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  • #81,161
  • Edited 10:12am May 7, 2015 9:57am | Edited 10:12am
GBP/NZD- MM's pushing the price higher and high activity above the half and full number. also we had a nice stop hunt today from the mm's for stealing more money from SM that entered too soon and the dumb monet weak holders. BEARISH.

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took a little profit on cad/jpy and eur/jpy

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  • #81,162
  • Edited 11:31am May 7, 2015 10:12am | Edited 11:31am
Quoting traderathome
Who Wudda thunk.....? Yep, it could happen. This could be very uncomplicated,.....simple S&R price action in an up trend. {image} {image}
EURUSD Short Trade: I count on 1,10 before your prognosis. But mostly you are right, so.. Let's see.
The dragon and the Trend are on the short side, for now at least.
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If this changes, I'll try Mauro-J's stile, bigger positions.. (Complicated, I know )
PVSRA
  • #81,163
  • Edited 10:51am May 7, 2015 10:26am | Edited 10:51am
GBP/USD: freaking mm's!! look at this stopping volume just as i shorted. changed my bias to long! If you can't fight them dance with them!

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USD/JPY- going up with light volume..

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  • #81,164
  • Edited 12:04pm May 7, 2015 11:52am | Edited 12:04pm
Quoting Fisher755
{quote} EURUSD Short Trade: I count on 1,10 before your prognosis. But mostly you are right, so.. Let's see. The dragon and the Trend are on the short side, for now at least. {image} If this changes, I'll try Mauro-J's stile, bigger positions.. (Complicated, I know )
USDJPY Short Trade Open: Opening small shorts to hedge EURUSD Short Trade. The price is good. SL above RWH. Expect a lot of spikes until the middle of next week.
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The neckline was broken today, this can still go much lower..
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(Cannot show all the EURUSD shorts, opened them with 3 different brokers, only one has MT4, but they are 2x USDJPY shorts, 10 positions)
PVSRA
  • #81,165
  • May 7, 2015 12:11pm May 7, 2015 12:11pm
Warning...
GBP/USD.. very high activity above whole number. what would happen next? they gonna push the price lower before run their longs?? or its just the end of their long building?

Sometimes, this robber activity makes me dizzy.... n make my dance like a drunker
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"Bulls make money, Bears make money, but hogs get slaughtered"
  • #81,166
  • May 7, 2015 12:34pm May 7, 2015 12:34pm
Wow!! WTF?!?

i can't belive it and i'm so mad right now! why our volumes are so much diffrent?! and this is so important activity bar!!
what going on here?!

LOOK:

it's mine-

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it's mauro-j-

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btw My broker is FXCM, what is yours Mauro-J?
  • #81,167
  • May 7, 2015 12:44pm May 7, 2015 12:44pm
Quoting EraNaim
Wow!! WTF?!? i can't belive it and i'm so mad right now! why our volumes are so much diffrent?! and this is so important activity bar!! what going on here?! LOOK: it's mine- {image} it's mauro-j- {image} btw My broker is FXCM, what is yours Mauro-J?
Different broker, could be different tick volume.
"Bulls make money, Bears make money, but hogs get slaughtered"
  • #81,168
  • May 7, 2015 1:38pm May 7, 2015 1:38pm
Quoting Fisher755
{quote} GBPUSD Short Trade open: Nice activity, agree with you. {image} EURUSD Shorts still runing. For longer.
GBPUSD SL hit
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CADJPY SL hit
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Oh, well, tomorow is another day..
PVSRA
  • #81,169
  • May 7, 2015 3:33pm May 7, 2015 3:33pm
Quoting Mauro-J
Warning... GBP/USD.. very high activity above whole number. what would happen next? they gonna push the price lower before run their longs?? or its just the end of their long building? Sometimes, this robber activity makes me dizzy.... n make my dance like a drunker {image}
GBPUSD

