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  • #1,011,521
  • Jul 20, 2015 10:26pm Jul 20, 2015 10:26pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} if UC ever drops now from here it will not bounce at 1.288x. much lower.
This is only valid before touch of 1.3090.
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #1,011,522
  • Jul 20, 2015 10:32pm Jul 20, 2015 10:32pm
Quoting ptoftangency
{quote} Sorry I misunderstood. However, the book by Pesavento explains how to gauge the "range" which you speak of, also, what validates and invalidates specific harmonic patterns.
thanks for taking the time to read the original post again.

so t's actually ranges like Scott Carney said, not adjacent ratios.. but from your words, it seems that the range itself has conditions! my mind already melted trying to code the calculations for 5 input values, now there are more conditions that I should try to translate into mathematical functions

please check the attached example of NZD/USD, the Crab values are all within the ranges... but looking at it, BC/AB is almost at the end of it's range, and CD/BC is almost at the beginning of it's range. does that weaken the pattern ?
Should I expect the value of CD/BC to be at the end or beginning of its range, according to where is the value of BC/AB is compared to its own range ?

Damn I don't even understand myself!
Attached Image
  • #1,011,523
  • Jul 20, 2015 10:36pm Jul 20, 2015 10:36pm
Quoting ptoftangency
{quote} Based on my calculations (worth two sh*ts), the probability of CD extension l is found by: B = 1.091357 - A = 1.12770 = 0.03613 Using the following Fibonacci ratios: P1 = 1.272 P2 = 1.618 (P1)CDl = 1.272B - 1.12151 = ~1.063X (P2)CDl = 1.618B - 1.12151 = ~1.075X

Not sure what platform your using but most come with a Fibonacci tool that will do the calculations for you. May save you a little time.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #1,011,524
  • Jul 20, 2015 10:48pm Jul 20, 2015 10:48pm
Longing for few with tight stop.
Intraday only.
  • #1,011,525
  • Jul 20, 2015 10:51pm Jul 20, 2015 10:51pm
Quoting ptoftangency
{quote} Based on my calculations (worth two sh*ts), the probability of CD extension l is found by: B = 1.091357 - A = 1.12770 = 0.03613 Using the following Fibonacci ratios: P1 = 1.272 P2 = 1.618 (P1)CDl = 1.272B - 1.12151 = ~1.063X (P2)CDl = 1.618B - 1.12151 = ~1.075X
This is the ABCD I am looking at for completion at the moment though watching for st minor formations on the way.

White TL's.

Edit: the first leg is actually "X"
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd #109.png Size: 96 KB
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #1,011,526
  • Jul 20, 2015 10:52pm Jul 20, 2015 10:52pm
Quoting navk
Longing for few with tight stop.
longed it today already and came out with a few. however, i'm not sure if i will long again when nothing changes. FF open in a few minutes.
  • #1,011,527
  • Jul 20, 2015 10:52pm Jul 20, 2015 10:52pm
Quoting navk
Longing for few with tight stop.
Have a pending at 1.08110
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #1,011,528
  • Edited 11:03pm Jul 20, 2015 10:53pm | Edited 11:03pm
ok bear with breaks 818 towards 770 to previous low but all are buy areas in this bear set up , for last leg up to have a bull try best or failure there to continue the bear > break at top again likely except a huge crush the market.
take care ,
fontu
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily.png Size: 49 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #1,011,529
  • Jul 20, 2015 10:53pm Jul 20, 2015 10:53pm
Quoting verified
{quote} longed it today already and came out with a few. however, i'm not sure if i will long again when nothing changes. FF open in a few minutes.
atleast 0850/60 ?
Intraday only.
  • #1,011,530
  • Jul 20, 2015 11:13pm Jul 20, 2015 11:13pm
i m new in world trade i just stuck in eurgbp trade anyone can tell to me about eurgbp what will happen toady it will be go up or down
  • #1,011,531
  • Jul 20, 2015 11:16pm Jul 20, 2015 11:16pm
Quoting fontu
ok bear with breaks 818 towards 770 to previous low but all are buy areas in this bear set up , for last leg up to have a bull try best or failure there to continue the bear > break at top again likely except a huge crush the market. take care , fontu {image}
Missed a scenario. 1 step back to start leg at 1.399 for a AB=CD
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #1,011,532
  • Jul 20, 2015 11:28pm Jul 20, 2015 11:28pm
Quoting navk
{quote} atleast 0850/60 ?
i don't know. it is near the lowest Close Price of yesterday ( 0816 ). if there would be some interest for a higher price, it should be here, IMO. i cannot see this.
  • #1,011,533
  • Jul 20, 2015 11:28pm Jul 20, 2015 11:28pm
Missed the changed curve of the 15m 200ma. Got triggered in a crappy trade atm, likely to be a bounce from 1.08 if we see the downside again and not sure if R will hold on that bounce.

Watching the yellow TL but also wary of FF bullies hunting.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd #110.png Size: 64 KB
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #1,011,534
  • Jul 20, 2015 11:29pm Jul 20, 2015 11:29pm
Morning all !!!

If the market falls, my next long entry (until 12:00 pm CET) will be @ 1.0796
The best thing that can happen to you is to find out where you're wrong.
  • #1,011,535
  • Jul 20, 2015 11:37pm Jul 20, 2015 11:37pm
Morning
Everybody's trying to catch that pop, cool.
  • #1,011,536
  • Jul 20, 2015 11:48pm Jul 20, 2015 11:48pm
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Missed a scenario. 1 step back to start leg at 1.399 for a AB=CD
All set ups in simplified ab cd pattern, equal or not . not see your leg at 1.399 though. now B( c in bear set up ) running in a bear set up , very strong bear & unnatural crush can follow with rudimentary d or not at all , otherwise from somewhere at the bottom to bull \last leg up d at top or extend above previous high & last crush to real natural bear or change into bull set up & trend change . lets see .
fontu
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDWeekly.png Size: 47 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #1,011,537
  • Jul 20, 2015 11:50pm Jul 20, 2015 11:50pm
have one shot on 1.0850 , SL -33 pips
  • #1,011,538
  • Jul 21, 2015 12:02am Jul 21, 2015 12:02am
Quoting KzX
Morning Everybody's trying to catch that pop, cool.
not everybody gets the same treatment

Attached Image
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #1,011,539
  • Jul 21, 2015 12:13am Jul 21, 2015 12:13am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} I guess it's jut typo Quoting ptoftangency {quote} Based on my calculations (worth two sh*ts), the probability of CD extension l is found by: B = 1.091357 - A = 1.12770 = 0.03613 Using the following Fibonacci ratios: P1 = 1.272 P2 = 1.618 C = 1.12151 (P1)CDl = 1.272B - 1.12151 = ~1.063X (P2)CDl = 1.618B - 1.12151 = ~1.075X D1 = 1.12151 - (1.272 *B) = 1.075x D2 = 1.12151 - (1.618 *B) = 1.063x
what does your parrot say?

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follow the flow
  • #1,011,540
  • Jul 21, 2015 12:18am Jul 21, 2015 12:18am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} not everybody gets the same treatment {image}

Morning
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