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  • #981,641
  • Apr 15, 2015 10:53pm Apr 15, 2015 10:53pm
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} well AUD is only strong because they didn't lower their rates. that's it really.

did you see the "fundies" today regarding china and iron?

anyway
apologies just got frustrated... paying all those swaps all that time to end up paying more "waiting" because they miscalculated their previous data
(jobs were less then previous month -the updated)

and also its weird how the aussie "behaves" during news... its like the PA knows the release before the release itself...


its so promising pair "short wise" but needs to learn "manners" from its eurusd cousin
  • #981,642
  • Apr 15, 2015 11:08pm Apr 15, 2015 11:08pm
Quoting KGP
{quote} did you see the "fundies" today regarding china and iron? anyway apologies just got frustrated... paying all those swaps all that time to end up paying more "waiting" because they miscalculated their previous data (jobs were less then previous month -the updated) and also its weird how the aussie "behaves" during news... its like the PA knows the release before the release itself... its so promising pair "short wise" but needs to learn "manners" from its eurusd cousin
that's why i very rarely trade AUDUSD.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #981,643
  • Apr 15, 2015 11:22pm Apr 15, 2015 11:22pm
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} that's why i very rarely trade AUDUSD.

so do i...but i am sure you see the aussie going at least a little bit less than .7500 level on your analysis
  • #981,644
  • Apr 15, 2015 11:23pm Apr 15, 2015 11:23pm
Quoting KGP
{quote} i dont get it something is "smelly"... even the way the PA was behaving before the news... and based on a "small" bad US data report all that fuss...and not dump... (because i believe the pump is over) do you believe aussie is so "strong"... and instead of heading to 75 heading to 77? (most of the time without anything fundamental going on)
most major trading companies can get instant news directly from the source, around 5 min earlier than normal trader...

most of the time its due to the faster internet speed(they dont need to go through another set of server/middle man/etc) or premium membership etc etc.

that why sometime the value jump before or just right at the time when we normal trader receive our news.
  • #981,645
  • Apr 15, 2015 11:27pm Apr 15, 2015 11:27pm
Looking at the euro, i'm thinking if it moves up to touch 1.08 with good volume, it will inevitably open up 1.09 - 950.
The larger TF is pointing down, so if it is to stick with this trend, it should start to consolidate at this 1.07 - 750 lvl and start dipping.

Anyone with opinions on the above? Just to check if i have missed anything on the charts or something.
  • #981,646
  • Apr 15, 2015 11:29pm Apr 15, 2015 11:29pm
Quoting ohguowei
{quote} most major trading companies can get instant news directly from the source, around 5 min earlier than normal trader... most of the time its due to the faster internet speed(they dont need to go through another set of server/middle man/etc) or premium membership etc etc. that why sometime the value jump before or just right at the time when we normal trader receive our news.

first we are talking about official data release on a given time without "special treatment"


second check the trading day of the aussie and you will spot i believe many interesting things that might make you wonder...


last but not least its not the last time this thing is going on


(above my personal opinion)
  • #981,647
  • Apr 15, 2015 11:37pm Apr 15, 2015 11:37pm
Quoting ohguowei
{quote} most major trading companies can get instant news directly from the source, around 5 min earlier than normal trader... most of the time its due to the faster internet speed(they dont need to go through another set of server/middle man/etc) or premium membership etc etc. that why sometime the value jump before or just right at the time when we normal trader receive our news.

That's why news are so hard to trade. Its not just about how soon we get the numbers, it is also about how we react to the news.

Usually if a trade setup appears before the news comes out then it is easier to enter a trade, otherwise on most times it will be too late to react upon news release.
  • #981,648
  • Apr 15, 2015 11:40pm Apr 15, 2015 11:40pm
Quoting KGP
{quote} first we are talking about official data release on a given time without "special treatment" second check the trading day of the aussie and you will spot i believe many interesting things that might make you wonder... last but not least its not the last time this thing is going on (above my personal opinion)
without special treatment... yes, but they can get it faster just by being closer to the source or by having faster internet speed.

dont forget that most of us have another ISP layer to get our internet... that kinda of slow down our connection by a few minutes if u are like me, living in asian.

not saying this is why, but most of the time this is the case, i'm used to having 2 to 3 minute old news already. not really something new, unless u are saying a few 1 hours early or something, that might be indication of insider trading already.
  • #981,649
  • Apr 15, 2015 11:44pm Apr 15, 2015 11:44pm
Quoting ohguowei
{quote} without special treatment... yes, but they can get it faster just by being closer to the source or by having faster internet speed. dont forget that most of us have another ISP layer to get our internet... that kinda of slow down our connection by a few minutes if u are like me, living in asian. not saying this is why, but most of the time this is the case, i'm used to having 2 to 3 minute old news already. not really something new, unless u are saying a few 1 hours early or something, that might be indication of insider trading already....

well i dont trade the news... and i dont get 2-3 minutes delay but anyway...i got it out of my mind ;-)
  • #981,650
  • Apr 15, 2015 11:45pm Apr 15, 2015 11:45pm
Quoting 10cents
Looking at the euro, i'm thinking if it moves up to touch 1.08 with good volume, it will inevitably open up 1.09 - 950. The larger TF is pointing down, so if it is to stick with this trend, it should start to consolidate at this 1.07 - 750 lvl and start dipping. Anyone with opinions on the above? Just to check if i have missed anything on the charts or something.

