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  • #1,014,281
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:16am Jul 29, 2015 6:16am
Quoting Polaris4dy
{quote} seconded...in fact all usd related pairs wont move much before fed...haha
They will waiting the the fed while they eating popcorn haha..
Can't wait to see usd push all major pairs to the ground, especially eu
Forex as Leverage
  • #1,014,282
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:19am Jul 29, 2015 6:19am
failed to get 1082/6
1021/6 will tell us different story if we get there
  • #1,014,283
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:20am Jul 29, 2015 6:20am
Quoting Leinadgnow
seems like a typical squeeze play . Phase a) High). 1.113 Support at 1.1085 Low). 1.1022 Phase b). High). 1.1085 Support at 1.1065 Low). 1.1033 Phase c). High). 1.107 Support? Low).? Seems like it will be around 1.106 where will we meet FOMC.. not a crystal ball prediction but just some observations. Keeps getting tighter.. if you ask me, High was 1.107 and we will see around 1.104 / 1.105 area before going into FOMC

i think we play around here before fed speak... i got my target for the day and im out... will come in to see what happens during fomc..
There is no royal road to anything.
  • #1,014,284
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:21am Jul 29, 2015 6:21am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
With or without FOMC, all we need is the completion of a C wave down on 4H.. If XA = BC then it would drop to 1.0977 at least. But generally C waves are longer so I expect a lower target roughly towards 1.0950 area.. my half cents.. Happy Trades
Hey Turkey !!!! like edy said, long time bro!!!
that idea of ab=cd pattern is valid,but there is other also valid:
...since price retraced from the fall to 78%, now it can retrace from this long run to 38%-88%, and there resume the long run creating the butterfly pattern (with in this case bullish ab=cd)...

Other hand If FED raises up the interest on USD, we might se eur/usd dropping as consequence...what are your thought about that?
anyway, Im expecting the butterfly so price rising up until 113/127% at least, 1.1260/1.1323, but before that, Im short from 1066 with target at 38% from last run up on 4htf(1.1015)

happy trades to you too
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  • #1,014,285
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:24am Jul 29, 2015 6:24am
Quoting Kribstreet
I am wondering about Yellen's and friends trading accounts ......
Why
Peace
  • #1,014,286
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:25am Jul 29, 2015 6:25am
Quoting xandi
{quote} mehhh...going to scalp short from 1.1066---> 1st TP 1.1010, 2nd TP 1.0975... after that Ill switch for long, if I survive! SL above 1.1073
closed half at 1043...the other half TP 1034

very possible price wants to go to 1.1015 (38% fibo)...but since I´ve seen these bullish channels after long term falls, like I showed on April charts, I´m waiting the best time for switch to long/buy side...
  • #1,014,287
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:25am Jul 29, 2015 6:25am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
With or without FOMC, all we need is the completion of a C wave down on 4H.. If XA = BC then it would drop to 1.0977 at least. But generally C waves are longer so I expect a lower target roughly towards 1.0950 area.. my half cents.. Happy Trades
Hi mate, while you were out, I have changed my skin, currently aiming 1,0965 - 1,098 as first intraweek S. Tracking 1,1083 to the upside, should get broken (h1 forming uptrend - triangle uptrend) on pre FOMC pump and dump, is 1,121 overshoot...now lows of triangle are getting tested though, so is prolly 1,1083 hold.

Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Well ok bulls (USD), it took you very long time, but I think you have convinced me, so looking to sell EU. Actually selling few now. {quote} {quote}
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Hi mate, nice to see you back. I sold my life. I could be running outside chasing girls and am sitting in front of computer. Nothing extraordinary . Btw, whatcha think of this idea? Think we should stay in chop for few weeks more with EU tops at 1,121 and UJ bottoms @ 123,126, but 1,1083 could hold weekly now, which would be pretty strong hold. {quote} Well there was a doublehold today. Am kinda unable to post charts on time as pretty busy, but both UJ and EU held the move @ fibo 38%. Though NY closing in 2 hrs, almost corrected...
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #1,014,288
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:27am Jul 29, 2015 6:27am
Quoting xandi
{quote} {image}
I cant handle patters what about blue ones on H1
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  • #1,014,289
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:29am Jul 29, 2015 6:29am
Quoting xandi
{quote} Hey Turkey !!!! like edy said, long time bro!!! that idea of ab=cd pattern is valid,but there is other also valid: ...since price retraced from the fall to 78%, now it can retrace from this long run to 38%-88%, and there resume the long run creating the butterfly pattern (with in this case bullish ab=cd)... Other hand If FED raises up the interest on USD, we might se eur/usd dropping as consequence...what are your thought about that? anyway, Im expecting the butterfly so price rising up until 113/127% at least, 1.1260/1.1323, but before...
Butterflies are cool but they fail a lot too.. I have to insist at least for 1.0995 if it is a wave 5 instead of a wave C.. and sooner or later we will get there.. inbetween is 1.1025.. once this resistance is defeated things will get faster..

