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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #9,021
  • May 6, 2015 10:11am May 6, 2015 10:11am
Quoting USD-Bear
{quote} just wait for bunds to turn, waiting for a next leg down atm in DAX
Wasnt watching Bunds, was a TA trade + I wanted to be loaded pre tomorrow...clearly wrong. But stocks are still more of a diversify for me, not any big trades, BB account taught me .

Thx for advice and reminder. T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #9,022
  • May 6, 2015 2:24pm May 6, 2015 2:24pm
hi,

some longs
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The only constant is change
  • #9,023
  • May 6, 2015 2:57pm May 6, 2015 2:57pm
Quoting littspaniard
hi, some longs {image}
closed+40 (+20+20)

just trying reversing my positions short on US30 to long on DE30. This time works.
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The only constant is change
  • #9,024
  • May 6, 2015 3:08pm May 6, 2015 3:08pm
Anyone expecting the DAX to retest 12000 in the near future, or is it looking like a downtrend from here?
  • #9,025
  • May 6, 2015 3:16pm May 6, 2015 3:16pm
Quoting Amahesh
Anyone expecting the DAX to retest 12000 in the near future, or is it looking like a downtrend from here?
I think it can. The Dow held support today so we might have a positive start tomorrow and the market can build on that id the dow does not fall out of bed
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #9,026
  • May 6, 2015 3:35pm May 6, 2015 3:35pm
Quoting Olu
{quote} I think it can. The Dow held support today so we might have a positive start tomorrow and the market can build on that id the dow does not fall out of bed
What about Yellen's remarks against stock market valuations...
  • #9,027
  • May 6, 2015 4:28pm May 6, 2015 4:28pm
Quoting Amahesh
Anyone expecting the DAX to retest 12000 in the near future, or is it looking like a downtrend from here?
#9'024

Sell in May and go away!
FXcube
  • #9,028
  • May 6, 2015 7:13pm May 6, 2015 7:13pm
Quoting Amahesh
{quote} What about Yellen's remarks against stock market valuations...
Hi A

Her comments were unfortunate and it does throw a spammer in the works as far as I am concerned. It can be roughly translated that 'At this stage, if need be, we will not think about the stock market before raising rates'. As per sell in may and go away it can do that from a retracement to 12000 or 11750 as well. Or just drop from here. We just have to find a way to take advantage of what the market presents. There is bullish divergence on the 4h at the moment
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #9,029
  • May 7, 2015 12:24am May 7, 2015 12:24am
Quoting Olu
{quote} Hi A Her comments were unfortunate and it does throw a spammer in the works as far as I am concerned. It can be roughly translated that 'At this stage, if need be, we will not think about the stock market before raising rates'. As per sell in may and go away it can do that from a retracement to 12000 or 11750 as well. Or just drop from here. We just have to find a way to take advantage of what the market presents. There is bullish divergence on the 4h at the moment
Below link shows average return per month for the last 20 years on the Dax - June and August are the worst months:
http://www.forecast-chart.com/index-dax-germany.html

I'm still bullish on the Dax longer term - but we are experience strengthening in the EUR (or USD weakening), rising bond yields (cost of credit), and rising commodities prices (oil and base metals) - all working against the Dax currently. All of these factors were at or near multi-year lows leading the Dax to ath's.

As for the risk relating to rate hikes in the US, and whether US Equities will drag all Equities down, I don't believe this will happen, and the main reason is that during all recent examples of US rate hikes; the US Equities still rose in the medium term (albeit they got choppy):
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...21#post8165321
  • #9,030
  • May 7, 2015 1:11am May 7, 2015 1:11am
morning shorts
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The only constant is change
  • #9,031
  • May 7, 2015 1:34am May 7, 2015 1:34am
Quoting littspaniard
morning shorts {image}
closed +32 (+10+22)

see you later
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The only constant is change
  • #9,032
  • May 7, 2015 2:48am May 7, 2015 2:48am
Trying new things:

Constance Brown made a modification to the Relative Strength Index in 1999; instead of using the usual values of 30/70 to indicate oversold and overbought levels she looked at 40/90 as reversal thresholds for a bullish market and 10/60 in a bearish market.

Best,
  • #9,033
  • May 7, 2015 2:58am May 7, 2015 2:58am
For those trading M1, (with M15 as trend, M5 as momentum) there is a Bollinger Squeeze in M15

Best,
  • #9,034
  • May 7, 2015 3:00am May 7, 2015 3:00am
possibility
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  • #9,035
  • May 7, 2015 3:14am May 7, 2015 3:14am
another possibility
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  • #9,036
  • May 7, 2015 4:53am May 7, 2015 4:53am
hi, nice long here. I hope price don`t retrace
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The only constant is change
  • #9,037
  • May 7, 2015 5:05am May 7, 2015 5:05am
Quoting littspaniard
hi, nice long here. I hope price don`t retrace {image}
closed +55
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The only constant is change
  • #9,038
  • May 7, 2015 5:11am May 7, 2015 5:11am
see for the DAX and ERUs USD is close to the levels where the ECB announced QE
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  • #9,039
  • May 7, 2015 5:36am May 7, 2015 5:36am
Quoting PariCovek
Expecting a pullback to 38.2% Fib and a touch on the 20x1 Gann Fan. 11,180 is my target by 13 May 2015. Anything below that and it becomes a technical correction (-10%). I'll then load up the Long positions! {image}
It hit my target level earlier today!

Could be more downside if EUR keeps gaining against the USD.
  • #9,040
  • May 7, 2015 6:05am May 7, 2015 6:05am
not to be labeled lame...but.. Littspaniard ... our entries look abit similar...

good trades mate
practising coitus interruptus
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