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  • #21,421
  • May 14, 2015 7:51am May 14, 2015 7:51am
Quoting onoff
{quote} btw ,(a bit off topic) there's a gigantic bearish pin bar (because of the news) on the 1min EURUSD. (i'm trading the one hour) , but i'd like to have your opinion...Is it safer to wait for a close below the pivot line (H3 pivot)... And wait for the retest with a sell limit ? or Retest + sell stop under (wait for the break of the retest candle ? (I've noticed that price has already close under other pivot points i'm using but not yet under the camarilla..)...Or are none of these conservative enough ? (should i just patiently wait for a big...
Then again...maybe price is not going to drop anyway...But that's my bias because of a divergence and structure on the daily.
  • #21,422
  • May 14, 2015 8:02am May 14, 2015 8:02am
Quoting T@rantula
{quote} Very hard position for both EU and Greece, looks like a stalemate
For the time being... But it can't last forever. The reality is that the Greeks are not likely to ever repay their debts. And they don't even have the productivity of Germany.
How long can it last really ? I don't think the Eu will last as long as the soviet regime. And if it does , maybe it'll be under a different form...But the Euro currency can't stay the way it is today. They have to rethink the entire thing.

One solution would be to have a common social policity. But that's not ever going to happen. Many member states are more and more seeing the Eu as the titanic and yet everyone is too scared to leave it. Imo the ideal solution for Greece would be to do what the Argentinians did back in 2002...
  • #21,423
  • May 14, 2015 10:02am May 14, 2015 10:02am
Hey OnOFF, there is no stupid questions , just ask

At the moment the price is VERY nervous. EURUSD has been in uptrend while we had some bank holidays. 1450 zone touched then mixed results of US economy. PPI came out bad, while jobless claims have been surprisingly good. The price is nervous as there is a fight between longs and shorts and profit taking.

Best is to leave the trading desk now and come tomorrow
  • #21,424
  • May 14, 2015 10:16am May 14, 2015 10:16am
Quoting T@rantula
Hey OnOFF, there is no stupid questions , just ask At the moment the price is VERY nervous. EURUSD has been in uptrend while we had some bank holidays. 1450 zone touched then mixed results of US economy. PPI came out bad, while jobless claims have been surprisingly good. The price is nervous as there is a fight between longs and shorts and profit taking. Best is to leave the trading desk now and come tomorrow
Ok thx
  • #21,425
  • May 15, 2015 7:01am May 15, 2015 7:01am
Quoting T@rantula
USDJPY has withstood a big pullback after a disappointing US Retail sales results yesterday. However 118.00 still holds and any pullback could be used for buying into dips towards 120.40 and 120.80. On the technical chart we can spot a forming M pattern which is very hard to break now due to a cluster of technical support levels. Historical and near term wicks indicate buying off from 118.90 and 118.50 zones. H4 chart also shows a higher low on forming M and 78.6+L3+Trend line are making a confluence on the first POC, POC2 is deemed a bigger pullback...
Nice 60 pips from POC
  • #21,426
  • May 15, 2015 9:49am May 15, 2015 9:49am
MY VIEW
e/u sell [email protected] sl 1.1460
tp 1.1090
  • #21,427
  • May 17, 2015 5:27pm May 17, 2015 5:27pm
Quoting egkid
MY VIEW e/u sell [email protected] sl 1.1460 tp 1.1090
1466 hit but still same view 4 me and target modify to 1.0950
  • #21,428
  • May 17, 2015 11:30pm May 17, 2015 11:30pm
Quoting egkid
{quote} 1466 hit but still same view 4 me and target modify to 1.0950
Interesting, what is your target timeframe for 1.0950?

EURUSD seems to be in strong uptrend, your target would require a complete change of trend to downside.

