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Flag trading the trend

  • #6,781
  • Jun 10, 2015 12:13pm Jun 10, 2015 12:13pm
What is this tendency now, that the move happens on European day and after NY open nothing happens? Yesterday it was like that. Well, today it was natural, because of report. But not so much volatility anyways. We have seen much bigger swings on report days.
  • #6,782
  • Jun 11, 2015 6:55am Jun 11, 2015 6:55am
sold at 64
Become the casino
  • #6,783
  • Jun 11, 2015 8:06am Jun 11, 2015 8:06am
hey Erasmus you live in uk sleep till noon have breakfast and then start trading at 130 your time. better trends in usa session
  • #6,784
  • Jun 11, 2015 8:21am Jun 11, 2015 8:21am
here's some interesting stats: i've backtested mar, apr, may 2015 and sorted the trades between indy trades(2 sloping dots) and S/R trades(pulling back to S/R for a connection). For the indy trades i've got 30 wins, 19 losses, 27 b/e's for a total of 675 ticks. For the S/R trades i've got 29 wins, 9 losses, 24 b/e's for a total of 823 ticks. This is based on placing sl to b/e +1 after 20 ticks in profit and running a trailing sl of 18 ticks after 30 ticks in profit. Didn't double the number of contarcts for the second trade of the day
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  • #6,785
  • Jun 11, 2015 8:28am Jun 11, 2015 8:28am
09 if pb
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  • #6,786
  • Jun 11, 2015 9:01am Jun 11, 2015 9:01am
R13 gave few good standard 2 dot trades, long, and now we are on short
  • #6,787
  • Jun 11, 2015 9:08am Jun 11, 2015 9:08am
Quoting erasmus66
09 if pb
mine was 91 the 2b to area to go long either one we both lost
  • #6,788
  • Jun 11, 2015 9:18am Jun 11, 2015 9:18am
Don't say that today will be rangeing motion again...
  • #6,789
  • Jun 11, 2015 9:21am Jun 11, 2015 9:21am
noticing the signals that give a 2b entry bot NOT a pb entry are v.reliable, e.g.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Crude05May15.png Size: 36 KB
Become the casino
  • #6,790
  • Jun 11, 2015 9:36am Jun 11, 2015 9:36am
wrong spot there was a 2b to get back in trend which did connect
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1.png Size: 140 KB
  • #6,791
  • Jun 11, 2015 9:39am Jun 11, 2015 9:39am
Quoting erasmus66
noticing the signals that give a 2b entry bot NOT a pb entry are v.reliable, e.g. {image}
Could you Erasmus explain that 2b pls. I can't see it yet realiably?
  • #6,792
  • Jun 11, 2015 9:41am Jun 11, 2015 9:41am
a 2b is where we make a LL LH then price takes out last low by a little then when price takes out the 2 pt of the 2b we wait for 2 closes and put limit in at pt it works the same as a 123. in short a 2b is a 123 that got broken because pt 3 took out pt 1 if you look at a head and shoulder pattern the 2b is the left shoulder the 123 is the right
  • #6,793
  • Jun 11, 2015 9:58am Jun 11, 2015 9:58am
will sell at 51 if pb clean
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  • #6,794
  • Jun 11, 2015 11:49am Jun 11, 2015 11:49am
Quoting erasmus66
here's some interesting stats: i've backtested mar, apr, may 2015 and sorted the trades between indy trades(2 sloping dots) and S/R trades(pulling back to S/R for a connection). For the indy trades i've got 30 wins, 19 losses, 27 b/e's for a total of 675 ticks. For the S/R trades i've got 29 wins, 9 losses, 24 b/e's for a total of 823 ticks. This is based on placing sl to b/e +1 after 20 ticks in profit and running a trailing sl of 18 ticks after 30 ticks in profit. Didn't double the number of contarcts for the second trade of the day
this adds up to 500 ticks a month, think about those double contract trades that probably adds about 150 or more to numbers
  • #6,795
  • Jun 11, 2015 11:54am Jun 11, 2015 11:54am
yes, even at 1 contract & not doubling up for 2nd trade that's $5k/month ... yes you get days like today but if you look long term and trust your backtest you know you will make money
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  • #6,796
  • Jun 11, 2015 11:55am Jun 11, 2015 11:55am
where would you put the point 2 entry for this trade:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Crude07Apr15.png Size: 40 KB
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  • #6,797
  • Jun 11, 2015 11:58am Jun 11, 2015 11:58am
in fact this isn't a trade because we don't get a hh before the signal comes in
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  • #6,798
  • Jun 11, 2015 12:05pm Jun 11, 2015 12:05pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Crude07Apr15a.png Size: 37 KB
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  • #6,799
  • Jun 11, 2015 12:49pm Jun 11, 2015 12:49pm
Quoting Divergence
a 2b is where we make a LL LH then price takes out last low by a little then when price takes out the 2 pt of the 2b we wait for 2 closes and put limit in at pt it works the same as a 123. in short a 2b is a 123 that got broken because pt 3 took out pt 1 if you look at a head and shoulder pattern the 2b is the left shoulder the 123 is the right
What is pt?
  • #6,800
  • Jun 11, 2015 12:58pm Jun 11, 2015 12:58pm
Quoting tdforex
{quote} What is pt?
point as in point 2 of a 123 or 2b
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