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  • #988,721
  • May 13, 2015 8:07am May 13, 2015 8:07am
Somehow if bear can break 1273 before 1332 it might retrace full
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #988,722
  • May 13, 2015 8:08am May 13, 2015 8:08am
well well. I didnt expect market to react so much on retail sales... Its not like the fed gives a damn on those figures
Unemployment and inflation are more important on rate hikes
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #988,723
  • May 13, 2015 8:09am May 13, 2015 8:09am
Quoting forexings
Somehow if bear can break 1273 before 1332 it might retrace full
will be a good chance to add more longs if so , but not likly to drop any more than 10 pips
  • #988,724
  • May 13, 2015 8:11am May 13, 2015 8:11am
Quoting kuroro001
Euro is not happy
Mario did say it is "pointless to short EUR" (his exact words). Price action has continued to support that.
Leading by "Being an example" is hard to find then actual examples.
  • #988,725
  • May 13, 2015 8:11am May 13, 2015 8:11am
Quoting fxtyrant
well well. I didnt expect market to react so much on retail sales... Its not like the fed gives a damn on those figures Unemployment and inflation are more important on rate hikes
I do not understand it, neither. Again: when considering upside revisions for last month's data the actual data is pretty much in line with expectations. Thus, a ~100pip move up is kind of strange.
  • #988,726
  • May 13, 2015 8:12am May 13, 2015 8:12am
Quoting English
{quote} Mario did say it is "pointless to short EUR" (his exact words). Price action has continued to support that.
Do you mean "I print 60bln per month"-Mario?
  • #988,727
  • May 13, 2015 8:12am May 13, 2015 8:12am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Glad NOK has been invented
yes, whereas a strong influance on NOKx is SEK. a great pair.
meaning some supply and demand on UN,EN and EU could show some fake interest really, but guess we all know this. Im just trying to say, that more confluance of the whole market (nb of currency pairs) you import into you decision making (what you look at), more reliable could your calls be. its extreme size of data and lots of work to be done, but if one tries it one would definately add experiance and knowledge to ones feel of a market. mathematical confluance - universe of forex.
  • #988,728
  • May 13, 2015 8:12am May 13, 2015 8:12am
this is how i see rate hire --- we need more dollars to cover the gap cause Russia is planning to sell all the dollar reserves and convert them to gold , now china may follow , so we may need even more hike, doesnt mean dollar will go any higher , it may likly not to drop as a beast if we do so .
  • #988,729
  • May 13, 2015 8:12am May 13, 2015 8:12am
Quoting dennis_ger
{quote} I do not understand it, neither. Again: when considering upside revisions for last month's data the actual data is pretty much in line with expectations. Thus, a ~100pip move up is kind of strange.
Thats market over reaction. Look to fade this movement
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #988,730
  • May 13, 2015 8:13am May 13, 2015 8:13am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Thats market over reaction. Look to fade this movement
I shorted it with a small position.
  • #988,731
  • May 13, 2015 8:14am May 13, 2015 8:14am
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} yes, whereas a strong influance on NOKx is SEK. a great pair. meaning some supply and demand on UN,EN and EU could show some fake interest really, but guess we all know this. Im just trying to say, that more confluance of the whole market (nb of currency pairs) you import into you decision making (what you look at), more reliable could your calls be. its extreme size of data and lots of work to be done, but if one tries it one would definately add experiance and knowledge to ones feel of a market. mathematical confluance - universe of forex....
True, Great post !
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #988,732
  • May 13, 2015 8:15am May 13, 2015 8:15am
Thanks to the KEN finally got some pips...
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80% effort, 20% luck
  • #988,733
  • May 13, 2015 8:18am May 13, 2015 8:18am
Quoting English
{quote} Mario did say it is "pointless to short EUR" (his exact words). Price action has continued to support that.

Euro basically bounced off every single time it hits the support since April's low.......

Mario felt humiliated after the pretty woman messed up his ECB conference, he's now taking revenge and trying to prove to the world that he is da man.
  • #988,734
  • May 13, 2015 8:21am May 13, 2015 8:21am
Quoting dennis_ger
{quote} Do you mean "I print 60bln per month"-Mario?
That would be correct. All in all, those of us who keep ignoring price action will always give back the profits we have earned.
Leading by "Being an example" is hard to find then actual examples.
  • #988,735
  • May 13, 2015 8:22am May 13, 2015 8:22am
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} yes, whereas a strong influance on NOKx is SEK. a great pair. meaning some supply and demand on UN,EN and EU could show some fake interest really, but guess we all know this. Im just trying to say, that more confluance of the whole market (nb of currency pairs) you import into you decision making (what you look at), more reliable could your calls be. its extreme size of data and lots of work to be done, but if one tries it one would definately add experiance and knowledge to ones feel of a market. mathematical confluance - universe of forex....
Ye true altought to certain extent only, there is line where you are overloading charts. For example if you want to get grasp from CAD movement you dont need 8 CAD pairs, 3 will do the job, picking 1 Asian CAD, 1 Euro CAD and USA one. So you have all range across to filter out CAD well. With that throw in 2 additional USD pairs that are fit to it (usually UJ will not do that good job), eg EU or UCHF/UCAD/UTRY and thats pretty much it for large market picture. Then there are outlaws like gold and some others that often have their own moves.
  • #988,736
  • May 13, 2015 8:22am May 13, 2015 8:22am
Quoting English
{quote} That would be correct. All in all, those of us who keep ignoring price action will always give back the profits we have earned.
I am patient. Still have one short open from 1.29.
  • #988,737
  • May 13, 2015 8:23am May 13, 2015 8:23am
Quoting Idkurv
EU short at 1.127sh small size expecting 1.132, if reaches it, will add more short. safe trade.
Reload short eu at 1.132
  • #988,738
  • May 13, 2015 8:23am May 13, 2015 8:23am
Quoting 10cents
{quote} Euro basically bounced off every single time it hits the support since April's low....... Mario felt humiliated after the pretty woman messed up his ECB conference, he's now taking revenge and trying to prove to the world that he is da man.
That was a good laugh. I'll see you guys tomorrow, I am going to catch up with the sleep I missed trading EU today.
Leading by "Being an example" is hard to find then actual examples.
  • #988,739
  • May 13, 2015 8:23am May 13, 2015 8:23am
u.s. retail sales down, knee jerk u.s is doing worse retail then thought. reality, guess who exports a lot of those retail sales products to u.s. some time delay expected
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #988,740
  • May 13, 2015 8:24am May 13, 2015 8:24am
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} nono in excel graphs dont know..update it once a day ...import data from mt4 on currency pairs and try to see some logic behind this spread vs currency?
I guess if I can't find out how to use tradingview (or a similar platform) to do it, I'll try that. Yes. I want
to compare it to the DXY, fed rates and the DJI, because sometimes DXY reacts
to Fed rates and sometimes it trends with the S&P500/DJI and ignores
what the Fed does. So I want to see if this spread sheds some light on that.

Thanks for the suggestion.
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