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  • #134,901
  • May 13, 2015 9:12am May 13, 2015 9:12am
UST moves are swinging a big stick, we have 10yr bond auction in a few hrs, 30yr tomorrow. US equities will track UST's. As Charles Bronson says, "Dis. Ain't. Ovah...."
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #134,902
  • May 13, 2015 9:18am May 13, 2015 9:18am
Quoting infinitus
FRED is also a good source http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=15Zi you can access some of the charts "pre-compiled" via my blog http://singulorum001.blogspot.de/p/fred.html below eachof those charts is a link for "customization" of the charts
Thanks. Nice charts on your blog!
  • #134,903
  • May 13, 2015 9:24am May 13, 2015 9:24am
Quoting MissPips
{quote} Thanks. It's not quite what I'm looking for. I need one ticker that shows the T-bill yields (which you do have in Trading view and one that shows the yields for Bunds (which I haven't been able to find there) in a platform that lets you subtract one from the other (like Tradingview does) so I can get a chart of the spread between them. I am interested in the relationship between the widening/narrowing of that spread, the DXY, and the US stock market. Or a way to import data into Tradingview, which I haven't found. Or I'll have to do it in...


access the tradingview chart via this page:

http://www.investing.com/rates-bonds...treaming-chart

when looking up the instrument, try the following:

type in: 10-year

in the drop down you will see many Bonds from various countries where you can also have the yields



now we "only" need a way to calculate the spread or to download the data LOL
  • #134,904
  • May 13, 2015 9:33am May 13, 2015 9:33am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} access the tradingview chart via this page: http://www.investing.com/rates-bonds...treaming-chart when looking up the instrument, try the following: type in: 10-year in the drop down you will see many Bonds from various countries where you can also have the yields now we "only" need a way to calculate the spread or to download the data LOL

http://bit.ly/1K6f8Et
  • #134,905
  • May 13, 2015 9:43am May 13, 2015 9:43am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} expect a short build and wti to $62.50....
build short, but not short enuf....wti slips, fickle....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #134,906
  • May 13, 2015 9:45am May 13, 2015 9:45am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} We're at your mid
I just shorted 44 (my adr calc has that as weekly high + tap back to mid on 5m engulfing bar). Half off now and rest to b/e). . From this posted plan. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...10#post8257110
Expecting bounce around 20. If stops on remaining get taken out will try again at 54-63 0r 70-78 with appropriate signal from PA.
  • #134,907
  • May 13, 2015 9:58am May 13, 2015 9:58am
Quoting MissPips
{quote} I just shorted 44 (my adr calc has that as weekly high + tap back to mid on 5m engulfing bar). Half off now and rest to b/e). . From this posted plan. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...10#post8257110 Expecting bounce around 20. If stops on remaining get taken out will try again at 54-63 0r 70-78 with appropriate signal from PA.
S/O b/e on second half.
  • #134,908
  • May 13, 2015 9:59am May 13, 2015 9:59am
Quoting MissPips
{quote} S/O b/e on second half.
I suspect the daily close will look much different than it currently does.
  • #134,909
  • May 13, 2015 10:02am May 13, 2015 10:02am
Quoting sisse
{quote} ...and that was it. Clean and easy move as expected. Only final intraday extension target left open until Europe goes home ... Well done all the rode the mini intraday leg. sisse
....and that was it. Clearing final intraday target 1.135x. . Not expecting much for the rest of th day in the Euro ....sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #134,910
  • May 13, 2015 10:08am May 13, 2015 10:08am
Quoting sisse
{quote} YW... just a small comment on "hunting". There is not such a thing as stop hunting in major levels like this. Stop hunting was a micro invention of dealers and brokers when they used to run tiny micro intraday swings that caught minions/retail intraday on the right side but at the wrong time and price (this part is sadly still true as you can extensivly see in FF). Sure they are some barrier defences and some intraday/daily runs to clear some weak hands before a major move but those are not really hunting and worst when we have macro levels....
Thank you Sisse! I need to spend some time thinking about the stop running activities. Particularly how do you define a Macro Stop then? A level where institution investors place their stops? A major R/S level? I see major R at 1.1391-1.145, and 1.153x levels. Intraday stops I kind of understand, but I don't like trading intraday, not a healthy and sustainable investment style in my opinion...