It could be this move up thru the half number is genuinely buying initiated. Too soon? Maybe not. Maybe the MMs are not concerned if longs are tipped off and start pouring in during the AS, as it could be the MMs plan on a stop hunt of longs later. If so, then the more longs that come in now, the better the stop hunting should be later, when the time comes.
  • #81,170
  • May 7, 2015 4:25pm May 7, 2015 4:25pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} GBPUSD It could be this move up thru the half number is genuinely buying initiated. Too soon? Maybe not. Maybe the MMs are not concerned if longs are tipped off and start pouring in during the AS, as it could be the MMs plan on a stop hunt of longs later. If so, then the more longs that come in now, the better the stop hunting should be later, when the time comes.
Wow Off Market big!! candle.... Is this a stop hunt for shorts ???
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  • #81,171
  • May 7, 2015 4:46pm May 7, 2015 4:46pm
Quoting celord
{quote} Wow Off Market big!! candle.... Is this a stop hunt for shorts ??? {image}
Great-Britain elections effect I think.
Stay green! FN
  • #81,172
  • May 7, 2015 5:10pm May 7, 2015 5:10pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} GBPUSD Alert! (Update) Yes, price broke low the whole number. But the MMs took it to the nearest consolidation area below the whole number and stopped it there. So now we have to accept the possibility the move low was to get price to an area of previous buy/sell action in the hopes shorters would be enticed to see price down there and give the MMs liquidity to fill long orders. {image}
GBPUSD

Indeed, enticing shorters was what that was all about.....
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  • #81,173
  • May 7, 2015 5:26pm May 7, 2015 5:26pm
Quoting Fisher755
{quote} It is ADS Securities from Quatar, but the Europe's Office is in London. I used their Demo for 3 months, and I like them. You do not see FIFO, becouse I do it manualy, always close the smallest + position, that I can have SL at BE higher. {quote} I nailed Dax this last 2 days, tanks to you, Tah and PVSRA! NO INVESTMENTS LEFT BEHIND!!! But you mean "on the way" probably..
Oh, what I mean is USA traders have no choice. FIFO rules only allows you to close your earliest open trades. First in First out.
insanity: Doing the same thing over... and expecting different results -AE
  • #81,174
  • May 7, 2015 7:19pm May 7, 2015 7:19pm
One of the reason all GBP denominated pairs have shot up is because at 22:00 GMT on Thursday, the forecast (Exit Poll) for the UK general election is that the current government the Conservative (Tories) Party will remain in power.

This is a forecast and if true, the markets will enjoy this as the Conservatives are pro business.

Best let the dust settle before opening any new positions.
  • #81,175
  • Edited 8:57pm May 7, 2015 8:10pm | Edited 8:57pm
Clues to Coming "USD Weakness" Moves

Aside from GU, the other xxxUSD pairs were price slashed yesterday and the AS MMs seem not interested in moving the prices upwards, which is an indication the low prices are just fine by them, for trading ahead of the coming NFP release.

As regards USDxxx pairs, I see for example that UJ was strongly pumped yesterday. Shortly after the AS open there was a drop in price immediately followed by the price being pumped back up and higher, with highest volumes when price approached yesterday highs above the 3/4 level. This is an indication of bears. And if so, that drop in price was a focused sell-off by the MMs from which they promptly recovered the price and then moved it higher. The AS MMs have limited time now to load up with shorts. This is Friday. The NFP release comes after the AS is closed. They have to do what they intend to do now, before the end of the AS. As I see it, if they are trying to keep the price up, then they are bears and are using all available liquidity from those going long to increase their short positions.

So in conclusion, I would say we are looking at a number of clues the MMs are going to increase the prices of the xxxUSD pairs (maybe not GU since it has already be given the pump), and the MMs are going to slash the prices of the USDxxx pairs.

I could be wrong, have been before. Time will tell, but AU is attached as an additional example.

PVSRA and Patience,
tah
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Edit: And very soon after posting this, look what happened (see pic. below)! This is yet another sign the MMs are greedy for liquidity provided: by triggering short orders up the price queue so they get the liquidity to fill their long orders and by triggering pending long orders which they will immediately follow with a stop hunt move back down and lower. And so the MMs followed the move up by dropping the price to stop hunt longs and to continue enticing shorters into the market so the MMs get even more liquidity (at better prices, too!) to fill their own long orders! First up, then down was the best sequence to end up going lower with excited shorters to get the best prices for the MMs to fill their own long orders and to end up with a low price for ongoing filling of longs ahead of NFP.

This is just another example that the Robber Banks that make the currency market are price manipulating, thieving bastards, and very capable price manipulating, thieving bastards, too! But the bottom line for we retail traders is that right now they are bulls looking to fill long orders. And this is further confirmation they intent to see the price much higher sometime later. Before the end of today? Sometime next week? That we cannot know. Patience is required.

I arbitraritly picked AU as an example, not knowing what was soon to transpire. I am glad for this example because it further supports the premise of this post.
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  • #81,176
  • May 7, 2015 9:02pm May 7, 2015 9:02pm
Quoting traderathome
Who Wudda thunk.....? EU & GU Yep, it could happen. This could be very uncomplicated,.....simple S&R price action in an up trend. UJ Yep, it could happen. A dollar weakness move nobody expects,.....especially if the dollar isn't weaker. {image} {image} {image}

Indulge Me, Please....

