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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #8,881
  • Apr 29, 2015 4:08am Apr 29, 2015 4:08am
Quoting littspaniard
long {image}
closed Breakeven. There are still sellers around
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2015-04-29_110631.png Size: 16 KB
The only constant is change
  • #8,882
  • Apr 29, 2015 5:05am Apr 29, 2015 5:05am
Expecting further USD weakness upon release of US GDP data in a couple of hours. Dax seems supported at 11780s, but trade with caution today. green pips as always guys
  • #8,883
  • Apr 29, 2015 5:18am Apr 29, 2015 5:18am
Quoting Islander
Here's an hourly chart with Market Statistics showing the Price Volume Peaks, the Volume Weighted Average Price and the three Standard Deviations.....several threads on this here in FF for those who are interested... {image}
hi Islander,

much appreciate for you sharing insight of Price volume reading. just wondering, which indicators are used on your chart to display volume on the left vertical side.
cheers.
seeing through
  • #8,884
  • Apr 29, 2015 6:12am Apr 29, 2015 6:12am
Quoting pipphunter
{quote} hi Islander, much appreciate for you sharing insight of Price volume reading. just wondering, which indicators are used on your chart to display volume on the left vertical side. cheers.
Hi - normally every thing I use has been posted before in my old thread - and I guess you know where that is

However, I haven't posted this indicator before, so here it is

Regards

Islander
Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 Market_Statistics_v5_0.ex4   23 KB | 366 downloads
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #8,885
  • Apr 29, 2015 7:13am Apr 29, 2015 7:13am
Quoting Islander
{quote} Hi - normally every thing I use has been posted before in my old thread - and I guess you know where that is However, I haven't posted this indicator before, so here it is Regards Islander {file}

Thanks Islander!
  • #8,886
  • Apr 29, 2015 7:38am Apr 29, 2015 7:38am
t is about to go UP, but so far no buyers at all
  • #8,887
  • Apr 29, 2015 7:40am Apr 29, 2015 7:40am
Quoting capetown
t is about to go UP, but so far no buyers at all
I'm buying...
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #8,888
  • Apr 29, 2015 7:43am Apr 29, 2015 7:43am
I think that it is now safe to say that the remarkable Dax bull run of the few months is officially at an end, for now. Personally, I think we've got a lot further to come down.
  • #8,889
  • Apr 29, 2015 7:59am Apr 29, 2015 7:59am
Quoting cat
I think that it is now safe to say that the remarkable Dax bull run of the few months is officially at an end, for now. Personally, I think we've got a lot further to come down.
We could also install ourselves into an enlarged range for a few months before going up again at the end of the the summer ?.
I.e ranging between 11300/11500 and the highest.... ?

.... but there is also this sort of "double shoulder" H&S pattern. We are on its bottom line.

GL to all, watch out for the fomc volatility.
  • #8,890
  • Apr 29, 2015 8:13am Apr 29, 2015 8:13am
And now I need to vote yes on Delta's poll for 13200. Just at the moment it has gone low (and might go lower).

It will go up again. Draghi is rich of 60Billions per month until the end of 2016 - at the minimum.

The equity asset bubble will inflate mechanically as it always does when CBs are printing money to buy assets to the banks.
There will be almost no wealth effect for the masses outside of stock market but this is off topic.
And if there is a big Chinese or US big turmoil, well, they'll print again.
If it still does not work, well it 'll be the least of our worries.

13200 is reachable .
This is no advice to trade something not yet happening of course, just my "half full glass" opinion for the midterm.

EDIT / Poll closed. Let's say this post is my yes vote.
  • #8,891
  • Apr 29, 2015 8:14am Apr 29, 2015 8:14am
Quoting cat
I think that it is now safe to say that the remarkable Dax bull run of the few months is officially at an end, for now. Personally, I think we've got a lot further to come down.
USD weakness will hurt Dax exporting companies.

