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News trading discussion - continuation

  • #641
  • Jun 5, 2015 9:56am Jun 5, 2015 9:56am
Wednesday
11:00
06/10/15
NO The core consumer price index
(NO Core CPI), Norway, EURNOK
Average reaction when the trigger 30.00 points in the first minute after the release.
20% probability trades.

Wednesday
11:30
06/10/15
GB Industrial Production
(GB Industrial Production), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 20.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #642
  • Jun 8, 2015 7:36am Jun 8, 2015 7:36am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #643
  • Jun 8, 2015 8:05am Jun 8, 2015 8:05am
Great trade !I think someone got the News earlier,You can see the min candles 8:18-8:19 NY time,what do you think ?
  • #644
  • Jun 8, 2015 8:39am Jun 8, 2015 8:39am
Quoting maiyizhe
Great trade !I think someone got the News earlier,You can see the min candles 8:18-8:19 NY time,what do you think ?
Housing starts sometimes does come out earlier. Today it was released 2 min earlier than the time given. Nothing unusual.
  • #645
  • Jun 8, 2015 9:09am Jun 8, 2015 9:09am
Quoting TerryTibbs
{quote} Housing starts sometimes does come out earlier. Today it was released 2 min earlier than the time given. Nothing unusual.
No, I mean the News of "Building Permits m/m".
  • #646
  • Jun 8, 2015 12:22pm Jun 8, 2015 12:22pm
scalping before and after the news
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #647
  • Jun 8, 2015 8:34pm Jun 8, 2015 8:34pm
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  • #648
  • Jun 8, 2015 8:57pm Jun 8, 2015 8:57pm
kangaroo happy morning
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #649
  • Jun 9, 2015 9:57pm Jun 9, 2015 9:57pm
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #650
  • Jun 9, 2015 10:52pm Jun 9, 2015 10:52pm
hello , i m quite interest with this thread
whats to learn to make us can trade on news ( i like trade on news once ) its because the volality and the signal is not everyday and not much too

but theres many things thats bother me when trade news is some news on forexfactory calender is dont do much movement even though theres high impact sign , so i filter the news which really do high impact Non Farm Payroll (NFP), CPI, GDP, Retail Sales, Unemployment, Interest Rate

and most anoying from news is ' slipage or off quote'
Take What You Can , Give Nothing Back
  • #651
  • Edited 11:23pm Jun 9, 2015 11:08pm | Edited 11:23pm
Quoting Donquixote
hello , i m quite interest with this thread whats to learn to make us can trade on news ( i like trade on news once ) its because the volality and the signal is not everyday and not much too but theres many things thats bother me when trade news is some news on forexfactory calender is dont do much movement even though theres high impact sign , so i filter the news which really do high impact Non Farm Payroll (NFP), CPI, GDP, Retail Sales, Unemployment, Interest Rate and most anoying from news is ' slipage or off quote'
Sometimes Statement politicians, and so on hubernatorov soprovozhdayutsya tozhe vlyyayut motion on prices.
How We allocate Only something with you with AUDUSD.,
or a motion USDJPY Monday:

Verbalnaya "fake" ynterventsyya from Obama

Monday dostatochno proshel difficult day for the US dollar - hrynbek poteryal fyhuru Almost vo vseh valyutnыh tandem, but something was the same as prychynoy, After all, only in Friday nablyudaly We pozytyvnыm growth for the Non-Farm Employment Change.
Obama. Prychynoy ago became US president, Barack Obama. Vыstupaya on for G7 noted that "sylnыy dollar javljaetsja problemoy." No, stop stop stop, after such a headliner from Bloomberg, White Home gave refutation: The President did not state that the strong dollar was a problem (not utverzhdal president, something sylnыy dollar javljaetsja problemoy). Clarified something klyuchevoy mыslyu Obama javljaetsja slabыy hlobalnыy demand and G7 dolzhnы the Use all methods in order Avto stymulyrovat Height: including, and fyskalnыe. "
Poluchylas such Roda itself verbalnaya ynterventsyya: First asked That was the direction and subtlety Next nykoho has not ynteresovaly. Love, Do know the rumors Marketplace Dover bolshe, than an official Statement.
PS For Greece hearing - mogut move Term lending program due dates for End of March 2016.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #652
  • Jun 9, 2015 11:22pm Jun 9, 2015 11:22pm
Quoting Donquixote
hello , i m quite interest with this thread whats to learn to make us can trade on news ( i like trade on news once ) its because the volality and the signal is not everyday and not much too but theres many things thats bother me when trade news is some news on forexfactory calender is dont do much movement even though theres high impact sign , so i filter the news which really do high impact Non Farm Payroll (NFP), CPI, GDP, Retail Sales, Unemployment, Interest Rate and most anoying from news is ' slipage or off quote'
If you you want to trade on the news, you have to look at everything related to the news - the rumors, facts, statements, reports, analysts' predictions and more.
But there is one rule that I would put in the first place in trading on the news.
Do not trust anyone !!!
You can believe the price on the chart.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #653
  • Jun 9, 2015 11:48pm Jun 9, 2015 11:48pm
Quoting vvFish
{quote} If you you want to trade on the news, you have to look at everything related to the news - the rumors, facts, statements, reports, analysts' predictions and more. But there is one rule that I would put in the first place in trading on the news. Do not trust anyone !!! You can believe the price on the chart.
really? thanks
i always trade on news by watching the actual of the forex factory calender
Take What You Can , Give Nothing Back
  • #654
  • Jun 10, 2015 3:04am Jun 10, 2015 3:04am
USDNOK
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  • #655
  • Jun 10, 2015 3:09am Jun 10, 2015 3:09am
At 10:30 am EST the EIA will release Crude Oil Inventories.
Check expected number a couple of minutes before the release.