Told cha',.........(yes, purely by accident. I remain humble. )
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  • #81,177
  • May 7, 2015 9:07pm May 7, 2015 9:07pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} GBPUSD Indeed, enticing shorters was what that was all about..... {image} {image}
Based on H1 TF PVSRA the bull runs looks very clear :

  1. two days from 4 to 5 may that was very clear MMs absorbed more liquidities for their longs. on 4 may, that was very high activity below whole number after the price entered whole number area. then on 5th may, we can see more clearly with the same high activity as previous notable volume - MMs active below whole number then pulled the price more higher with ultra high activity.
  2. That ultra high activity is a giant volume approximately same height as the volume ahead of the drop in prices on 29 April, but the up move generated abruptly terminated under the whole number, then ranging again.
    ***This scheme is done repeatedly and successively, at least five times --- two times below whole number 1.51000, three times below whole number 1.52000.
    *** The Question is, why PA shows such a reaction like that?? And all that reaction happend below whole number with high volume activity. Its very-very clearly, MMs load up more long and prepare the bull run on that transaction areas. at least five times repeatedly for 4 days, the culmination is last night - take advantage of the political momentum in the UK take advantage of the political momentum that is happening in the UK to detonate the bull runs bomb with a very powerful explosion. Maybe 1.55000 whole number will probably be the last destination, goes to the above of the whole level then consolitation to absorb more liquities on the next ranging. We need to wait what kind of sign will shows on the next ranging. Be patient, do not let that bastards robbers (MMs) fool us. We will never know for sure where the highest point of the price they want to sell all the stock that has been monopolized.

    What do you think Prof TAH? n others...
    __MJ

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"Bulls make money, Bears make money, but hogs get slaughtered"
  • #81,178
  • May 7, 2015 9:22pm May 7, 2015 9:22pm
Quoting Mauro-J
{quote} Based on H1 TF PVSRA the bull runs looks very clear : two days from 4 to 5 may that was very clear MMs absorbed more liquidities for their longs. on 4 may, that was very high activity below whole number after the price entered whole number area. then on 5th may, we can see more clearly with the same high activity as previous notable volume - MMs active below whole number then pulled the price more higher with ultra high activity. That ultra high activity is a giant volume approximately same height as the volume ahead of the drop in prices...
If I Had a Brain I Think I Would Be Thinking "Up"

....for all xxxUSD pairs, including GU. But, since I do not, I can only "wonder" and try to find clues on the chart.......

For those with a brain, that understand now that SM must have asked for long orders to be fill at low prices, where will SM be asking for those orders to be closed? Will they then be looking to go short? .......or will SM have high hopes for GU, and simply add more long orders at key SR levels on the new up trend?

Deciphering the market is like playing chess. Becoming skilled at PVSRA is like having gone thru intensive exercises to develop a sense of how the market really works. In the end, we continue to seek PVSRA clues as to what the MMs are doing to cater to SM and sucker in DM, while our overview is to try and understand what SM might be doing with the management of their orders.

Gee, this sounds like a lot of work. Instead, I think I will load up my chart with all those broker supplied indicators and let them show me how to be profitable!

PVSRA and Patience,
tah
  • #81,179
  • May 7, 2015 9:30pm May 7, 2015 9:30pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} Indulge Me, Please.... Told cha',.........(yes, purely by accident. I remain humble. ) {image} {image}
EURUSD Closed 3 positions out of 10. Your scenario is more likely considering lowering the price in AS. And maybe additional lowering during early LS.
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(This is demo, but kind of reflects my positions on Plus500 and Avatrade)
Reducing the risk makes a lot of sence.
PVSRA
  • #81,180
  • May 7, 2015 9:35pm May 7, 2015 9:35pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} If I Had a Brain I Think I Would Be Thinking "Up" ....for all xxxUSD pairs, including GU. But, since I do not, I can only "wonder" and try to find clues on the chart....... For those with a brain, that understand now that SM must have asked for long orders to be fill at low prices, where will SM be asking for those orders to be closed? Will they then be looking to go short? .......or will SM have high hopes for GU, and simply add more long orders at key SR levels on the new up trend? Deciphering the market is like playing chess. Becoming...
Ilearn a lot from you TAH, so inspired. Then, i need more cigar n coffee to wait the clues for the next dance...
"Bulls make money, Bears make money, but hogs get slaughtered"
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