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  • Post #5,161
  • Quote
  • May 2, 2015 10:25am May 2, 2015 10:25am
  •  Olu
  • Joined Jun 2009 | Status: Trend Trader | 5,607 Posts
GbpUsd

The markets imho do not want a Labour Party government and the value of the Ģ could continue to weaken till the conservatives win outright or form the coalition as the leading party. We have a clear confirmed reversal on the chart. For any chance of upmove I think 1.5000 must hold
Attached Image
Find a trend and milk it for all it is worth. That's how to be profitable
 
 
  • Post #5,162
  • Quote
  • May 2, 2015 10:34am May 2, 2015 10:34am
  •  Olu
  • Joined Jun 2009 | Status: Trend Trader | 5,607 Posts
UsdJpy

This pair moves in mysterious ways. While the $ was getting a beating it was just moving sideways. A bit of $ upmove now it is breaking out. Smells of 'gentle manipulation' to me. So the idea is if the intended direction is up why fight it?
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Find a trend and milk it for all it is worth. That's how to be profitable
 
 
  • Post #5,163
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  • May 4, 2015 3:59am May 4, 2015 3:59am
  •  trexy123
  • | Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 470 Posts
Olu, what's your view on oil now?
 
 
  • Post #5,164
  • Quote
  • May 4, 2015 1:16pm May 4, 2015 1:16pm
  •  Olu
  • Joined Jun 2009 | Status: Trend Trader | 5,607 Posts
Quoting trexy123
Disliked
Olu, what's your view on oil now?
Ignored
I am now looking for shorts
Find a trend and milk it for all it is worth. That's how to be profitable
 
 
  • Post #5,165
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  • May 4, 2015 1:43pm May 4, 2015 1:43pm
  •  SunTrader
  • Joined Mar 2006 | Status: Trade the reaction not the news! | 10,429 Posts
Quoting Olu
Disliked
{quote} I am now looking for shorts
Ignored
Summer is coming, huh?

 
 
  • Post #5,166
  • Quote
  • May 4, 2015 10:20pm May 4, 2015 10:20pm
  •  trexy123
  • | Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 470 Posts
Quoting Olu
Disliked
{quote} I am now looking for shorts
Ignored
What your target? Are you still long term bearish?
 
 
  • Post #5,167
  • Quote
  • May 5, 2015 9:18am May 5, 2015 9:18am
  •  Olu
  • Joined Jun 2009 | Status: Trend Trader | 5,607 Posts
Quoting trexy123
Disliked
{quote} What your target? Are you still long term bearish?
Ignored
A retest of the lows at least. But for this to happen there must be continued $ strength
Find a trend and milk it for all it is worth. That's how to be profitable
 
 
  • Post #5,168
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  • May 6, 2015 2:24am May 6, 2015 2:24am
  •  trexy123
  • | Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 470 Posts
Quoting Olu
Disliked
{quote} A retest of the lows at least. But for this to happen there must be continued $ strength
Ignored
You mean around $44 ?
 
 
  • Post #5,169
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  • May 6, 2015 4:11pm May 6, 2015 4:11pm
  •  Olu
  • Joined Jun 2009 | Status: Trend Trader | 5,607 Posts
Quoting trexy123
Disliked
{quote} You mean around $44 ?
Ignored

sorry for the late reply T

Yes I meant 44. Check oout the chart today the candles on the daily 8h and 4h are not good there is bearish divergence as well.
Of course this might not be the turn I am looking for but I dont think I am too far away. This scenario needs the $ to strength as well
First signs that this idea is rubbish is if 65 is taken out
Find a trend and milk it for all it is worth. That's how to be profitable
 
 
  • Post #5,170
  • Quote
  • May 6, 2015 11:42pm May 6, 2015 11:42pm
  •  trexy123
  • | Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 470 Posts
Quoting Olu
Disliked
{quote} sorry for the late reply T Yes I meant 44. Check oout the chart today the candles on the daily 8h and 4h are not good there is bearish divergence as well. Of course this might not be the turn I am looking for but I dont think I am too far away. This scenario needs the $ to strength as well First signs that this idea is rubbish is if 65 is taken out
Ignored
Hi olu, thanks for replying. Can I know what indicator do you use to check divergence? Also why do you think it will retest $44 since we already have a double bottom?
 
