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  • #987,901
  • Edited 11:56am May 8, 2015 11:40am | Edited 11:56am
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} So what is tin hat target? Will bbl....
if 122.02 is broken, 128.4x is a st target, the problem with it is many long term R are below 128 to overcome. a larger chart uses 121.18 124.8 127.20
.. this one has 122.21 as a R.. so back to 118xx is a good chance. on this one the 67.25 target was missed and that's normal. its a tin hat target since its so low. the thing is before that target would be hit, most times. a bounce to 118.2 would be normal. it has done that months ago. so its not out the question to have a pullback toward the target. its probably going to be much less then 5.5k pips if at all. even just 23% is a decent move. it naturally has that attraction. st it has a dt at 122.0x. and if it dont break, it will drop..

norm and abe got 122.0x.. the thing is. its already here. so whats next for abe to do? w/o something new and shiny. the market will make the decision.. the market placed a high at 122.0x. w/o abe the market has to break it, or the market will drop it.what else can abe do? i dont know..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #987,902
  • May 8, 2015 11:57am May 8, 2015 11:57am
119.7 UJ long.
  • #987,903
  • May 8, 2015 12:01pm May 8, 2015 12:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if 122.02 is broken, 128.4x is a st target, the problem with it is many long term R are below 128 to overcome. a larger chart uses 121.18 124.8 127.20 .. this one has 122.21 as a R.. so back to 118xx is a good chance. on this one the 67.25 target was missed and that's normal. its a tin hat target since its so low. the thing is before that target would be hit, most times. a bounce to 118.2 would be normal. it has done that months ago. so its not out the question to have a pullback toward the target. its probably going to be much less then...
Tech are techs, they work most of time, but if overflown by strong fundies they will fail. With FED hiking possibly and BOJ QE bound to happen next year, such HTF chart is bound to fail. 100 possible or around it, anything lower not likely.
  • #987,904
  • May 8, 2015 12:10pm May 8, 2015 12:10pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if 122.02 is broken, 128.4x is a st target, the problem with it is many long term R are below 128 to overcome. a larger chart uses 121.18 124.8 127.20 .. this one has 122.21 as a R.. so back to 118xx is a good chance. on this one the 67.25 target was missed and that's normal. its a tin hat target since its so low. the thing is before that target would be hit, most times. a bounce to 118.2 would be normal. it has done that months ago. so its not out the question to have a pullback toward the target. its probably going to be much less then...
Thank you gator, your hat is bigger than mine. I see the techs but relationships seem skewed as one might expect due to....As you say fundis don't support but can still offer trade opp.
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The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #987,905
  • May 8, 2015 12:13pm May 8, 2015 12:13pm
EU are crazy...
  • #987,906
  • May 8, 2015 12:28pm May 8, 2015 12:28pm
I admit I was expecting EUR/USD to react more strongly to the US Non-farm payrolls. The pair is back below the 1.1230 level and will likely continue dropping until it reaches the support at 1.1190, but I doubt we can expect any big changes before next week.
  • #987,907
  • May 8, 2015 12:28pm May 8, 2015 12:28pm
Quoting janpec1000
119.7 UJ long.
Im watching closely as well.
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #987,908
  • May 8, 2015 12:39pm May 8, 2015 12:39pm
Watching these levels
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Speculation converts one man's capital into another man's income
  • #987,909
  • May 8, 2015 12:45pm May 8, 2015 12:45pm
Quoting Neqrotik
{quote} Im watching closely as well.
Get night vision goggles, asian session about to start soon as darkness sets in. Youll see better.

Gona let that one open if close in Monday is bellow .57 low ill probably terminate it. 15 pips loss wont hurt todays profits, and if bulls cant push it seriously i am not too lean to stick with up side.
  • #987,910
  • May 8, 2015 12:45pm May 8, 2015 12:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it wasn't for bulls.. its where bears relaxing allow, normally after a b/o. its harder to achieve with a bearish nfp.. the unemployment rate dropped. its harder to achieve normal. last month we had a 0.0373 setup// the total opposite side of it is = at 1391
Hi Gator, I have a bit difficulties understanding your words here...sorry for asking for some clarification.
With today's mixed NFP, the bearish tone of EU is still intact? As the day is getting late, the drop would probably continue next week?
I feel the market is really directionless now...

Thank you!
  • #987,911
  • May 8, 2015 12:47pm May 8, 2015 12:47pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Get night vision goggles, asian session about to start soon as darkness sets in. Youll see better. Gona let that one open if close in Monday is bellow .57 low ill probably terminate it. 15 pips loss wont hurt todays profits, and if bulls cant push it seriously i am not too lean to stick with up side.
It definitely looks like its not done bleeding down a bit. so we'll see. I cant be too capricious though.
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #987,912
  • May 8, 2015 12:50pm May 8, 2015 12:50pm
With the NFP touching consensus this month a rate hike in september is still in the cards. Therefor I'm wondering when this EU bull run will end? It might go to 1.15, but then it's time to short this one to parity. Parity will occur in september if FED decides to start hiking. Lets have it!
  • #987,913
  • May 8, 2015 1:29pm May 8, 2015 1:29pm
Will be weird to hit target on Friday ....

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  • #987,914
  • May 8, 2015 1:34pm May 8, 2015 1:34pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} Thank you gator, your hat is bigger than mine. I see the techs but relationships seem skewed as one might expect due to....As you say fundis don't support but can still offer trade opp. {image}
well that was 2005 made, and march 2008 broken.. it was march and it gave clues on what the yen could do 4-5 month later that year. . to me those clues are stronger today tech wise. one would have to be an odd ball to trade against the cbj.. or someone with good m/m for the r/r. i dont mind giving a few pips to find out.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #987,915
  • May 8, 2015 1:35pm May 8, 2015 1:35pm
Quoting skyhok
A final push up before the reversal. {image}
i dont really think your right... 2 head and shoulder on the hourly 1 small that is happening now and if you can see it complite the big head and shoulder.... i am looking up for a (M).... hopefully it will finsh the long of the euro or this month... but i am really realyy worred about the mouthly chart.... it could long
if anyone thinks difrent i would like to hear
  • #987,916
  • May 8, 2015 1:38pm May 8, 2015 1:38pm
Quoting Ati111
{quote} what it mean Bro????
one option - for now this play http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...96#post8252596
  • #987,917
  • May 8, 2015 1:41pm May 8, 2015 1:41pm
Quoting Ken A
Will be weird to hit target on Friday .... {image}


aiming lower though, I'll hold 60+ over the w/e
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  • #987,918
  • Edited 2:40pm May 8, 2015 1:45pm | Edited 2:40pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} aiming lower though, I'll hold 60+ over the w/e {image}
That one is just short scalp

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  • #987,919
  • May 8, 2015 1:49pm May 8, 2015 1:49pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Tech are techs, they work most of time, but if overflown by strong fundies they will fail. With FED hiking possibly and BOJ QE bound to happen next year, such HTF chart is bound to fail. 100 possible or around it, anything lower not likely.
size of techs have to be weighed against size of fundies. its not always a black and white answer. then techs and fundies are subjected to the eye of the holder. just like anything else, what techs or fundies are important is ones opinion.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #987,920
  • May 8, 2015 1:50pm May 8, 2015 1:50pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} That one is just short scalp {image}
I'm sore over that one. Was in, stopped out.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...98#post8250398
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