Fundamentally, EUR should weaken with QE, but this may take a bit of time.
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  • #21,429
  • May 18, 2015 1:45am May 18, 2015 1:45am
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} Interesting, what is your target timeframe for 1.0950? EURUSD seems to be in strong uptrend, your target would require a complete change of trend to downside. Fundamentally, EUR should weaken with QE, but this may take a bit of time. {image}
watch 1.1430 from now
  • #21,430
  • May 18, 2015 2:33am May 18, 2015 2:33am
EURUSD important PP:

S2 1.1545
M2 1.1513
R1 1.1481
M1 1.1442
DPP 1.1402
M1 1.1370
S1 1.1338
M2 1.1298
S2 1.1259

M-Middle Pivot
S-Support
R-Resistance
  • #21,431
  • May 18, 2015 2:42am May 18, 2015 2:42am
Quoting egkid
{quote} watch 1.1430 from now
That -50pip movement helped my Dax rise +140... Thanks EURUSD
  • #21,432
  • May 18, 2015 2:48am May 18, 2015 2:48am
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} That -50pip movement helped my Dax rise +140... Thanks EURUSD
1.1360 temporary Buy point when reach to it
  • #21,433
  • May 18, 2015 6:48am May 18, 2015 6:48am
EURUSD has been contained within an equidistant channel and it is still bought on dips. However from intraday perspectice we need to pay close attention to 1.1370-60 zone. The zone shows a good confluence of Equidistant channel bottom, L4, and 78.6 and the first touch was bought into some hours ago. If the pair proceeds to test it again it may either go for a 2nd bounce or breakout lower. Don't forget that if EURUSD breaks the zone it could proceed to test 1.1285 and it still will be an uptrend but it is seen as a retracement on higher time frames.
That breakout could be used for short trades towards 1.1285 on BPC ( Breakout - Pullback - Continuation ) or long trades on Breakout-Retest -Continuation in THE ZONE. So pay attention carefully. Bounces from the zone target 1.1480 confluence ( Upper EQ/H3).

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  • #21,434
  • May 18, 2015 9:47am May 18, 2015 9:47am
Quoting egkid
{quote} 1.1360 temporary Buy point when reach to it
after hitting 1366 go up "temporary " to 1420
then continue today move as book says to 1335
if 1335 no break as it looks like then it go back to 1360 "1366"
After all 1430 wasn't bad point for sell.

i could b wrong but share my view trade my own chart.
  • #21,435
  • May 18, 2015 10:11am May 18, 2015 10:11am
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} That -50pip movement helped my Dax rise +140... Thanks EURUSD
Exactly EURUSD and DAX are inveresly correlated but DAX moves are stronger.
  • #21,436
  • May 18, 2015 10:17am May 18, 2015 10:17am
Quoting egkid
{quote} after hitting 1366 go up "temporary " to 1420 then continue today move as book says to 1335 if 1335 no break as it looks like then it go back to 1360 "1366" After all 1430 wasn't bad point for sell. i could b wrong but share my view trade my own chart.
Yes 1.1360 is indeed important
  • #21,437
  • May 19, 2015 2:39am May 19, 2015 2:39am
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} ...........

your target would require a complete change of trend to downside.
.............{image}
Quoting egkid
{quote} watch 1.1430 from now
1150 to 1180 "temporary buy" let's C


  • #21,438
  • May 19, 2015 2:46am May 19, 2015 2:46am
Quoting egkid
{quote} {quote} 1150 to 1180 "temporary buy" let's C
Love it. Great call.

Dax on the up!
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  • #21,439
  • May 19, 2015 3:07am May 19, 2015 3:07am
Unexpected release of ECB last night speech hit EURUSD and USD crosses hard. We need to wait for the dust to settle.

http://news.forexlive.com/!/ecbs-coe...oblem-20150519
  • #21,440
  • May 19, 2015 3:18am May 19, 2015 3:18am
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} Love it. Great call. Dax on the up! {image}
you are killing it!

1.1142 next EU support 1.1097 ultimate support.

If price hits 1.1097 today , it would activate my pending long SL 1.1060- so called FADE.
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