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  • #988,621
  • May 13, 2015 3:39am May 13, 2015 3:39am
Quoting Ken A
My PC can do my laundry and make breakfast ....... {quote} The high today is 1.08738 but the spread cost me 29 pips Daily {image}
i have to wait it out. its doing what u want so far.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #988,622
  • May 13, 2015 3:43am May 13, 2015 3:43am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Then you were wrong...it went to 188,3x already
Lol, when I say terminate that is the exit point. The rest is to play with your mind and make fool of your trade.
  • #988,623
  • May 13, 2015 3:48am May 13, 2015 3:48am
Quoting English
The funny thing about all of this movement to the upside for EUR/USD is that Mario Draghi told us about 600 pips ago (It doesn't make sense to short EUR here) and since then EUR/USD has begun to rise. So much talk about parity has truly caused people to hold on to positions which are no longer good.
show me this in reference to something he actually stated.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #988,624
  • May 13, 2015 3:52am May 13, 2015 3:52am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} wait wait... Yield up means Bond price Down.. make sure you know the difference.... is it the Yield going up or the Price going up?? cuz the yield of treasury bond's been rising for the past month or so.... that's whats keeping the USDJPY up....
do you still have GBP long?

edit: GBP Short
  • #988,625
  • May 13, 2015 3:58am May 13, 2015 3:58am
Quoting palinco
{quote} Lol, when I say terminate that is the exit point. The rest is to play with your mind and make fool of your trade.
noted
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #988,626
  • May 13, 2015 4:10am May 13, 2015 4:10am
Quoting MissPips
{quote} Hi Ken (or Gator) Do you happen to know where to find charts of the bund/US treasury yield spreads? I've been looking all over and can't find one. Thanks
when i get to my desk i will look for
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #988,627
  • May 13, 2015 4:11am May 13, 2015 4:11am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Yes true, then bond price are going down from charts. So the price are going down so far (its been this way for the last 2 months)
so really when bond price falls meaning bond are being sold off, when bond are sold off, settlement is in USD cash, so Bond Unwinding adds to demand for USD.
the fact that USD has been so subdued is making me wonder something is up....

USD cannot be kept being where it is for so long if US treasury Bonds are being unwound.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #988,628
  • May 13, 2015 4:12am May 13, 2015 4:12am
Quoting HelloOz
{quote} do you still have GBP long? edit: GBP Short
Still?? you mean on aggressive account?
no dude. took the hit but made back the losses long time ago....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #988,629
  • May 13, 2015 4:13am May 13, 2015 4:13am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} when i get to my desk i will look for
Thanks! I've looked all over and I can find people showing printscreens of it, but not anywhere
with a chart you can actually interact with.
  • #988,630
  • May 13, 2015 4:13am May 13, 2015 4:13am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} so really when bond price falls meaning bond are being sold off, when bond are sold off, settlement is in USD cash, so Bond Unwinding adds to demand for USD. the fact that USD has been so subdued is making me wonder something is up.... USD cannot be kept being where it is for so long if US treasury Bonds are being unwound.
Which means that if Bonds are bought back, USD gonna be sold off even more?

But lately everythings acts on his own, so uncorrelated

I just look at everything on its own now
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #988,631
  • May 13, 2015 4:14am May 13, 2015 4:14am
Quoting kuroro001
If EU sellers from here are strong, its heading to 1,099x/1,10 Small short to test the water, and waiting for NOK to confirm it and add bigger
that 1.10 got broken out without a retest of that level yet. Norm is begging for the EURUSD to go back down to retest 1.10 then market will see what sort of reaction price would be around that 1.10 level.....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #988,632
  • May 13, 2015 4:17am May 13, 2015 4:17am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Still?? you mean on aggressive account? no dude. took the hit but made back the losses long time ago....

Thanks for all your analyses you give a good contribute to the forum and specially to me since i pay more attention to your analyses a lot of green pips come in my way.


Thanks and keep with the good work
  • #988,633
  • May 13, 2015 4:18am May 13, 2015 4:18am
Quoting palinco
Guys , another lucky day. The coast is now clear. It is now 1.12266. We are riding eu to 1.15xx.
Opps ......

Attached Image


Quoting palinco
{quote} I told you and I dont wish to share more than that.
Another delicate secret in the making ....... and welcome back ....

http://www.forexfactory.com/eurusdd

Attached Image
  • #988,634
  • May 13, 2015 4:19am May 13, 2015 4:19am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} I've found a chart of US treasury bund and US 10 years note. It shows its being bought, but i don't rule out another leg down in order to catch more buyers. Same for EU bund But its not correlated at all to equities it seems
Has been for the last 25 years.
source http://www.pragcap.com/bund-spreads-...e-stock-market
Attached Image
  • #988,635
  • May 13, 2015 4:20am May 13, 2015 4:20am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} that 1.10 got broken out without a retest of that level yet. Norm is begging for the EURUSD to go back down to retest 1.10 then market will see what sort of reaction price would be around that 1.10 level.....
1,107x got retest, very high volume area are often retested.

But 1,099x got a pattern that needs a test anyway, so i'm looking at this area for bears.
For bulls i'm looking at 1,129x
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #988,636
  • May 13, 2015 4:20am May 13, 2015 4:20am
29 hours of losing buyers
  • #988,637
  • May 13, 2015 4:21am May 13, 2015 4:21am
Quoting MissPips
{quote} Has been for the last 25 years. source http://www.pragcap.com/bund-spreads-...e-stock-market {image}
Thanks for the link
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #988,638
  • May 13, 2015 4:27am May 13, 2015 4:27am
Quoting MissPips
{quote} Has been for the last 25 years. source http://www.pragcap.com/bund-spreads-...e-stock-market {image}
rising Treasury vs Bunds Spread only suggests Euro capital flowed out into the US.
some of the European (treasury bond holder) may have cashed out their US treasury and converted back to the EURO... probably why the EURUSD went back up from 1.05.... last 2 months....
but really? if people are panicking that the rate hike in US is going to destroy the US equity market, people should be flocking back into the Bond market. not out.....
so yes Rate hike is going to happen. but whos going to take the hit? US?? or foreign investors who bought into the US equity markets??
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #988,639
  • May 13, 2015 4:28am May 13, 2015 4:28am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} no German, U.S. bonds. Europe is ticking up with U.S. is this a liquidity problem starting? is the private sector easing buying. yes i know ecb will buy regardless.
Yes, it was the NFP effects .....

Treasuries Caught Up in Bond Rout Sends Note Yield to 2015 High
  • #988,640
  • May 13, 2015 4:29am May 13, 2015 4:29am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} 1,107x got retest, very high volume area are often retested. But 1,099x got a pattern that needs a test anyway, so i'm looking at this area for bears. For bulls i'm looking at 1,129x

i also think that we will retest the double top at 1.10390 let see
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