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  • #1,014,161
  • Jul 28, 2015 8:55pm Jul 28, 2015 8:55pm
Quoting wyley187
{quote} Two different approaches and both of us can still be happy! I am just a swing trader so if I can grab my 100 pips or so i'm happy, I tried position trading for a couple years but unfortunately I don't have the patience to hold trades longer than 3 months, I am finding I like 2-3 days at best for now, Thanks for your long term outlook though, It makes sense!
everyone should trade what is most comfortable with, my point was watching one timeframe has hazards, what may look like a really good long entry 1hr on dailly pa could be at big resistance, often this is time when people not keeping eyeball on different timeframes enter, and suddenly market goes strongly against, they say stop hunting, mm, manipulation, bs, wtf, and many other colorful words, when it was just S&R doing what it does, not always but often:nerd:
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #1,014,162
  • Jul 28, 2015 9:01pm Jul 28, 2015 9:01pm
Quoting navk
{quote} This my demo with no fear. lol. With No fear : 70 pips. With Fear : 35 pips. {image}
no question, it was a good spot, i admit. it is just i have witnessed too many cases where those lines do not work and i do not want to risk my money relying on those lines, better wait for price action confirmation
As Above, So Below
  • #1,014,163
  • Jul 28, 2015 9:03pm Jul 28, 2015 9:03pm
Quoting navk
{quote} Gator, I wrote what "I " see about EA. What is your views on this ? Thanks.
i want to look for a short after 6366.. it looks bearish if it cant beat 5332.. it needs a higher tf close above 5242 for bulls, atm its at 5090. it was rejected from a 5242 close so far.. see how the week/month close ends..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,014,164
  • Jul 28, 2015 9:07pm Jul 28, 2015 9:07pm
initiated ... short dollar yen.. long Eur, long aud ...
There is no royal road to anything.
  • #1,014,165
  • Jul 28, 2015 9:20pm Jul 28, 2015 9:20pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} everyone should trade what is most comfortable with, my point was watching one timeframe has hazards, what may look like a really good long entry 1hr on dailly pa could be at big resistance, often this is time when people not keeping eyeball on different timeframes enter, and suddenly market goes strongly against, they say stop hunting, mm, manipulation, bs, wtf, and many other colorful words, when it was just S&R doing what it does, not always but often:nerd:
I agree, I check the monthly/weekly/daily and enter on 4 hr.. nothing below that, I may botch some entries that way but lower TF just seems like noise to me IMO...could be in for an epic fall or quite the ride up....I'm still looking for 1.3260 and will adjust from there according to my plan
  • #1,014,166
  • Jul 28, 2015 10:28pm Jul 28, 2015 10:28pm
Do I have this about right, concerning what FOMC does tomorrow?:

If they announce there will be no rate hikes this year, EUR/USD shoots way up.
If they say they're still not sure one way or the other, it goes up but not a lot.
If they say/hint strongly that a hike is coming in Sep and maybe another, the pair goes down at a pretty good pace.
If (VERY unlikely, I know) they actually hike rates NOW, then it drops off a cliff.

About right?
  • #1,014,167
  • Edited 11:30pm Jul 28, 2015 11:10pm | Edited 11:30pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} gotta run, 1122/44 norm is hit.. expecting some R here 1135... if its enough to drop it or not time will tell.. my marbles are on the short side. getting above 1135 could be bullish with closes, but i am betting against this. right or wrong.. 1209 is another
sink or swim time, its possible 1.0 holds once more after 1.0202/1.0170/48.. well anything is possible.. but after 1.020x we may end up here at 1.1122/44 again..

and before above, on a -1.0807 break lower. its possible to be back at 1.1136 on a bounce within 1.0806/1.0149. so when all have the parody party hats on.. it may not be worth the few hundred pips below 1.02xx w/o a bounce it looks like atm. i reserve the right to change with pa moves
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,014,168
  • Edited 11:43pm Jul 28, 2015 11:12pm | Edited 11:43pm
boo


https://archive.org/download/wallstreetspecul00keye (thanks to someone in ZH comments for pointing this out, there was couple things I didn't know already)

See page 23 for explanation

Good stuff from page 12, I find this happens 100% of time to whatever I buy, infact, even more strongly in FX than stocks (my 1 Nvidia share went up from the buy price but I made a mistake in the process described below that caused that - I've tried to repeat the mistake in FX but the result is that I still can't get into a profitable trend so far. I'm not giving up though. I want to get a permanent profitable get rich quick bull trend going in AUD. And so does every retail speculator I presume. perhaps AUD, CAD, GC, CL all need to first to go *zero* to make absolutely sure they can only go up after I buy! But first we need a law to prevent exchanges/brokers from adding EVEN MOAR DECIMALS.. otherwise if I bought at 0.01, they'd sell at 0.01 and buy at 0.0001 etc! as they'd be holding their orders at 0.0099 making sure I can only buy more at 0.0099 .. and then again price going down)

"He finds, although he cannot explain it or account for it,
that somehow every time he buys stocks they go down,
and every time he sells them short for a decline, they go up."

