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  • #997,601
  • Jun 4, 2015 9:50am Jun 4, 2015 9:50am
Quoting kuroro001
Usually the NFP follow ECB move...but seeing this fall right before NFP its hard to tell how NFP is going to be. Still trying some longs, quickly in/out
UCAD looks topperish, so EU should rise some.
  • #997,602
  • Jun 4, 2015 9:56am Jun 4, 2015 9:56am
Quoting xandi
{quote} ohh, forgett that!!!!not taking personally bro, maybe its the way how you express yourself, and also my fault, sure... I can think the same... really, forget it, I have consideration about your perspective and your good technical skills and all the help sharing and caring is very pleased and welcome!!! cheers mate, all the best*
Okay then.. no probs..

Happy Trades
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #997,603
  • Jun 4, 2015 9:56am Jun 4, 2015 9:56am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} UCAD looks topperish, so EU should rise some.
While euro moved a lot, usdcad and usdjpy barely moved. You think they are waiting to dump usd?
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #997,604
  • Jun 4, 2015 9:56am Jun 4, 2015 9:56am
im expecting a really bad NFP
  • #997,605
  • Jun 4, 2015 9:57am Jun 4, 2015 9:57am
Quoting edyraper
im expecting a really bad NFP
Why?
  • #997,606
  • Jun 4, 2015 9:58am Jun 4, 2015 9:58am
Quoting edyraper
im expecting a really bad NFP
just guessing , not going to guess direction or order any positions just guessing
  • #997,607
  • Jun 4, 2015 9:58am Jun 4, 2015 9:58am
Quoting edyraper
im expecting a really bad NFP
Why is that?
  • #997,608
  • Jun 4, 2015 9:59am Jun 4, 2015 9:59am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} While euro moved a lot, usdcad and usdjpy barely moved. You think they are waiting to dump usd?
I think with the Euro it's the bund/tbill spread again, like it was the last time there was one of these rallies, so that's the one to watch.
  • #997,609
  • Jun 4, 2015 10:06am Jun 4, 2015 10:06am
Quoting MissPips
{quote} I think with the Euro it's the bund/tbill spread again, like it was the last time there was one of these rallies, so that's the one to watch.
I have been watching Bund since April before the fall, since then i have been looking at 150,xx. Now that we reached it, dipped and bounced above it i'll closely monitor its next move to make sure about any euro moves.

The 7th of MAy we had a very strong buyers, today is the same scenario.

It could put an end to the euro rally, but it need a bit more time imo
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #997,610
  • Jun 4, 2015 10:09am Jun 4, 2015 10:09am
Quoting xandi
only to clarify my head, settle things down: if the support line is broken, as told before, next target will be 1.1100, at least.... this is only what im going to trade next days... I expect the next hourly candle to be little positive(white), and after we should see some retest of the support...after being definitly broken, only short to target, directly or waiting retracement and retest to the support(resistance at that time) line! trade well, all the luck, Im out for lounge zone time! {image}
shorted at 80 to see this happen, and also to see the candle lows trendline on 1htf be broken...
  • #997,611
  • Jun 4, 2015 10:11am Jun 4, 2015 10:11am
Here a quick update on my earlier analysis.. can you see how professionally the MM's are pulling price back into the blue area I mentioned yesterday on 4H chart?

That's how these bastards do what they do.. and they do it each and every time..

Edit: A new outer channel is added to image that is also broken which means: bullish MM's are still pushing price higher..

Happy Trades
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 4H-Analysis-Update2.jpg Size: 248 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #997,612
  • Jun 4, 2015 10:14am Jun 4, 2015 10:14am
as H4 RSI seeing the euro not topped out , any possible drop will be a buy opportunity in my side , but still want to wait for big drop to fill my longs , I'am waiting for test of 1.05 area again , I think they will kill these all big Long positions at the first place and make people to short onther whater (1.08) , I believe the up the didn't started yet , we may see a move like : 1.15 - 1.05(4) - 1.18-1.123 - and parity !!!
  • #997,613
  • Jun 4, 2015 10:15am Jun 4, 2015 10:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} watch who? correct me if wrong, isn't a fed hike based on inflation now, since employment is already at acceptable levels? when employment inflation starts, many times a little spike in unemployment rates. the theory is people on the sidelines, start looking when outlook and wages improve. so if that is wage inflation hidden in that report.. shit can happen quick.. if so many will have a explanation to justify it after.

please check you pm
  • #997,614
  • Jun 4, 2015 10:17am Jun 4, 2015 10:17am
Quoting gatorinla
imf wants fed to hold off rise. nfp tomorrow, btw, is this hidden wage inflation of q1 in this revised report? USDRevised Nonfarm Productivity q/q-3.1%-2.8%-1.9% http://www.bls.gov/news.release/arch...2_06042015.htm Productivity and Costs News Release Transmission of material in this release is embargoed until USDL 15-1056 8:30 a.m. (EDT) Thursday, June 4, 2015 Technical information: (202) 691-5606 [email protected] ("[email protected]") www.bls.gov/lpc Media contact (202) 691-5902 [email protected]...
Could also be a reversal of the process that happened at the bottom of the crisis where employers fired people and the ones remaining had to do more work, and didn't quit because of it because jobs were so hard to come by, and what had been 2 job positions became one position. Could be not so much because of actual wage increases, but because employers are now hiring some of those people back and splitting that work back into two jobs again. If that's the case NFP should be good.
  • #997,615
  • Jun 4, 2015 10:17am Jun 4, 2015 10:17am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} I have been watching Bund since April before the fall, since then i have been looking at 150,xx. Now that we reached it, dipped and bounced above it i'll closely monitor its next move to make sure about any euro moves. The 7th of MAy we had a very strong buyers, today is the same scenario. It could put an end to the euro rally, but it need a bit more time imo
  • #997,616
  • Jun 4, 2015 10:17am Jun 4, 2015 10:17am
Bear playing dangerous game before NFP. Pushing down below the lower and bad NFP data will kill the bear because it's consolidating deeply now.
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #997,617
  • Jun 4, 2015 10:19am Jun 4, 2015 10:19am
Quoting forexings
Bear playing dangerous game before NFP. Pushing down below the lower and bad NFP data will kill the bear because it's consolidating deeply now.
liked your signature !!!
  • #997,618
  • Jun 4, 2015 10:20am Jun 4, 2015 10:20am
what f...... is wrong with GOLD ? 1172 - with this DXY ?
  • #997,619
  • Jun 4, 2015 10:20am Jun 4, 2015 10:20am
a close on 1htf below this line should be interesting...fingers crossed!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #997,620
  • Jun 4, 2015 10:26am Jun 4, 2015 10:26am
any possible upside spike could cause 1.1560-1.1580 best place for short if looking to take more than 200 pips .
any possible downside spike could cuase 1.10 area could be a place for try long , but for BE SL and a little risky .
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