********************************************************************
Analysts Forecast 1.8 Million Barrel Draw in Crude Stocks
Published: Jun 09, 2015
By Nicole Friedman

NEW YORK--U.S. crude-oil stocks are expected to decline in data due Wednesday from the Department of Energy, according to a survey of analysts by The Wall Street Journal.

Estimates from 11 analysts surveyed showed that U.S. oil inventories are projected to have fallen by 1.8 million barrels, on average, in the week ended June 5.

All 11 analysts expect stockpiles to fall. Forecasts range from a decline of 500,000 barrels to a drop of 3.5 million barrels.

The closely watched survey from the Energy Information Administration is due at 10:30 a.m. EDT Wednesday.

Gasoline stockpiles are expected to be unchanged in the week, according to analysts. Six analysts expect an increase, with five expecting a decline. Estimates range from a rise of 1.8 million barrels to a drop of 3 million barrels.

Stocks of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel, are expected to rise by 1.3 million barrels. Nine analysts expect a rise, while two see a decline. Forecasts range from a gain of 3 million barrels to a drop of 1 million barrels.

Refinery use is seen rising 0.2 percentage point to 93.4% of capacity, based on EIA data. Seven analysts expect an increase, two expect a rise and two didn't provide an estimate. Forecasts range from a rise of 0.5 point to a drop of 1.0 point.

The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, is scheduled to release its inventory data for the same period later Tuesday.


Crude Gasoline Distillates Refinery Use
Again Capital
Citi Futures Perspective -2.5 1.5 1.5 0.5
Confluence Investment Management -1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5
EBW AnalyticsGroup -3.5 1.2 2.0 0.1
Energy Management Institute -1.8 1.8 2.0 0.5
Excel Futures -2.6 -1.2 1.7 0.5
Frost & Sullivan -2.0 -2.0 1.5 0.5
IAF Advisors -0.5 1.0 1.5 n/a
Price Futures Group -2.0 -3.0 -1.0 -0.5
Ritterbusch and Associates -1.3 -0.4 -0.7 0.5
Tradition Energy -1.0 -1.0 3.0 -1.0
Tyche Capital Advisors -1.5 1.5 2.2 n/a

AVERAGE -1.8 0.0 1.3 0.2
(Figures in millions of barrels except for refining capacity, which is reported in percentage points. For analysts providing forecasts in a range, the average of the upper and lower ends of the range is used.


Good luck everybody!
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #656
  • Jun 10, 2015 3:35am Jun 10, 2015 3:35am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #657
  • Jun 10, 2015 3:46am Jun 10, 2015 3:46am
Thursday
00:00
11/06/15
NZ Interest
(NZ Official Cash Rate), New Zealand, NZDUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 30.00 points in the first minute after the release.
5% probability trades.

Thursday
4:30
11/06/15
AU number of employed
(AU Employment Change), Australia, AUDUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 45.00 points in the first minute after the release.
45% probability trades.

Thursday
8:30
11/06/15
CN Industrial production
(CN Industrial Production), China, AUDUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.

Thursday
10:30
11/06/15
SE Consumer Price Index
(SE CPI), Sweden, EURSEK
Average reaction when the trigger 50.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.
15:30
11/06/15
The core US retail sales
(US Core Retail Sales), the United States, USDJPY
Average reaction when the trigger 35.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.

Thursday
17:30
11/06/15
US natural gas reserves GOOD
(US Natural Gas Storage), the United States, #NG
Average reaction when the trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
50% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #658
  • Jun 10, 2015 3:51am Jun 10, 2015 3:51am
Thoughts on "smart traders"

NZ Interest
NZ Official Cash Rate

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to the change in interest rates at this time. Basic analytical units believe that will not do, although at the same time laying the markets 45% probability of a fall in interest rates.
Because Goldman Sachs is not expected to change interest rates at this meeting, however, reduce the likelihood of sufficient material.
Westpac says about 40% probability.
The main thing to realize that probably the main course itself acts NZDUSD: the lower it is, the lower the likelihood of action by the RBNZ and vice versa.
We would suggest that the key to this Thursday would be no interest rate decision and accompanying text protocol in which markets will be looking for clues regarding future monetary policy control. It is expected that the RBNZ will give more hints on its further easing.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #659
  • Jun 10, 2015 4:01am Jun 10, 2015 4:01am
Mr Fish, what settings do you use on your CC indicator? it looks quite different to mine.
  • #660
  • Jun 10, 2015 4:12am Jun 10, 2015 4:12am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
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