I bought 1 SPY and stocks dropped big time in earnings. Prior to that bought 1 share of GLD in thin markets and again, epic drop. Next on list is to buy AUD, CAD, OIL and mining companies. This will cause a permanent down trend if I buy 1 share of each every day! The key to this "trick" is to cross the spread when price is above the mid point of previously untouched range above, ideally after 6 PM / 18 UTC or 14 EST, in thin markets. This should result in 100% probability of prices going down permanently. Free gas and gold for everyone, end to fracking pollution!
  • #1,014,169
  • Jul 28, 2015 11:27pm Jul 28, 2015 11:27pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} sink or swim time, its possible 1.0 holds once more after 1.0202/1.0170/48.. well anything is possible.. but after 1.020x we may end up here at 1.1122/44 again.. and before above, on a -1.0807 break lower. its possible to be back at 1.1136 on a bounce within 1.0806/1.0149
Yes, EU finally gave up. Will watch out around 1.000 thoguh.
Intraday only.
  • #1,014,170
  • Jul 28, 2015 11:47pm Jul 28, 2015 11:47pm
FYI.

Option Expiries 10am NY CUT

EURUSD 1.0970 (EUR911m) 1.1000 (705m) 1.1040-50 (600m) 1.1080 (361m) 1.1080 (361m) 1.1100 (583m)
  • #1,014,171
  • Jul 28, 2015 11:49pm Jul 28, 2015 11:49pm
Quoting ffleo
why the price of euro slowly creep up? {image}

They do this to bring in more bull money before a reversal as you can see now. They stair step it so they don't scare the short money out of the market too fast, and to keep the bulls buying. It's a fakeout tactic, but not every time. Gotta keep it unpredictable to a degree or it stops working.

Happens both directions at times, stair step up then big drop, stair step down then big bump.

It is not profitable for the market to make a massive move in one direction too fast for too long. All the money would go to one side of the table, they need perpetual buyers and sellers so they can profit from both. If the price goes too high or too low and stays there, game is over.
  • #1,014,172
  • Jul 28, 2015 11:49pm Jul 28, 2015 11:49pm
Quoting SkyrEk
FYI. Option Expiries 10am NY CUT EURUSD 1.0970 (EUR911m) 1.1000 (705m) 1.1040-50 (600m) 1.1080 (361m) 1.1080 (361m) 1.1100 (583m)
What do they mean sir?
  • #1,014,173
  • Jul 28, 2015 11:52pm Jul 28, 2015 11:52pm
Quoting Banabukari
{quote} What do they mean sir?
Hi Sir,

From what i had read online, it will mean that prices will be supported at these prices and will tend to move towards those levels.

Don't quote me though, for your information only. Personally, i don't think it is a signal to trade according to option expires, nonetheless, i do notice at NY 10am cut, there seems to be more volatility for sure.
  • #1,014,174
  • Jul 28, 2015 11:56pm Jul 28, 2015 11:56pm
Quoting navk
{quote} Yes, EU finally gave up. Will watch out around 1.000 thoguh.
some smaller support above 1021 at 1046/54, a guess.. this close to months end if bears want it.. not much can stop either.. closes below 1046 will be below L roll
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,014,175
  • Jul 28, 2015 11:59pm Jul 28, 2015 11:59pm
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} seems ok. make assia pay laterz
And AU drop 32 pips as of this post while you are sleeping. Big money is watching you so you must not sleep as money never sleep
  • #1,014,176
  • Jul 29, 2015 12:01am Jul 29, 2015 12:01am
Some recent bulls just became a snack
  • #1,014,177
  • Jul 29, 2015 12:09am Jul 29, 2015 12:09am
Quoting Pharm0r
Some recent bulls just became a snack
Shorts are next
  • #1,014,178
  • Jul 29, 2015 12:12am Jul 29, 2015 12:12am
From story teller

Inserted Video
  • #1,014,179
  • Jul 29, 2015 12:20am Jul 29, 2015 12:20am
Quoting KzX
Generally 055-085 is the very strong R area, won't get through so easy.
Once again, this is your R area. It's being rejected so far.
  • #1,014,180
  • Jul 29, 2015 12:23am Jul 29, 2015 12:23am
Quoting Ken A
From story teller https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PtYQrn3kQ6s
who would of thunk
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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