every day, yet it keeps on going down since you do. Seems we should simply trade against your advise to become rich
Boss yesterday I dint say buy. Please read carefully! I told to be cautious where you short.

Yea you can do that but who knows!
For the jinns time is not like a river but like an ocean!
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