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  • #1,011,141
  • Jul 19, 2015 12:04am Jul 19, 2015 12:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} u may be safe(?).. i dont like 0964 untested from below. but its been bearish for years even with retraces.. looking to reload if it pulls back toward 0964 next week..monday is fine too... i have shorts but not as many as i can hold atm
0964/0979? If so, I see it.
  • #1,011,142
  • Jul 19, 2015 7:01am Jul 19, 2015 7:01am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} 0785 is 100% projection of the down swing from May 15 to May 27. 0720/0730 will touch the trend line connected from Mar 13 low to April 13 low. 100% projection plus a main trend-line, so likely it will bounce there.
sounds familiar
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,011,143
  • Jul 19, 2015 7:08am Jul 19, 2015 7:08am
965 doesn't have to be tested but I hope it will be. This whole Daily looks like end of Dec - just before jumping off a cliff. If the decide to jump, they may not stop 100p lower but will see. At the end of Friday they looked a bit overs. I was also disappointed that EU moved only by 70p top to bottom - small move considering it was Friday. I expect something big on Monday.
  • #1,011,144
  • Jul 19, 2015 8:03am Jul 19, 2015 8:03am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} 0964/0979? If so, I see it.
not a target..its just never been tested from below this leg.. norm still 0786.. some past q support, strength unknown at 0775. with 0657 targeted. i have no signal to go to test 0964, i just know its not tested yet from below atm. if it is, or not, i have no claim to. i will be waiting to add some if it does.. still have a 0.8620 target..and a possible 0.777 target . between now and the time it takes to push for it.. things may change. if you go back to 1970, and research the u.s. recessions. you will find a oil spike in each one pryer. the % of these spike were tame compared to the spike that lasted years 2001/2008 that ended in a 2008 financial crash. this spike was the mother of all spikes, where oil went up 6 X+..
so far the recoil since 2008 that high has dropped oil to 50% and less. but its still 2X +of what it was in 2001.

if u use 1973 til 2001, its also a spike but not as large and more gradual. if you look at a u.s. lifetime oil production chart. you can forecast most u.s. economy downturns before time using oil spikes. if compared with usd, u can see when the dollar becomes weaker/stronger is correlated with u.s. domestic production. so if u.s. returns to 1973 production % compared to u.s. oil use. the usd should approach these same 1973 levels with some added inflation (but it will be real inflation, we cant count the inflation oil added in the 40 year spike) the inflation value is difficult to figure. many economies have no clue on what will happen. none of us have been through this. so we dont know wtf we are talking about. we are talking about 1973, to this point. u.s. oil production along with ng is going to surpass 1973 production.

the argument some use is, u.s. exports hurt by higher usd.. sure, but in the real world u.s. exports to china are about 1% of u.s. gdp.. easily absorbed by more u.s. workers on production lines building things with cheaper energy and consuming the same product. labor intensive products will still be cheaper in china. but china will need less copper, iron, cement to build places to make stuff.. tupperware will be cheaper to build where the energy is cheaper, a few guys operating a factory of 3d machines is the future.. the world needs a reset. australia may take china's role and build it themselves with 3d...until than china cutting back dont help australia. china falls in the fast shitting mule, not shitting long role. benjamin franklin predicted this 250 years ago.. the rule of 72, makes things harder to continue. doubling anything for long period of time using humans has challenges.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,011,145
  • Jul 19, 2015 8:17am Jul 19, 2015 8:17am
Quoting fxjesus
Below 1.106 lies a tarp... lots of bears got tarpped last time it went down, opening short and then getting sudden run up is how it works. Misspelt so you remember.
Never used to pay much attention to forums (perhaps I should). Just letting u know... when I happened to be watching PA, I saw this post here & then, and related to it very well.
In the past, on another site I came across a trader that traded with 100% winning rate for two years. Wow... was that 'Jesus' of a trader. Hope he/she will be found again.
When in doubt, HEDGE
  • #1,011,146
  • Jul 19, 2015 8:19am Jul 19, 2015 8:19am
Quoting AdelPC
{quote} Never used to pay much attention to forums (perhaps I should). Just letting u know... when I happened to be watching PA, I saw this post here & then, and related to it very well. In the past, on another site I came across a trader that traded with 100% winning rate for two years. Wow... was that 'Jesus' of a trader. Hope he/she will be found again.
seems your hero is trapped atm