Happy Trades
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #1,014,290
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:29am Jul 29, 2015 6:29am
Look forward to seeing all of you guys still posting after today....

account safety is #1

today is a good opportunity for an emotional test/workout
  • #1,014,291
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:32am Jul 29, 2015 6:32am
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  • #1,014,292
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:33am Jul 29, 2015 6:33am
Quoting Kribstreet
I am wondering about Yellen's and friends trading accounts ......
Man why? Do you really think they need to trade?
They have their people, who do this and if they trade sth. that would be longterm stocks...Warren Buffet Style you know
  • #1,014,293
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:33am Jul 29, 2015 6:33am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Hi mate, while you were out, I have changed my skin, currently aiming 1,0965 - 1,098 as first intraweek S. Tracking 1,1083 to the upside, should get broken (h1 forming uptrend - triangle uptrend) on pre FOMC pump and dump, is 1,121 overshoot...now lows of triangle are getting tested though, so is prolly 1,1083 hold. {quote} {quote} {image}
Nice thoughts bro.. well for now just watching price to break 1.1025.. then 1.0995 and hopefully deeper.. but since the market is based on buying AND selling I am expecting loads of bull or bear traps inbetween to confuse most of the traders as much as it gets.. that's where the cookie crumbles right?

Happy Trades
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #1,014,294
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:42am Jul 29, 2015 6:42am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} I cant handle patters what about blue ones on H1 {image}
Why you cant handle it? any pattern can happen, you must trade the bounce on the fibos and also you cantry to predict the pattern will occur, and take advantadge of that...if you hold too much the position betting everything on pattern occuring you will lost more than win, but you can find a method to take advatadge of your knowing and see that in other perspective, trading in other perspective....

you have to make your calculations from the begging of the wave, so those marked pattern can be on AB leg, which can go 38-88% of retrace of XA....so trade that

PS: closed all short
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  • #1,014,295
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:47am Jul 29, 2015 6:47am
Quoting Pharm0r
Look forward to seeing all of you guys still posting after today.... account safety is #1 today is a good opportunity for an emotional test/workout
Hi pharmor, since you are in USA, do you think FEd will rise up the interes of USD? if so, obvious Eur/Usd will go down, since USD will be appreciated and because currency relation EUR/USD going down, right? do you think its more probably that happens, or the scenario FED leaving the interest unchanged?
Thanks in advance
  • #1,014,296
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:47am Jul 29, 2015 6:47am
Quoting xandi
{quote} Why you cant handle it? any pattern can happen, you must trade the bounce on the fibos and also you can predict the pattern it will occur, and take advantadge of it...if you hold too much the position betting everything on pattern occuring you will lost more than win, but you can find a method to take advatadge of your knowing and see this in other perspective, tradinf in other perspective.... you have to make your calculations from the begging of the wave, so those marked pattern can be on AB leg, which can go 38-88% of retrace of XA....so...
thanks for your explaining
  • #1,014,297
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:52am Jul 29, 2015 6:52am
The way i see it, chart says sell
  • #1,014,298
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:53am Jul 29, 2015 6:53am
pending short at today's low,

anyhow, today my account almost got wipeout due to stupid mistake.

luckily everything got sorted out thanks to big yoyo of the pair
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  • #1,014,299
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:54am Jul 29, 2015 6:54am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Hi, it maybe clearer to see the H&S in the smaller tf's, I may be seeing things due to bias of my TL but the same TL has played an important role in history so I go with it. I am looking for the completion of the ABCD on the 4hr chart starting HH from 10/7/15. GL.
I know I said I wasn't going to trade after my EJ trade today (stopped just below B.E.) but this trade is what I've being waiting for as per plan (not a scalp).

Re-entered my short with broken rising TL. I am expecting FOMC to be a non event and if anything slightly hawkish.
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #1,014,300
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:54am Jul 29, 2015 6:54am
Quoting marskaydir
The way i see it, chart says sell
it is already in a range so, top line 1080~ , down line 1020 , I wont short on 1035/40 and put SL > 1080 .
if you dont have a sell from upstairs watching will be funnier
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