• Home
  • Forums
  • Trades
  • News
  • Calendar
  • Market
  • Brokers
  • Login
  • Join
  • User/Email: Password:
  • 12:37am
Menu
  • Forums
  • Trades
  • News
  • Calendar
  • Market
  • Brokers
  • Login
  • Join
  • 12:37am
Sister Sites
  • Metals Mine
  • Energy EXCH
  • Crypto Craft

Options

Bookmark Thread

First Page First Unread Last Page Last Post

Print Thread

  • Commercial Content
  • /
  • Reply to Thread
  • Subscribe
  • 6,330
Attachments: Spider's Den
Exit Attachments
Tags: Spider's Den
Cancel

Spider's Den

  • Last Post
  •  
  • 1 10681069Page 107010711072 1209
  • 1 Page 1070 1209
  •  
  • Post #21,381
  • Quote
  • May 6, 2015 4:40pm May 6, 2015 4:40pm
  •  Forexville
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Mar 2015 | 92 Posts
Nice performance thus far. However, I must caution you that spending time developing a 'demoproven' strategy is potentially more money and time wasted.

Hear me out:
Lets say you put in hard work in developing a sound strategy based on fundamentals on a demo account. 2 things can happen:
1) Your strategy pans out well and your demo strategy you will trade in real mode now.
2) Your strategy doesn't pan out and you have to start making a new strategy. Real money saved.

Well it is tempting to think that both scenarios 1 and 2 are win-win.
However, if you delve deeper, it's not so great.
In both cases you spent something: time.

This time you could have spent making money. ...or losing money, you might say.
However, chances are if you are going to lose money you will lose money even with your 'demoproven' strategy. There are just times when every strategy will fail. And there are times when your hard work will be rewarded. Now, if you put in your best work, your odds of making money on demo and real account are actually equal.

By not trading real money, you make sure you make no money. And what's worse you make sure you spend time, which in the scheme of things is the fuel which compounds your investments.

I just thought I throw that out there, as it goes against every bit of advice you read about on these boards. Anyhow, just my 2 cents, and a different view that is all.
 
 
  • Post #21,382
  • Quote
  • May 7, 2015 4:34am May 7, 2015 4:34am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
GBPUSD movement is in the shadow of impending UK elections. Fundamentally speaking if there is a stalemate or hung parliament, GBPUSD should drop by a big amount and if coalition is formed we might see a rebound. At the time of writing the price is at 1.5210 but technically we could see a drop now towards 1.5160 where we got a rebound as you could read in yesterday analysis. GBPUSD has formed a rooftop pattern on H4 and there is a rejection from the trend line. There is also a confluence of now moment sellers, H3, DPP awith the trend line. If 1.5160 breaks then 1.5105 and 1.5088 are possible targets. 1.5088 looks attractive also to buyers as we can see a double bottom on H4 time frame there. 1.5290 is interim resistance and in my opinion 1.5360 should hold any rally.
The pound could be very volatile when first preliminary results are released and on hung parliament we could even see a drop to 1.4900 levels. Previous UK elections made the pair to drop by 400 pips so that is also a historical data we should take into account.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: gbpusdUK.png
Size: 60 KB
 
 
  • Post #21,383
  • Quote
  • Edited 4:58am May 7, 2015 4:45am | Edited 4:58am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting Forexville
Disliked
Nice performance thus far. However, I must caution you that spending time developing a 'demoproven' strategy is potentially more money and time wasted. Hear me out: Lets say you put in hard work in developing a sound strategy based on fundamentals on a demo account. 2 things can happen: 1) Your strategy pans out well and your demo strategy you will trade in real mode now. 2) Your strategy doesn't pan out and you have to start making a new strategy. Real money saved. Well it is tempting to think that both scenarios 1 and 2 are win-win. However, if...
Ignored
Thanks for comments.

I also provide real account statements if there is a need for that. For this occasion i use CAMMACD swing scalping and this account resembles manual trading on the positions i take with one of my real accounts. I wont be posting any real account statements or results on the internet as they are easily faked and SOLD.

My real account statements show the history for the last 3 years, so that is the edge. Not this year, but last 3 years.

However REAL ACCOUNTS statements are in my possession ALWAYS - not in the form of explorers fxbooks or whatever but in the form of HTML files. I have 5 different accounts.

CAMMACD is not a strategy. it is a METHOD, the full PA METHOD used for 4 different ways of trading and analysis. It is not that simple, however.

I have been trading full time for 5 years, so no need to explain all these things. Please use this thread for analysis, and setups.
 
