News trading discussion - continuation

mix of Russian as used translator for it

vvFISH HELP ME WITH THESE QUESTIONS PLEASE:
Do you operate at the moment of publication of the news?
How far the current candle goes?
Do you use any type EXPERT ADVISOR straddle?
How far has the SL and TP?

THANKS FOR ALL

Tuesday
11:30
06/30/15
1 Comments
GB Final GDP
(GB Final GDP), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 20.00 points in the first minute after the release.
10% probability trades.

Tuesday
15:30
06/30/15
CA GDP growth GOOD
(CA GDP), Canada, USDCAD
Average reaction when the trigger 30.00 points in the first minute after the release.
20% probability trades.

Independence Day in the US Non-Farm moves to Thursday

Please note that this month Non-Farm transferred to the United States Thursday, on Friday the US will be on holiday in honor of Independence Day.
By the way, the Canadian nonfarm this month also leaves separately and not behind the "big brother" - on July 10.

More Update Please.. I really thank you for making this thread. This is really usefull for trading at high impact news.
Please give us your Thoughts on "smart traders" , that statement is really helping us too.
Thank you very much..

How about tommorow wednesday and thursday news ? please update more...

Thoughts on "smart traders"

Today is the deadline debt of Greece to the IMF


June 30 deadline for the repayment of the second portion of the IMF credit for Greece. If the debt is not paid on time - this could mean a technical default, and as a conclusion, increasing the likelihood of a Greek exit from the EU.
But Greece does not want to leave the warm embrace of the neighbors, the Greeks even today threatened by the court, which is going to block your way out of the eurozone.
At the same time Tsipras rejected the proposal on behalf of the Eurogroup Juncker.
Today was supposed to be a briefing on the results, but it does not take place, as negotiations dragged and ate his scheduled time. But it still has to be today, so that the point of this topic is not set, we will complement the commentary.
PS Recall even tomorrow to be a summit on Greece, but perhaps this event would lose its relevance.

Wednesday
11:30
07/01/15
GB industry activity index GOOD
(GB Manufacturing PMI), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 20.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.

Wednesday
15:15
07/01/15
US ADP number of employed
(US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change), the United States, USDJPY
Average reaction when the trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.

Wednesday
17:00
07/01/15
US ISM index of business optimism
(US ISM Manufacturing PMI), USA, USDJPY
Average reaction when the trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
5% probability trades.

At 10:30 the EIA will release US Crude Oil Inventories.


*********************************************************************************
Analysts Forecast 1.2 Million Barrel Drop in Crude Stocks
Published: Jun 30, 2015

By Nicole Friedman


NEW YORK--U.S. crude-oil stocks are expected to decline in data due Wednesday from the Department of Energy, according to a survey of analysts by The Wall Street Journal.

Estimates from 12 analysts surveyed showed that U.S. oil inventories are projected to have fallen by 1.2 million barrels, on average, in the week ended June 26.

Nine analysts expect "stockpiles to fall, while three expect a rise. Forecasts range from a rise of 4 million barrels to a drop of 5 million barrels.

The closely watched survey from the Energy Information Administration is due at 10:30 a.m. EDT Wednesday.

Gasoline stockpiles are expected to rise by 100,000 barrels, according to analysts. Six analysts expect a decline, with six expecting a rise. Estimates range from a rise of 3 million barrels to a drop of 2.25 million barrels.

Stocks of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel, are expected to rise by 1.1 million barrels. Eleven analysts expect a rise, while one sees a decline. Forecasts range from a drop of 500,000 barrels to a gain of 2 million barrels.

Refinery use is seen rising 0.3 percentage point to 94.3% of capacity, based on EIA data. Eight analysts expect a rise, two expect a decline, one sees no change and one didn't provide an estimate. Forecasts range from a rise of 1.0 point to a drop of 0.6 point.

The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said late Tuesday that its own data for the same week showed a 1.9-million-barrel increase in crude-oil supplies, according to a source. The group said that gasoline supplies rose by 334,000 barrels, according to the source. API said U.S. distillate stocks were up by 263,000 barrels in the week, according to the source.


Crude Gasoline Distillates Refinery Use

Again Capital -0.7 -1.1 1.9 -0.6
Citi Futures Perspective -2.5 1.0 1.5 0.5
Confluence Investment Management 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0
EBW AnalyticsGroup 4.0 -1.5 0.5 unch
Energy Management Institute -2.3 1.2 1.6 0.4
Excel Futures -3.6 -1.35 1.2 -0.3
Frost & Sullivan -2.5 -2.25 2.0 0.75
IAF Advisors -1.0 1.5 1.5 n/a
Price Futures Group 3.5 3.0 2.0 0.5
Ritterbusch and Associates -3.0 1.5 0.5 0.5
Schneider Electric -3.0 -0.75 0.5 0.25
Tradition Energy -5.0 -1.5 -0.5 0.5

AVERAGE -1.2 0.1 1.1 0.3


************************************************************************

Good luck everybody!

Thoughts on "smart traders"

US Non-Farm Employment Change

Unusual publication

This time the NFP will be published on Thursday, which is unusual, since the usual schedule for its release is the first Friday of the month, these days, and tries to publish its main report USA Bureau of Labor Statistics. It is noteworthy that last year there was a similar situation: July 3, 2014 NFP also came out on Thursday due to the Independence Day in the United States.
Adds whether it is some difficulty in the trade? No, this side is nothing complicated, but on the part of Greece (how tired she is already) have. The market may experience a lack of liquidity in the moment.

