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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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EurAnalysis

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  • Post #72,341
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  • Feb 10, 2015 10:24am Feb 10, 2015 10:24am
  •  Tom_D_Trader
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
Quoting Ironman777
Disliked
What's your style of trading?
Ignored
Its basically like this, but currently am not mining all data desired, coz had little time because of school, so my analysis only like 70% finished. Doesnt stop me from trading though as my FA bias finished well enough.
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Disliked
Say for start my first goal is to include these, since I focus on three major liquid markets beeing US, EU and Japan. US,EU,Japan macro - GDP, unemployment, inflation, BP Indexes - Nikkei, Dax, Dow, FTSE, SaP500 Commodities - Oil, Gold FX - EU, UJ, EJ So, my goal is to chop all these timeseries into wave fractions and measure lagging (moved in time) correlations of these.
Ignored
This is EU, but system is the same:
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Disliked
This is how the table goes on. Analysis is not finished, so it is still not properly set. Can get better numbers if work on it but takes time. But see Var coefficients show pretty strong simillarities for example when it comes to trends of this pair, there arent much average trends and pair is either trending very hard or soft. So say once about 228% of trend strength broken, is likely may run up to 268%, but more possibly to the mid of it. Say now we are trending at speed about 154%, so reaching top of a minimum long term trend - which is about...
Ignored
I actually cant write it all here. I plan to make an attempt to post whole my tradingplan on FF, but it would need me to write a lots of english text. And although I really like you guys, I just dont have time. Till UJ breaks, then I will have lots of time.
And this is my long term UJ view:
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
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....subwave 5 top is fake and we are about to go boom. Funīdaīmental: As Japans closed all those factories after Fukushima, are heavily import dependent on energy. Slumping commodity prices are huge boost for them. Think it is going to give Kuroda and Abe san enough political power to reach their targets. They have "expanded" their policy on last meeting. Not like it was some heavy asset expansion but they allowed to lending facilites to work in longer timescales as well as doubled these. Moreover, flow into USD is gonna continue till EU problems...
Ignored
Regarding my Geppy trade, only reason beeing short-mid term Oil bounce + safe haven cash flow to the Brittains. So have switched a bit of exposure from USD to GBP.
T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
 
 
  • Post #72,342
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  • Feb 14, 2015 10:55am Feb 14, 2015 10:55am
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,127 Posts
4H chart break an wedge to the upside.

slightly above this week?..
target 1540 0r maybe 16xx!

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  • Post #72,343
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  • Feb 19, 2015 9:19am Feb 19, 2015 9:19am
  •  smilemiz
  • Joined Jul 2010 | Status: Princess | 2,149 Posts
i saw >200 pips on EURO...

bought!
 
 
  • Post #72,344
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  • Feb 19, 2015 9:20am Feb 19, 2015 9:20am
  •  Tom_D_Trader
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
Quoting smilemiz
Disliked
i saw >200 pips on EURO... bought!
Ignored
I hope your massive order will not ruin my shorts Miz
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
 
 
  • Post #72,345
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  • Feb 19, 2015 9:30am Feb 19, 2015 9:30am
  •  smilemiz
  • Joined Jul 2010 | Status: Princess | 2,149 Posts
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
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{quote} I hope your massive order will not ruin my shorts Miz
Ignored
25 lots

r u gonna short selling on intraday, tom?
that was nice catch..
 
 
  • Post #72,346
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  • Feb 19, 2015 9:34am Feb 19, 2015 9:34am
  •  Tom_D_Trader
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
Quoting smilemiz
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{quote} 25 lots r u gonna short selling on intraday, tom? that was nice catch..
Ignored
No Miz, am floating and watching portfolio. Just little restructures here. Was ready pre FOMC. Wanted to already be rich, but... doesnt behave, am still @ BE, all choppy. Focusing on Dragon chart and also Cable. Dont like GBP weakening now.
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
 
 
  • Post #72,347
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  • Feb 19, 2015 9:37am Feb 19, 2015 9:37am
  •  smilemiz
  • Joined Jul 2010 | Status: Princess | 2,149 Posts
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
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{quote} No Miz, am floating and watching portfolio. Just little restructures here. Was ready pre FOMC. Wanted to already be rich, but... doesnt behave, am still @ BE, all choppy. Focusing on Dragon chart and also Cable. Dont like GBP weakening now. {image}
Ignored

tq 4 the charts , tom
 
 
  • Post #72,348
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  • Feb 19, 2015 10:05am Feb 19, 2015 10:05am
  •  smilemiz
  • Joined Jul 2010 | Status: Princess | 2,149 Posts
Quoting smilemiz
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{quote} 25 lots r u gonna short selling on intraday, tom? that was nice catch..
Ignored
bought
Attached Image
 
 
  • Post #72,349
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  • Feb 19, 2015 6:01pm Feb 19, 2015 6:01pm
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,127 Posts
tomorrow may be the key day for a move... on the business greece.

