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  • #1,010,821
  • Jul 16, 2015 8:57am Jul 16, 2015 8:57am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} let aud hit 7433/39 ... as long as below 7496
Micro bulls need the same, it bounced off 7364. GU visited its similar norms & clear for downside
  • #1,010,822
  • Jul 16, 2015 8:59am Jul 16, 2015 8:59am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} greetings
max the range is tight to open a trade
  • #1,010,823
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:01am Jul 16, 2015 9:01am
Quoting tashkent
so, dear bulls and bears (and few pigs). bull candle of one hour nullified 6 hours of bear candle. what is next? guesses?
have long

looking for norm to short 108x, a larger norm ~ 114x posted about some time ago if we break the 0819 leg (we've been in this leg for 2 months), I'd have to look it up

philly fed big miss

yellen can deliver the fu, she's been bullish dollar
  • #1,010,824
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:02am Jul 16, 2015 9:02am
Ya told ya!
1.0960 1st TP ;
1.0985 final TP

edit: closed 1/3 at 1.0922
  • #1,010,825
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:03am Jul 16, 2015 9:03am
Quoting keziahpie
{quote} up up and away!
look at the bullish outside bar at 1hr at support!
  • #1,010,826
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:06am Jul 16, 2015 9:06am
Quoting Matts Micro
First real support base for me coming into range (around 1.0862/50). With momentum and Draghi coming up it may smash through.
First extension completed (tomato TL's). I will be looking to re-enter shorts at the 1.0950 zone but perhaps with the strength of st reversal signs it may reach up to the 1.10 zone and additionally often with these BO's, PA often pulls back to BO point of origin ie the 1.1050 zone (brown TL) though I can't see it happening atm. As always will monitor as she blows.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd #106.png Size: 100 KB
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #1,010,827
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:06am Jul 16, 2015 9:06am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} have long looking for norm to short 108x, a larger norm ~ 114x posted about some time ago if we break the 0819 leg (we've been in this leg for 2 months), I'd have to look it up philly fed big miss yellen can deliver the fu, she's been bullish dollar
yea... lets see how bear will react. i have 1.0963
As Above, So Below
  • #1,010,828
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:07am Jul 16, 2015 9:07am
Looks like closing out shorts at 1.09 wasnt a bad idea. Nice work longs. I want to re sell above 1.0950 and again at 1.0980.

USD looks better elsewhere vs less crowded trades, AUD is rallying and ripe for a shot.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #1,010,829
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:10am Jul 16, 2015 9:10am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} have long looking for norm to short 108x, a larger norm ~ 114x posted about some time ago if we break the 0819 leg (we've been in this leg for 2 months), I'd have to look it up philly fed big miss yellen can deliver the fu, she's been bullish dollar
If one were bullish to make a HH above 1466, this wouldnt be a bad area to look for a Long, with stop below 0819.....to hold for weeks. If daily prints the hammer, like it looks right now...there should certainly be an attempt

Would probably require Yellen to hold back rate cuts until 2016....USD wont like that...shes already stated 2015

Not the trade I'm trading- but it's one of the (many) options
  • #1,010,830
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:13am Jul 16, 2015 9:13am
Quoting xandi
Ya told ya! 1.0960 1st TP ; 1.0985 final TP edit: closed 1/3 at 1.0922
Well done, just before the old famous 16:10-16:20 CET
  • #1,010,831
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:14am Jul 16, 2015 9:14am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} If one were bullish to make a HH above 1466, this wouldnt be a bad area to look for a Long, with stop below 0819.....to hold for weeks. If daily prints the hammer, like it looks right now...there should certainly be an attempt Would probably require Yellen to hold back rate cuts Not the trade I'm trading- but it's one of the (many) options
would be a nice hammer at a good location. If pb to left eye, will long with SL just below the hammer.
  • #1,010,832
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:17am Jul 16, 2015 9:17am
Quoting keziahpie
{quote} would be a nice hammer at a good location. If pb to left eye, will long with SL just below the hammer.
Daily time frames require daily size risk and daily size stops for daily size rewards
  • #1,010,833
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:18am Jul 16, 2015 9:18am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Daily time frames require daily size risk and daily size stops for daily size rewards
Noted. Just asking why are you not keen if it is a hammer? beacuse US Yellen speaking tmr?
  • #1,010,834
  • Edited 9:40am Jul 16, 2015 9:20am | Edited 9:40am
Quoting gatorinla
monkey wrench.. imf will not agree w/o a greek haircut.. so even with a greek vote for the deal today, it may not be over. who takes the haircut atm is unclear to me. if its the ecb or germany etc. they may pullout.. if its the greeks, they may pullout. give it a few some service will pick this imf request up..
over the past few weeks merkel wasn't budging over debt relief for greece. imf is pushing it hard.. merkel will probably go back on her word like dragis did. a further loss of euro confidence each time. it appears bag holders will eat some greek debt or the deal will fail. still regardless on how u slice it.. GREEK debt is EMU debt.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,010,835
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:22am Jul 16, 2015 9:22am
Quoting KzX
{quote} Well done, just before the old famous 16:10-16:20 CET
congratulations you too you were also long from there 085x!

