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EURUSD

  • #1,006,441
  • Jul 1, 2015 9:40am Jul 1, 2015 9:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} me too here at 1069 some... reload them later 1132 +if possible.. i may have to lower that to 1118? i may waited for 1061 or better other times.
1132 would look like this maybe some R in the blue box 1095 ish.. the others since last week are having a tough time making it..
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,006,442
  • Jul 1, 2015 9:41am Jul 1, 2015 9:41am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Could be a runner mate, good luck with it I'm focusing on nzd for now
New Zealand Fonterra dairy prices -5.9%
  • #1,006,443
  • Jul 1, 2015 9:44am Jul 1, 2015 9:44am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} New Zealand Fonterra dairy prices -5.9%
Good thing... I'm buying into it

But looking at daily, i won't be too greedy. Only a usd sell off could save it
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #1,006,444
  • Jul 1, 2015 9:48am Jul 1, 2015 9:48am
loaded another long 1.1075 targeting 1.1105 in 1 hr
Keep the Lights on then you can catch the rise from the dark.
  • #1,006,445
  • Jul 1, 2015 9:50am Jul 1, 2015 9:50am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Good thing... I'm buying into it But looking at daily, i won't be too greedy. Only a usd sell off could save it
The success rate of fading spike almost 100%

Problem is the waiting for spike
  • #1,006,446
  • Jul 1, 2015 9:52am Jul 1, 2015 9:52am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} The success rate of fading spike almost 100% Problem is the waiting for spike
I usually sleep while NZD move (due to news), because of timezone from my country

You see it going much lower in the short term ?
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #1,006,447
  • Jul 1, 2015 9:54am Jul 1, 2015 9:54am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} I usually sleep while NZD move (due to news), because of timezone from my country You see it going much lower in the short term ?
Probably a touch of .6700 then bounce
  • #1,006,448
  • Jul 1, 2015 9:55am Jul 1, 2015 9:55am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Probably a touch of .6700 then bounce
That's my guess too, even though i got some lines around 0,62xx which seem to be too low for my liking

And i'm looking at something near 0,71 for a bounce, greed or not, time will tell
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #1,006,449
  • Jul 1, 2015 9:59am Jul 1, 2015 9:59am
1.10950 is giving up
  • #1,006,450
  • Jul 1, 2015 10:02am Jul 1, 2015 10:02am
collecting some SL.

  • #1,006,451
  • Jul 1, 2015 10:02am Jul 1, 2015 10:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1132 would look like this maybe some R in the blue box 1095 ish.. the others since last week are having a tough time making it.. {image}
the R at 1143/45ish may possibly cap it...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,006,452
  • Jul 1, 2015 10:03am Jul 1, 2015 10:03am
Very interesting situation on eur/usd. Still possible strong move up.
Stop going for the easy buck
  • #1,006,453
  • Jul 1, 2015 10:06am Jul 1, 2015 10:06am
10Y yields up

USD is too strong atm

1.106x may not hold
  • #1,006,454
  • Jul 1, 2015 10:06am Jul 1, 2015 10:06am
shorted
Attached Image
  • #1,006,455
  • Jul 1, 2015 10:07am Jul 1, 2015 10:07am
Me thinks they were fighting over an option expiry...it was easy to see the money being thrown at it back and forth at 1.1100 right at the close. I'm still holding my short for 1.1030's and may add a small long from there for an 80 ish pip scalp or so
Don't trade the noise
  • #1,006,456
  • Jul 1, 2015 10:07am Jul 1, 2015 10:07am
Hourly, such a nice bounce from 61.8 support
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR-USD_1-Jul_Hourly.png Size: 46 KB
  • #1,006,457
  • Jul 1, 2015 10:07am Jul 1, 2015 10:07am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} The success rate of fading spike almost 100% Problem is the waiting for spike
this would all need to be explained more in depth. interesting to see some 100% play
  • #1,006,458
  • Jul 1, 2015 10:10am Jul 1, 2015 10:10am
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} this would all need to be explained more in depth. interesting to see some 100% play
Spike due to eco data most of the time hit key S/R - sell R buy S
  • #1,006,459
  • Jul 1, 2015 10:11am Jul 1, 2015 10:11am
Quoting Ken A
10Y yields up USD is too strong atm 1.106x may not hold
its a solid move, and it could last for a couple of days.

but there is NFP and Greek drama to change it all... crazy times
  • #1,006,460
  • Jul 1, 2015 10:12am Jul 1, 2015 10:12am
Given the reactions to good US data (that should kill the euro since fed said rate hike is data dependent) this pair wants to get up. Moreover I see a triangle on 4h, probably ascending. After all even taking into account QE euro has been taken down mostly by speculation than fundamentals.
Although chances are that tomorrow nfp will be good (good data usually don't come alone), and in that case the pair should go down.After that due to us bank holyday and with the help of our greek friends the euro could get a lot of strength, aiming to the 38% retracement line at 1.18 before the summer break. Then if us economy keeps being performant it will be able to print a LL, maybe 0,96.
Ubi maior minor cessat
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