High volatility is expected ...
let's see how it goes

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  • Post #72,350
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  • Feb 19, 2015 6:15pm Feb 19, 2015 6:15pm
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,127 Posts
MY ADVICE
The Greek Bailout?

Reduce your exposure...and...Stay informed.
 
 
  • Post #72,351
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  • Feb 20, 2015 2:01am Feb 20, 2015 2:01am
  •  mangaradja
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Fake signal is a real good one too | 159 Posts
Quoting chess king
Disliked
MY ADVICE The Greek Bailout? Reduce your exposure...and...Stay informed.
Ignored

I agree with you

"Clear and Present Danger"

Attached Image


Closed all open and wait
 
 
  • Post #72,352
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  • Feb 20, 2015 7:24pm Feb 20, 2015 7:24pm
  •  smilemiz
  • Joined Jul 2010 | Status: Princess | 2,149 Posts
Quoting smilemiz
Disliked
{quote} bought {image}
Ignored
the power of position trader

finally......
 
 
  • Post #72,353
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  • Feb 20, 2015 7:27pm Feb 20, 2015 7:27pm
  •  smilemiz
  • Joined Jul 2010 | Status: Princess | 2,149 Posts
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Disliked
{quote} I hope your massive order will not ruin my shorts Miz
Ignored
sorry i am the ruiner..but i guess tom, u also huv time to take the profits, isn't?

bought is still
 
 
  • Post #72,354
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  • Feb 21, 2015 8:25am Feb 21, 2015 8:25am
  •  RFMagus1
  • | Joined Aug 2010 | Status: Member | 52 Posts
This thread has deteriorated into mathematical psycho-babble. Fact is, trading is a simple game.....fear vs greed. At the moment EUR-USD is awash with fear. Eventually, if the law of reversion to the mean holds water, the EUR is going to snap back with a vengeance. Greed will return to the picture.
 
 
  • Post #72,355
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  • Feb 21, 2015 11:18am Feb 21, 2015 11:18am
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,127 Posts
Quoting mangaradja
Disliked
{quote} I agree with you "Clear and Present Danger" {image} Closed all open and wait
Ignored
 
 
  • Post #72,356
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  • Feb 21, 2015 11:22am Feb 21, 2015 11:22am
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,127 Posts
?????
4H...
appears to be close to a solution! but which one,,,11xx or 16xx.
time will settle.
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  • Post #72,357
  • Quote
  • Mar 5, 2015 6:08pm Mar 5, 2015 6:08pm
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,127 Posts
Quoting chess king
Disliked
????? 4H... appears to be close to a solution! but which one,,,11xx or 16xx. time will settle. {image}
Ignored
well .. downtrend looks good health.
at least a few months..(downtrend) has always taken advantage.
 
 
  • Post #72,358
  • Quote
  • Apr 2, 2015 3:49pm Apr 2, 2015 3:49pm
  •  CommercialB
  • Joined Dec 2010 | Status: Wanderer | 360 Posts
Hey PT,

Always looked in here occasionally, was a great thread while it lasted & learned a lot here so thanks for that ..hope you're doing fine financially & in good health & maybe ... just maybe ..we might hear from you again


All the best CommB
The spoken word is your master, the unspoken word your slave.
 
 
  • Post #72,359
  • Quote
  • Jun 5, 2015 12:38pm Jun 5, 2015 12:38pm
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,127 Posts
Quoting chess king
Disliked
{quote} my main levels... LT ,I have 113.50 as support and 125.4x as possible target MID ..119.50/120.
Ignored

Four months after USD hit 125.4x target...
 
 
  • Post #72,360
  • Quote
  • Jun 25, 2015 11:30am Jun 25, 2015 11:30am
  •  PipTrapper
  • Joined Aug 2008 | Status: Persist Until Something Happens | 17,898 Posts
Quoting CommercialB
Disliked
Hey PT, Always looked in here occasionally, was a great thread while it lasted & learned a lot here so thanks for that ..hope you're doing fine financially & in good health & maybe ... just maybe ..we might hear from you again All the best CommB
Ignored
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
 
 
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