bbl
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,011,147
  • Jul 19, 2015 8:28am Jul 19, 2015 8:28am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} seems your hero is trapped atm bbl
??? You refer to tashkent or fxjesus?
When in doubt, HEDGE
  • #1,011,148
  • Jul 19, 2015 8:36am Jul 19, 2015 8:36am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} seems your hero is trapped atm bbl
Quoting AdelPC
{quote} ??? You refer to tashkent or fxjesus?
Sorry for being slow... perhaps explaining why I struggle so much trading fx.
No... that 100% win rate fella was not trapped. In fact, he went off selling his proven ability to bigger clients.
When in doubt, HEDGE
  • #1,011,149
  • Jul 19, 2015 8:48am Jul 19, 2015 8:48am
Quoting verified
{quote} the wall - 0815 ?
It looks like the big boys are ready to leave the station on the Polar Express/Crazy Train. The only question to be answered is when the train is completely full of passengers and when it it scheduled to pull out. I hope that your seatbelts are buckled. All aboard....
  • #1,011,150
  • Jul 19, 2015 10:21am Jul 19, 2015 10:21am
Quoting AdelPC
{quote} {quote} Sorry for being slow... perhaps explaining why I struggle so much trading fx. No... that 100% win rate fella was not trapped. In fact, he went off selling his proven ability to bigger clients.
exactly my point. and the cheerleaders are sent to gather sheep.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,011,151
  • Jul 19, 2015 10:26am Jul 19, 2015 10:26am
prepare for long
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: forexfactory eurusd H1.png Size: 36 KB
And falling's just another way to fly...
  • #1,011,152
  • Jul 19, 2015 10:32am Jul 19, 2015 10:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} exactly my point. and the cheerleaders are sent to gather sheep.
hahaha that was nicely set up. 10/10 from me.

As you know 0965 is/was a target, with the 1st target from there, or the mid if you're looking for 2x target was bounced off @ 0840. Perhaps norm then moves down from the original mid to the previous target....0965 in this case (a theory of mine, back testing it is tedious)- that may make up for many of the norms we've missed the past 9 months, the issue is, if that's the case and it gets broken- it's hard to tell whether the old norm at the mid is still valid. I know you've talked about old targets becoming norms before
  • #1,011,153
  • Jul 19, 2015 10:35am Jul 19, 2015 10:35am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} exactly my point. and the cheerleaders are sent to gather sheep.
by the way, did we close below 0819? I have 0817 on one and 0830 on another...with many conflicting reports
  • #1,011,154
  • Jul 19, 2015 10:42am Jul 19, 2015 10:42am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} exactly my point. and the cheerleaders are sent to gather sheep.

How is your weekend G
Weather here so Hot
Finished your plan?
I'm done with it
  • #1,011,155
  • Jul 19, 2015 10:43am Jul 19, 2015 10:43am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} hahaha that was nicely set up. 10/10 from me. As you know 0965 is/was a target, with the 1st target from there, or the mid if you're looking for 2x target was bounced off @ 0840. Perhaps norm then moves down from the original mid to the previous target....0965 in this case (a theory of mine, back testing it is tedious)- that may make up for many of the norms we've missed the past 9 months, the issue is, if that's the case and it gets broken- it's hard to tell whether the old norm at the mid is still valid. I know you've talked about old...
that close below 0840, has the 0964 sightly harder.. ping pong.. below the mid at 145x and 047x with a week close. after losing 1209 last month
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,011,156
  • Jul 19, 2015 10:45am Jul 19, 2015 10:45am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} by the way, did we close below 0819? I have 0817 on one and 0830 on another...with many conflicting reports
bloomberg had 0830... check dukascopy..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,011,157
  • Jul 19, 2015 10:47am Jul 19, 2015 10:47am
Quoting egkid
{quote} How is your weekend G Weather here so Hot Finished your plan? I'm done with it
warm her also with the humidity, in degrees upper 90ties.
bbl
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,011,158
  • Jul 19, 2015 10:47am Jul 19, 2015 10:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} that close below 0840, has the 0964 sightly harder.. ping pong.. below the mid at 145x and 047x with a week close. after losing 1209 last month
Guess this ur twitter
old one but interesting
" Mar 31 - possible new short eu entry 0874/0947"
  • #1,011,159
  • Jul 19, 2015 11:24am Jul 19, 2015 11:24am
Quoting MTF Test
Fibonacci I liked it !! Hope you like it too ! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dsomgrotZUg
Thanks!
loss 100k in Forex, up 1k, still have 99% to go!!
  • #1,011,160
  • Jul 19, 2015 11:29am Jul 19, 2015 11:29am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} bloomberg had 0830... check dukascopy..
Dukascopy print 0828trade interceptor print nil think server offlineMt 4 never move on weekend?Local broker I using print 0827
loss 100k in Forex, up 1k, still have 99% to go!!
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