 
  • Post #5,171
  • Quote
  • Edited 3:43pm May 8, 2015 10:15am | Edited 3:43pm
  •  srt
  • Joined Dec 2012 | Status: On Life's Path | 2,076 Posts
Oil:

Decision time?
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  • Post #5,172
  • Quote
  • May 8, 2015 4:40pm May 8, 2015 4:40pm
  •  SunTrader
  • Joined Mar 2006 | Status: Trade the reaction not the news! | 10,429 Posts
Posted over on the Oil & NatGas thread as well:


WTI support and resistance. Wednesday was picture perfect pinbar. Today holding on current support:
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  • Post #5,173
  • Quote
  • May 11, 2015 1:04am May 11, 2015 1:04am
  •  Olu
  • Joined Jun 2009 | Status: Trend Trader | 5,607 Posts
Quoting SunTrader
Disliked
Posted over on the Oil & NatGas thread as well: WTI support and resistance. Wednesday was picture perfect pinbar. Today holding on current support: {image}
Ignored

Thanks for the chart SunTrader. Let's see what it will do. There is some weakness right out of thee gate. But a few cents change here or there is nothing the way crude moves. $ is stronger too
Find a trend and milk it for all it is worth. That's how to be profitable
 
 
  • Post #5,174
  • Quote
  • May 11, 2015 6:50am May 11, 2015 6:50am
  •  rehab
  • | Joined Jul 2012 | Status: Member | 336 Posts
Hi Olu and all the rest:
I realized I canīt distinguish between positive and negative divergence. Can someone pass me a link where it is well explained? I searched the net a lot and most found are about negative divergence but very rare positive. Thanks
 
 
  • Post #5,175
  • Quote
  • May 11, 2015 7:22am May 11, 2015 7:22am
  •  rehab
  • | Joined Jul 2012 | Status: Member | 336 Posts
What I mean is for example when prices are making higher highs but indicator such as RSI is making lower highs this is a divergence. So what I understood is that If it is a positive then prices will break to upside and continue making higher highs, if it is a negative divergence then prices will collapse to down and trend change occur. I canīt distinguish between both before prices start to move.
 
 
  • Post #5,176
  • Quote
  • May 11, 2015 7:42am May 11, 2015 7:42am
  •  srt
  • Joined Dec 2012 | Status: On Life's Path | 2,076 Posts
Quoting rehab
Disliked
What I mean is for example when prices are making higher highs but indicator such as RSI is making lower highs this is a divergence. So what I understood is that If it is a positive then prices will break to upside and continue making higher highs, if it is a negative divergence then prices will collapse to down and trend change occur. I cant distinguish between both before prices start to move.
Ignored

http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/what...ve-divergence/
 
 
  • Post #5,177
  • Quote
  • May 11, 2015 7:53am May 11, 2015 7:53am
  •  rehab
  • | Joined Jul 2012 | Status: Member | 336 Posts
Thanks srt, please check the following link and you will see what I mean. Both negative and bearish divergence show same symptom but one lead to trend continuation while the other lead to trend collapse and direction change. My question is how can we distinguish between both before prices start to move? same goes for positive and bullish divergence.
http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.p...ngth_index_rsi
 
 
  • Post #5,178
  • Quote
  • Edited 8:21am May 11, 2015 8:03am | Edited 8:21am
  •  srt
  • Joined Dec 2012 | Status: On Life's Path | 2,076 Posts
Quoting rehab
Disliked
Thanks srt, please check the following link and you will see what I mean. Both negative and bearish divergence show same symptom but one lead to trend continuation while the other lead to trend collapse and direction change. My question is how can we distinguish between both before prices start to move? same goes for positive and bullish divergence. http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.p...ngth_index_rsi
Ignored
Hi Rehab,

I guess I'm missing the question. Both articles seem to explain it the same & correctly.

Positive Divergence (Bullish)= Price makes new low but indicator makes higher low.
Negative Divergence (Bearish)= Price makes new high but indicator makes lower high.

There's also "hidden divergence" which is a bit different so maybe that's what you're questioning?

***Negative Divergence=Bearish Divergence (different terms for the same thing)
 
 
  • Post #5,179
  • Quote
  • May 11, 2015 9:13am May 11, 2015 9:13am
  •  rehab
  • | Joined Jul 2012 | Status: Member | 336 Posts
ya, then it is hidden divergence what I mean, sorry, I am lost in terminology. Thanks for making it clear that Positive div = bullish div & Negative div = bearish div.
 
 
  • Post #5,180
  • Quote
  • May 11, 2015 4:11pm May 11, 2015 4:11pm
  •  Olu
  • Joined Jun 2009 | Status: Trend Trader | 5,607 Posts
Quoting rehab
Disliked
ya, then it is hidden divergence what I mean, sorry, I am lost in terminology. Thanks for making it clear that Positive div = bullish div & Negative div = bearish div.
Ignored

Hidden Divergence is a funny one Rehab. By the way how have you been. Missing your charts and questions on this thread


Bullish Hidden Divergence ------> Price making higher lows while indicator making lower lows

Bearish Hidden Divergence ---------> Price making lower highs while indicator making higher highs

Hidden divergence indicates a resumption in the prevailing trend while normal divergence usually points to a reversal against the prevailing trend

Hope this helps
Find a trend and milk it for all it is worth. That's how to be profitable
 
 
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