 
  • Post #21,384
  • Quote
  • May 7, 2015 4:53am May 7, 2015 4:53am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting guguxpto
Disliked
green T ; ) send to you an email whit the discricion of the indicator i woul like for you to send me ; ) as y have told you you have show it on the seminar 15 1pril 2015 sow we can see the strong weak correncie thanks
Ignored
Hi!

Which indicator do you need? Strong vs Weak currencies? If that is the case it doesnt work good . It needs some adjustements. Of course when it is ready i will gladly send you the indicator.
 
 
  • Post #21,385
  • Quote
  • May 7, 2015 5:31am May 7, 2015 5:31am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting [email protected]
Disliked
GBPUSD movement is in the shadow of impending UK elections. Fundamentally speaking if there is a stalemate or hung parliament, GBPUSD should drop by a big amount and if coalition is formed we might see a rebound. At the time of writing the price is at 1.5210 but technically we could see a drop now towards 1.5160 where we got a rebound as you could read in yesterday analysis. GBPUSD has formed a rooftop pattern on H4 and there is a rejection from the trend line. There is also a confluence of now moment sellers, H3, DPP awith the trend line. If 1.5160...
Ignored
And rejection happened at 1.5160 after a drop from 1.5240. So that indeed tells us that 1.5160-1.5105 is the neutral zone with 1.5088 being the first target at Neutral zone breakout.
 
 
  • Post #21,386
  • Quote
  • May 7, 2015 9:08am May 7, 2015 9:08am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
UK elections article. Interesting read. Preliminary results are expected around 10 PM GMT ( 22:00 GMT )

http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-n...e-7938648994ba
 
 
  • Post #21,387
  • Quote
  • May 7, 2015 10:31am May 7, 2015 10:31am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Watch out for 1.1230 zone on EURUSD and 1.1150. Only below 1.1065 EURUSD trend should change ( daily close ). Everything above is buy on dips
 
 
  • Post #21,388
  • Quote
  • May 8, 2015 3:55am May 8, 2015 3:55am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
As we could see yesterday rejection from 1.1230 provided us with +60 pips pool. Lets see how the price will behave when it drops more

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: 2015-05-07EURUSD.png
Size: 73 KB


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: 2015-05-08_9-51-06.png
Size: 32 KB
 
 
  • Post #21,389
  • Quote
  • May 8, 2015 4:39am May 8, 2015 4:39am
  •  kalyan
  • | Joined Sep 2013 | Status: Member | 243 Posts
Quoting [email protected]
Disliked
As we could see yesterday rejection from 1.1230 provided us with +60 pips pool. Lets see how the price will behave when it drops more {image} {image}
Ignored
. A Daily close below 1230 is something concerns me and NFP ahead. Bit unclear to me. Do you see any chance of 1500 Chief?
 
 
  • Post #21,390
  • Quote
  • May 8, 2015 7:43am May 8, 2015 7:43am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
USDJPY pre NFP movement is contained within a rising wedge pattern and we can observe Important Neutral zone. 119.36-119.53 is the neutral zone where the price should fall towards after BAD nfp results. The price is rising at the moment but Smart money may have already been pricing in bad ADP number as Rising wedge is effectively a BEARISH pattern. Bad NFP data could pull the price from the edge towards Neutral zone and IF 119.36 breaks the price might test 118.90 (L5) and 118.50.
On the contrary a surprisingly good NFP good target 120.50-80 region (overshoot+stop grab) but very important thing is to OBSERVE and watch how the price behaves IN the Neutral zone - if it gets there after NFP. So from this perspective seeing the rising wedge at resistance, the price should drop towards neutral zone on BAD nfp data.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: 2015-05-08_13-31-04.png
Size: 62 KB
 
 
  • Post #21,391
  • Quote
  • May 8, 2015 8:24am May 8, 2015 8:24am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting kalyan
Disliked
{quote} . A Daily close below 1230 is something concerns me and NFP ahead. Bit unclear to me. Do you see any chance of 1500 Chief?
Ignored
Hmm..1.1450-1.1475 if it spikes..but 1.1500 shouldn't be reached from this perspective now. NFP daily close should give us cues for next movement
 
