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EURUSD

  • #982,581
  • Apr 18, 2015 12:18pm Apr 18, 2015 12:18pm
what do you think guys :
mario Draghi said : It is pointless to go short on euro
what is he going to tell us ?
  • #982,582
  • Apr 18, 2015 12:33pm Apr 18, 2015 12:33pm
Default probabilty of Greece derived from credit default swaps was 80% as of April 16, 2015.
http://pdf.reuters.com/pdfnews/pdfne...2f_PRIMARY.jpg
  • #982,583
  • Apr 18, 2015 12:36pm Apr 18, 2015 12:36pm
Quoting edyraper
what do you think guys : mario Draghi said : It is pointless to go short on euro what is he going to tell us ?
Trying to tell people not to attacked the Euro on the basis on anticipating that it would break up. Not trying to address it in fundamental perspectives but he's trying to say that for people who are shorting the euro to expect it to fall to a point that it will reach a "worthless" state is invalid.
  • #982,584
  • Apr 18, 2015 12:38pm Apr 18, 2015 12:38pm
http://www.theguardian.com/business/...man-resistance

He's also said this in 2012
  • #982,585
  • Apr 18, 2015 12:55pm Apr 18, 2015 12:55pm
17:44:02 RTRS - ASKED ON EURO, ECB'S DRAGHI SAYS FX RATE IS OUTCOME OF DIFFERENT MONETARY POLICY, BUSINESS CYCLES

17:53:00 RTRS - ECB'S DRAGHI SAYS POINTLESS TO GO SHORT ON THE EURO

18:01:34 RTRS - ECB'S DRAGHI SAYS CONSEQUENCES OF FED RATE HIKE SHOULD BE MANAGEABLE GIVEN LONG PREPARATION

18:41:01 RTRS - ECB'S WEIDMANN SAYS MONETARY POLICY HAS ARRIVED AT THE LIMITS OF WHAT IT CAN ACHIEVE

18:42:47 RTRS - ECB'S WEIDMANN SAYS MONETARY POLICY IS INCREASINGLY SEEN AS THE ONLY SOLUTION, LEADS TO DISCUSSION ABOUT CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDENCE

18:45:23 RTRS - ECB'S WEIDMANN SAYS CURRENCY MOVES REFLECT DIFFERENT MONETARY POLICIES, GROWTH SCENARIOS

18:45:45 RTRS - GERMANY'S SCHAEUBLE SAYS NO-ONE SEES EUROPE IS MANIPULATING ITS CURRENCY

18:47:31 RTRS - GERMANY'S SCHAEUBLE SAYS U.S AND OTHER COUNTRIES DID NOT ASK ME TO TAKE A SOFTER STANCE ON GREECE

18:48:03 RTRS - GERMANY'S SCHAEUBLE SAYS DON'T SEE SOLUTION COMING AT RIGA MEETING ON GREECE

I wouldn't make of too much from what has been said, he's not talking it up.
  • #982,586
  • Apr 18, 2015 1:20pm Apr 18, 2015 1:20pm
People always tend to do the things others say they shouldn't/can't do.
Mario says it's pointless to short the EUR (based on current malaise)? Well, I wouldn't be surprised if traders think: "Frack him, I'll do what I want, I'm shorting this mofo".
  • #982,587
  • Apr 18, 2015 1:25pm Apr 18, 2015 1:25pm
Quoting coldvinc
People always tend to do the things others say they shouldn't/can't do. Mario says it's pointless to short the EUR (based on current malaise)? Well, I wouldn't be surprised if traders think: "Frack him, I'll do what I want, I'm shorting this mofo".
As I said, he's not addressing this to traders, he's addressing this to people who's trying bet on Euro CDS and how the Euro can be worthless. He said similiar things at the August 2012 ECB presser, but the Euro fell. Dont get too excited
  • #982,588
  • Apr 18, 2015 1:26pm Apr 18, 2015 1:26pm
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #982,589
  • Apr 18, 2015 1:27pm Apr 18, 2015 1:27pm
Who cares what Draghi says? He's just doing his job...
  • #982,590
  • Apr 18, 2015 1:39pm Apr 18, 2015 1:39pm
Quoting MikiFX
Who cares what Draghi says? He's just doing his job...
Well it's not even picked up....
  • #982,591
  • Apr 18, 2015 1:48pm Apr 18, 2015 1:48pm
Gap down
  • #982,592
  • Apr 18, 2015 1:56pm Apr 18, 2015 1:56pm
Quoting sERDAr
Gap down
Nah no change but quite a lot of negatives from Greece u never know
  • #982,593
  • Apr 18, 2015 2:06pm Apr 18, 2015 2:06pm
Play around red line levels based on PA. On middle level we have pivot, fib, sup/res.. So this level can be important. Thanks.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #982,594
  • Apr 18, 2015 2:23pm Apr 18, 2015 2:23pm
Would there be any winners from a Greek default?

U.S. dollar: EUR/USD’s performance last week reinforced the significant 1.0500 support level. Some people have been looking for parity, but it may take a Grexit to push the pair down to this significant level. Even though the EUR rose last week as Greek fears started to rise, a Grexit could lead to more ECB QE, which would be good news for the EUR bears and may also boost the Dax.


http://www.futuresmag.com/2015/04/17...-greek-default
  • #982,595
  • Apr 18, 2015 2:57pm Apr 18, 2015 2:57pm
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} This is what I see for next week EU H4 {image}
Agree. very good analysis.
  • #982,596
  • Apr 18, 2015 3:09pm Apr 18, 2015 3:09pm
Want to share my outlook for the next moves. Any comments are welcome if you see anything wrong with it.

From what I can see we we'll be in wave 5 on Monday considering probable low volume, finishing upward retracement to 1.0920-30, then a robust move down in wave 3 (which signifies also beginning of wave 5 down to parity)
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  • #982,597
  • Apr 18, 2015 3:21pm Apr 18, 2015 3:21pm
Quoting EUROtech
Want to share my outlook for the next moves. Any comments are welcome if you see anything wrong with it. From what I can see we we'll be in wave 5 on Monday considering probable low volume, finishing upward retracement to 1.0920-30, then a robust move down in wave 3 (which signifies also beginning of wave 5 down to parity) {image} {image} {image} {image} {image} {image} {image}

All tech
  • #982,598
  • Apr 18, 2015 3:23pm Apr 18, 2015 3:23pm
Quoting plotinus82
{quote} All tech
looks ok?
  • #982,599
  • Apr 18, 2015 3:42pm Apr 18, 2015 3:42pm
Quoting EUROtech
{quote} looks ok?
I'm a bit of a fundamental guy and I think with EUR at 1.08 we're looking a bit stretched onto the top side.....

Just IMO dont quote me on it
  • #982,600
  • Apr 18, 2015 3:44pm Apr 18, 2015 3:44pm
Quoting EUROtech
Want to share my outlook for the next moves. Any comments are welcome if you see anything wrong with it. From what I can see we we'll be in wave 5 on Monday considering probable low volume, finishing upward retracement to 1.0920-30, then a robust move down in wave 3 (which signifies also beginning of wave 5 down to parity) {image} {image} {image} {image} {image} {image} {image}
Try same idea with longer TF ,maybe 1day 1w But ,thats really impressive job you did already and convincing
Let me fill my acount wallet then will take Ur advice
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