The most important indicator for the market

Non-Farm Employment change is one of the most important indicators for the market, since this indicator is the engine of change in the mood of the members of the FOMC, which in turn make decisions relating to monetary control major economies of the world.
Janet Yellen (Fed Chairman) clearly indicated that without the inflation target in the country, as well as the strong labor market, expect an early interest rate increase is not necessary.
For the decision of the Federal Reserve will be the key indicators of the second half of 2015, since the first half of it has discredited itself. The present publication will be the first important indication of June.

Competitors indicator

In addition to the NFP it is also an important indicator of inflation, as well as the level of wages of employed.
Often there are situations when the structure of the statistics, even beyond the positive deviations are not satisfied with the markets for some reason. For example, when the increase takes place to a greater extent by the increase in part-time employment (when growth of 100K, 80K - this increase in part-time employment). Or, when the background of growth of employed decreased dynamics of wages, as evidence that the population does not afford the extra costs and the acceleration of the economy will not happen soon.
Inflation in the country is currently not call up several target FOMC 1.7% from 2% for the basic annual rate. In general it is not critical information.
But, apart from foreign competition indicator Payrolls (inflation, retail sales, GDP ...), there is an inner "packet" competition, which is below.

Risks associated with the publication

NFP is not only "a valuable fur, but also three or four additional indicators." Not quite complete, but the most accurate list of the most important values ​​of the release is as follows:
US Change in NonFarm Payrolls
US Unemployment Rate SA
US Average Hourly Earnings
US Revised NFP
Real incision certainly deeper in fact, and its full review can easily break our neck, but decided to believe that the above-mentioned topics have the most powerful influence on the instant quotes.
With the volume of its course it may be more headache.

Technical features

In Non-Farm Payrolls is not necessary to meddle with no system to prevent conflict, and now we will explain why at the time of publication of the indicator there are spikes, relatively SEC you will agree with us directly.
The thing is that all four of the above indicator has the right to bring "their extra volatility" of the dollar. When the indicators are published in a line - we see a smooth and safe movement, but when the lights begin to interfere with each other - on the market there is a "Saw" (erratic price movements up and down). It was after these conflicts, and we listen to horror stories about fusion deposits.

Thursday
10:30
02/07/15
SE Interest
(SE Interest Rate), Sweden, EURSEK
Average reaction when the trigger 50.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.

Thursday
11:30
02/07/15
GB index of business activity in the construction sector
(GB Construction PMI), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 35.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.

Thursday
15:30
02/07/15
US Number of employed outside agriculture HOT!
(US Non-Farm Employment Change), the United States, USDJPY
Average reaction when the trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
45% probability trades.

Thursday
17:30
02/07/15
US natural gas reserves GOOD
(US Natural Gas Storage), the United States, #NG
Average reaction when the trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
50% probability trades.

Thursday
10:30
02/07/15
SE Interest
(SE Interest Rate), Sweden, EURSEK
Average reaction when the trigger 50.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.

Thursday
11:30
02/07/15
GB index of business activity in the construction sector
(GB Construction PMI), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 35.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.

Thursday
15:30
02/07/15
US Number of employed outside agriculture HOT!
(US Non-Farm Employment Change), the United States, USDJPY
Average reaction when the trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
45% probability trades.

Thursday
17:30
02/07/15
US natural gas reserves GOOD
(US Natural Gas Storage), the United States, #NG
Average reaction when the trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
50% probability trades.

Does anyone know what time the Greek referendum results will be announced on Sunday, there could be a large price gap at open

Friday
11:30
03/07/15
GB The index of activity in the service sector GOOD
(GB Services PMI), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 30.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.

Hi! @vvFish ,congralute your gain in NFEC at usdjpy and ngas. can you reply some question:
How you open an order, using pending or market order?
The time of your order offten is **:29:5* ,at the time how you decide buy or sell?
what's tools is your open order? etc, Depth of market or New order,and your script of order?
Thank your great system!

At 9:30 pm EDT Australia will release Retail Sales. Expected at 0.5 after a prior of 0.0. Set it up on AUDUSD with a trigger of 0.8 or higher.

Good luck everybody!

Thoughts on "smart traders"

Important events of the week from July 6

Summer 2015 cooks some very spicy dish, stirring constantly with it, increasing the degree of fire, then reduce it. The dish is quite bizarre, as Cook goes along the lines prepared recipe - experimenting, improvising. Consider the possible important ingredients of this week.
Markets are likely to react gepom again at the opening of Monday, the price gap will characterize the main event of the weekend - the Greek referendum (incoming information rather contradictory "from strong optimism to pessimism gray").
In addition to the compulsory reading the news on Monday, we recommend that you also pay attention to the publication of PMI Canada. Usually slack indicator may now be quite interesting, as it is expected some new turning point / clarification of monetary policy the Bank of Canada on July 15 (the meeting controller). Also on Friday, it will be published by the Canadian Non-Farm, which increases the nervousness of quotations.

Tuesday - of course, in the morning a decision on the interest rate of the RBA. "To be or not to be" is very simple, but the question is relevant as never before. On the same day, we take a look at the UK industrial production, which promises to cut that will destroy the hopes of the bright prospects of the British economy in 2015 (PMI have already warned earlier).

On Wednesday, the resulting reports will be published by the Federal Reserve - do not expect surprises, because everything has been said, and it is only a collection of the past in the printed version.

On Thursday, Australia will publish labor market data, the "degree of interest" which will evaluate the results since the height of the RBA last

Tuesday. Also on this day will be a meeting of the Bank of England, but held it only for show.

Friday is crowned Canada's labor market, we hope that it will insert live round instead of American singles NFP last Thursday (July 2)