FOMC later today is also critical.
Need to see Dax earnings tomorrow to make a proper assessment.
  • #8,892
  • Apr 29, 2015 8:23am Apr 29, 2015 8:23am
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} USD weakness will hurt Dax exporting companies. FOMC later today is also critical. Need to see Dax earnings tomorrow to make a proper assessment.

USD Weakness is still relative so far.
It is not as if the full downtrend on euro would have been already retraced. Even if there has been a clear inversion of steam lately.
I believe exporting companies have not used all the gains of the lower euro yet, with coverage instruments allowing them to lower impact of currencies fluctuations - both ways. No ?
  • #8,893
  • Apr 29, 2015 8:41am Apr 29, 2015 8:41am
Quoting Motfund
{quote} USD Weakness is still relative so far. It is not as if the full downtrend on euro would have been already retraced. Even if there has been a clear inversion of steam lately. I believe exporting companies have not used all the gains of the lower euro yet, with coverage instruments allowing them to lower impact of currencies fluctuations - both ways. No ?
Yeah there would be some gains for German companies from EUR weakness, also FX hedging would exist, and to be honest I don't have the details of which Dax entities have FX hedging and which do not, but I do know that the US is the no1 net importer of German products, so a lower EUR/USD would help the Dax. UK being no2 Net Importer, France 3rd and the list goes on....
  • #8,894
  • Apr 29, 2015 8:56am Apr 29, 2015 8:56am
It would be interesting to have the full ranking with values... just to see the proportion of exports to US against all exports to intraeuropean countries. I would assume the total intraeuropean ones are at least as high... if not much higher. Hence the EurUSD parity is less impacting on values (not companies) than ECB's action.
But i have no data so I'd better shut up.
Anyway, fomc day, so leaving the stock screen away.
Have a nice day PariCovek and others. GL.
  • #8,895
  • Apr 29, 2015 9:01am Apr 29, 2015 9:01am
Quoting Motfund
It would be interesting to have the full ranking with values... just to see the proportion of exports to US against all exports to intraeuropean countries. I would assume the total intraeuropean ones are at least as high... if not much higher. Hence the EurUSD parity is less impacting on values (not companies) than ECB's action. But i have no data so I'd better shut up. Anyway, fomc day, so leaving the stock screen away. Have a nice day PariCovek and others. GL.
Good day to you too.
FYI - Germany's Import / Export trading partners ranked.
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf OrderRankGermanyTradingPartners.pdf   82 KB | 822 downloads
  • #8,896
  • Apr 29, 2015 9:28am Apr 29, 2015 9:28am
Quoting cat
I think that it is now safe to say that the remarkable Dax bull run of the few months is officially at an end, for now. Personally, I think we've got a lot further to come down.
So true CAT Hitting nearly Fib 161.80 on Weekly. And EUR much stronger for now .... Touching SMA 100 on Daily. Buying ETF's again ????
Trade Your P/L, Trade the Market. Manage your Risk.
  • #8,897
  • Apr 29, 2015 9:31am Apr 29, 2015 9:31am
wow wasn't expecting that. +350 atm
Lak
  • #8,898
  • Apr 29, 2015 9:55am Apr 29, 2015 9:55am
Nearly 6 cents on the $ profit for investing in German DAX 30 stocks over 3 month period. Including increased PE's is good fund management for US portfolio managers. In this way their quarterly performance will do fine. Question is though what is next ....
Trade Your P/L, Trade the Market. Manage your Risk.
  • #8,899
  • Apr 29, 2015 9:59am Apr 29, 2015 9:59am
Single biggest daily fall in the Dax since August 10th 2011.
  • #8,900
  • Apr 29, 2015 10:03am Apr 29, 2015 10:03am
Quoting cat
My support levels well broken now- headed for S2 now. Daily chart looking very bearish indeed!! Some big negative news could send this down to 11,000 as easy as winking, technically it's on.
my post from the 23rd, but where was the negative news??
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