There are still some very important data of the start of Q2 coming. If the data are too soft...the market might start talking about a Dec hike...
But I agree totally that for the sake of a healthy financial industry, it is better to hike earlier than later. And last but not the least, my patience is about to wear out as well!!!!!! Who wants to continue watching the market full time in the summer?????? hehe....
  • #134,911
  • May 13, 2015 10:09am May 13, 2015 10:09am
chancing EU short @ 1,1360 tight stop
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #134,912
  • May 13, 2015 10:13am May 13, 2015 10:13am
Quoting USD-Bear
chancing EU short @ 1,1360 tight stop
Do you think that usdiDX can go to next resistance 93,30 ???
  • #134,913
  • May 13, 2015 10:16am May 13, 2015 10:16am
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} Do you think that usdiDX can go to next resistance 93,30 ???
haven't the faintest idea, just a counter-trade (which mostly fail) risking only 10 pips
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #134,914
  • May 13, 2015 10:18am May 13, 2015 10:18am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} access the tradingview chart via this page: http://www.investing.com/rates-bonds...treaming-chart when looking up the instrument, try the following: type in: 10-year in the drop down you will see many Bonds from various countries where you can also have the yields now we "only" need a way to calculate the spread or to download the data LOL
Right. What's missing is that chart in Tradingview, because Tradingview let's you subtract one ticker from another so you can see the spread between them. I found the one with yields for 10 year T bills at Trading view, but that chart for Bunds is the one I can't find there. I know how to get both of them on one chart other places, but those places don't let you subtract one from the other.
  • #134,915
  • May 13, 2015 10:39am May 13, 2015 10:39am
Quoting USD-Bear
{quote} haven't the faintest idea, just a counter-trade (which mostly fail) risking only 10 pips
The usdinx is really diving...
  • #134,916
  • May 13, 2015 10:43am May 13, 2015 10:43am
Quoting USD-Bear
chancing EU short @ 1,1360 tight stop
stopped
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #134,917
  • May 13, 2015 10:46am May 13, 2015 10:46am
Quoting sisse
{quote} If you don't have them in your trading platform you can quickly have it as a reference in Bloomberg, FT, WSJ and CNBC. Just check for the tickers (DE10Y-DE, US10Y-US,GDBR10:IND, USGG10YR:IND, etc), make a watchlist and compare them in a chart. I don't think you need more than that if you are not trading the underlying or managing other kind of portfolios outside of forex but I would HIGHLY recommend you to...
Thanks sisse for the advice and for the tickers. I will check them.
  • #134,918
  • May 13, 2015 10:50am May 13, 2015 10:50am
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} The usdinx is really diving...
yes, bit more then I suspected, let's see where it bottoms

USDOLLAR D1:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Picture0047.png Size: 58 KB
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #134,919
  • May 13, 2015 11:03am May 13, 2015 11:03am
Quoting USD-Bear
{quote} yes, bit more then I suspected, let's see where it bottoms USDOLLAR D1: {image}
Play it with the weekly/monthly combo instead ...catching a big fish with a small boat is never a good idea...my 2 cents.sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #134,920
  • May 13, 2015 11:10am May 13, 2015 11:10am
Quoting MissPips
{quote} I just shorted 44 (my adr calc has that as weekly high + tap back to mid on 5m engulfing bar). Half off now and rest to b/e). . From this posted plan. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...10#post8257110 Expecting bounce around 20. If stops on remaining get taken out will try again at 54-63 0r 70-78 with appropriate signal from PA.
Shorted 78 with tapback to mid of 5 m pinbar at weekly mid and weekly R1 too. Half off 66 rest b/e. If remainder gets taken out not trying again.
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