 
  • Post #21,392
  • Quote
  • May 8, 2015 8:39am May 8, 2015 8:39am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting [email protected]
Disliked
USDJPY pre NFP movement is contained within a rising wedge pattern and we can observe Important Neutral zone. 119.36-119.53 is the neutral zone where the price should fall towards after BAD nfp results. The price is rising at the moment but Smart money may have already been pricing in bad ADP number as Rising wedge is effectively a BEARISH pattern. Bad NFP data could pull the price from the edge towards Neutral zone and IF 119.36 breaks the price might test 118.90 (L5) and 118.50. On the contrary a surprisingly good NFP good target 120.50-80 region...
Ignored
As I said- follow the price. Wedge broken, neutral zone reached and spike up on revision
PRE NFP:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: 2015-05-08_13-31-04.png
Size: 62 KB

AFTER NFP:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: 2015-05-08_14-38-15.png
Size: 34 KB
 
 
  • Post #21,393
  • Quote
  • May 8, 2015 8:45am May 8, 2015 8:45am
  •  kalyan
  • | Joined Sep 2013 | Status: Member | 243 Posts
Quoting [email protected]
Disliked
{quote} As I said- follow the price. Wedge broken, neutral zone reached and spike up on revision PRE NFP: {image} AFTER NFP: {image}
Ignored
Had a pending at 119.66. a fast +40pips. But closed it bcos of this 223 number. Is it good or bad ?
 
 
  • Post #21,394
  • Quote
  • May 8, 2015 9:03am May 8, 2015 9:03am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting kalyan
Disliked
{quote} Had a pending at 119.66. a fast +40pips. But closed it bcos of this 223 number. Is it good or bad ?
Ignored
The data report is mixed

http://news.forexlive.com/!/april-20...k-exp-20150508
 
 
  • Post #21,395
  • Quote
  • May 8, 2015 9:19am May 8, 2015 9:19am
  •  kalyan
  • | Joined Sep 2013 | Status: Member | 243 Posts
Quoting [email protected]
Disliked
USDJPY The price is rising at the moment but Smart money may have already been pricing in bad ADP number as Rising wedge is effectively a BEARISH pattern. Bad NFP data could pull the price from the edge towards Neutral zone So from this perspective seeing the rising wedge at resistance, the price should drop towards neutral zone on BAD nfp data. {image}
Ignored
Read the analysis late. thats an awesome view.
 
 
  • Post #21,396
  • Quote
  • May 8, 2015 9:36am May 8, 2015 9:36am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting kalyan
Disliked
{quote} Read the analysis late. thats an awesome view.
Ignored
Yes, was respected totally And cg to you too!
 
 
  • Post #21,397
  • Quote
  • May 10, 2015 7:12pm May 10, 2015 7:12pm
  •  Toranaga
  • | Joined Dec 2010 | Status: Member | 1,581 Posts
Gbp/Usd

D1/W1
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: gbp usd d1 110515.jpg
Size: 141 KB
Click to Enlarge

Name: gbp usd w1 110515.jpg
Size: 145 KB
How to opt out annoying user signatures ??
 
 
  • Post #21,398
  • Quote
  • May 10, 2015 7:13pm May 10, 2015 7:13pm
  •  Toranaga
  • | Joined Dec 2010 | Status: Member | 1,581 Posts
And my decision, for the first trade this week.

We will see..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: trade1.jpg
Size: 129 KB
How to opt out annoying user signatures ??
 
 
  • Post #21,399
  • Quote
  • May 11, 2015 4:16am May 11, 2015 4:16am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting Toranaga
Disliked
And my decision, for the first trade this week. We will see.. {image}
Ignored
Pay attention to official bank rate data today. GBPUSD will move a lot . Also, dont forget it is still uptrend for GBPUSD
 
 
  • Post #21,400
  • Quote
  • May 11, 2015 4:36am May 11, 2015 4:36am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Its also NFP Monday. I advise trading ONLY with very small and controlled risk.
 
 
  • Commercial Content
  • /
  • Spider's Den
  • Reply to Thread
    • 1 10681069Page 107010711072 1209
    • 1 Page 1070 1209
0 traders viewing now
  • More
Top of Page
  • Facebook
  • Twitter
About FF
  • Mission
  • Products
  • User Guide
  • Media Kit
  • Blog
  • Contact
FF Products
  • Forums
  • Trades
  • Calendar
  • News
  • Market
  • Brokers
  • Trade Explorer
FF Website
  • Homepage
  • Search
  • Members
  • Report a Bug
Follow FF
  • Facebook
  • Twitter

FF Sister Sites:

  • Metals Mine
  • Energy EXCH
  • Crypto Craft

Forex Factory® is a brand of Fair Economy, Inc.

Terms of Service / ©2023