well closing more at this point 0917...
going to lunch, Im delayed 4 hours...and Im waiting retracement to 1.0890 so I reenter long, fibo 50% of this climb up, 5-0 pattern.
take care
  • #1,010,836
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:27am Jul 16, 2015 9:27am
Quoting keziahpie
{quote} Noted. Just asking why are you not keen if it is a hammer? beacuse US Yellen speaking tmr?
Many reasons, one of them because of what I posted before.

Trading the daily requires larger stops with larger pip rewards, but at the same risk %....so less trading for less money...and less losses.

Lower time frames are more stops but with fewer pip risk and larger pip profit that can be carried into the daily rewards. I don't mind being wrong a few times in a row, if the profit exceeds the stops.

I'm currently long, so I'm more than happy with a hammer, but I expect a bull rally to be short lived, as Yellen has already stated publicly that rate liftoff is appropriate for 2015. Before she was "data dependent". Now she's set a date, so if she re-nigs, and pushes to 2016...she eats a shit sandwhich....
  • #1,010,837
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:29am Jul 16, 2015 9:29am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Many reasons, one of them because of what I posted before. Trading the daily requires larger stops with larger pip rewards, but at the same risk %....so less trading for less money...and less losses. Lower time frames are more stops but with fewer pip risk and larger pip profit that can be carried into the daily rewards. I don't mind being wrong a few times in a row, if the profit exceeds the stops. I'm currently long, so I'm more than happy with a hammer, but I expect a bull rally to be short lived, as Yellen has already stated publicly...
what is your TP? on which TF
  • #1,010,838
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:31am Jul 16, 2015 9:31am
EUR/USD broke below 1.0900 and reached 1.0860 but then returned to its previous levels above 1.0900. Still, I think that the move to the downside will continue.
  • #1,010,839
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:31am Jul 16, 2015 9:31am
Quoting keziahpie
{quote} what is your TP? on which TF
Without the price going below 0819, I expect to pull my longs around 1060-1080, and start looking to short, for a break below 0819

If price breaks 0819 first, I expect to look for a short around 114x after a heafty bounce with many trades in-between

In this case, both norms work either way. It's cleaner if the first happens then the second

All of this could be wrong and shoot for 15xx, in that case I make little profit at 1060 (compared to what I'd make at 15xx), get stopped on my shorts and have to redraw everything
  • #1,010,840
  • Jul 16, 2015 9:36am Jul 16, 2015 9:36am
Quoting gatorinla
day closed below 0964, some resistance now here with 0947 and 0956. bounces even if above are probably bearish, even more so with a week/month close below 0964. its hard to short at a low.. on any given day i dont short a fresh b/o. this one may be different with the higher tf not needing a retrace. the shorter tf may allow 1072 ish.. i dont claim t know. in the "most times" category if i wanted to short i would have probably waited for 1065/72, in this particular case we may be overdo for 0786
i wouldn't pack those ski clothes just yet. 0964 is not a regular #.
china crash will affect german gdp 3x more than u.s... aud and kiwi even more than euro
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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