Well I have a couple of positions scuba dived, in any case, I do see it coming down as we speak. Unlikely to reach 1.09 for this week in my opinion.
  • #981,651
  • Apr 15, 2015 11:46pm Apr 15, 2015 11:46pm
Quoting iaveight
... its the US policy I have a problem with and Clinton ( heaven help us if she get elected) Benghazi for one, WMD that never materialized, Afganistan...
I agree with a lot of what you're saying, and yes I'm an American, and yes I was alive during the CMC (though a little kid), and yes Gulf of Tonkin was the HUGE LIE that started the worst part of the Vietnam war(s). The US does some good at times, but it also causes more problems around the world than any other country. I also gotta say I can't decide who I hate more between Bush and Obama. (Having said that, though, I back the total destruction of the SLIME known as ISIS.)
  • #981,652
  • Apr 15, 2015 11:49pm Apr 15, 2015 11:49pm
Quoting Ratmach
{quote} I agree with a lot of what you're saying, and yes I'm an American, and yes I was alive during the CMC (though a little kid), and yes Gulf of Tonkin was the HUGE LIE that started the worst part of the Vietnam war(s). The US does some good at times, but it also causes more problems around the world than any other country. I also gotta say I can't decide who I hate more between Bush and Obama. (Having said that, though, I back the total destruction of the SLIME known as ISIS.)
bush send troop out, Obama tried to bring them back.

in this case shouldn't u be slightly happier with Obama?
  • #981,653
  • Apr 15, 2015 11:51pm Apr 15, 2015 11:51pm
Quoting Jerrylim
{quote} Well I have a couple of positions scuba dived, in any case, I do see it coming down as we speak. Unlikely to reach 1.09 for this week in my opinion.

I actually have 2 turning points on my charts, one at this 700-750 lvl and another one at 900-950. However like you have mentioned, 1.09 looks too high to achieve and pose a threat to nullify the down trend on larger time frame. I won't be surprise if it runs up there though, but it looks like there is a good chance euro is gonna start turning down again from current lvl.
  • #981,654
  • Apr 16, 2015 12:01am Apr 16, 2015 12:01am
Quoting 10cents
{quote} I actually have 2 turning points on my charts, one at this 700-750 lvl and another one at 900-950. However like you have mentioned, 1.09 looks too high to achieve and pose a threat to nullify the down trend on larger time frame. I won't be surprise if it runs up there though, but it looks like there is a good chance euro is gonna start turning down again from current lvl.

I don't think there is "too high" in forex. Anything is possible. However, like Draghi said, "its premature" to make judgement now.

I do consider a LL 1.05ish be more likely before going any higher. Above 1.12 will be strong signal for a trend reversal; my opinion.
  • #981,655
  • Apr 16, 2015 12:10am Apr 16, 2015 12:10am
Quoting ohguowei
{quote} bush send troop out, Obama tried to bring them back. in this case shouldn't u be slightly happier with Obama?
Well, there's more to my feelings toward the guy than just the troop withdraws from Iraq & Afgh (besides, there's some VERY dishonest, Machiavellian stuff where that's concerned). I just feel, in many ways, that Obama is even more evil, arrogant, and dangerous than Bush was (and I never thought that was possible).

Okay... sorry to go so off-topic in this thread... I'll blame the protester girl from this morning!! (And yeah, agree with the ones who are saying she IS hot.)
  • #981,656
  • Apr 16, 2015 12:24am Apr 16, 2015 12:24am
Quoting ill_be_back
Pending BUY EA 1.37570
Cancelled
LONG EU at 1.06802
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #981,657
  • Apr 16, 2015 12:32am Apr 16, 2015 12:32am
Quoting Jerrylim
{quote} I don't think there is "too high" in forex. Anything is possible. However, like Draghi said, "its premature" to make judgement now. I do consider a LL 1.05ish be more likely before going any higher. Above 1.12 will be strong signal for a trend reversal; my opinion.
I personally think 1.12 is too high a place to spot for reversal, too late to close shorts at that lvl.

If it goes below 1.05, i can pretty much strike 1.12 off the charts, even 1.1 will be a tall order.
  • #981,658
  • Apr 16, 2015 12:35am Apr 16, 2015 12:35am
In my opinion we gonna see it 1.05 ISH as EURASIAN MAKRETS opens more likly retracting, any ideas?
Let me fill my acount wallet then will take Ur advice
  • #981,659
  • Apr 16, 2015 12:42am Apr 16, 2015 12:42am
Quoting 10cents
{quote} I personally think 1.12 is too high a place to spot for reversal, too late to close shorts at that lvl. If it goes below 1.05, i can pretty much strike 1.12 off the charts, even 1.1 will be a tall order.

  • #981,660
  • Apr 16, 2015 12:48am Apr 16, 2015 12:48am
Quoting Ratmach
{quote} Well, there's more to my feelings toward the guy than just the troop withdraws from Iraq & Afgh (besides, there's some VERY dishonest, Machiavellian stuff where that's concerned). I just feel, in many ways, that Obama is even more evil, arrogant, and dangerous than Bush was (and I never thought that was possible). Okay... sorry to go so off-topic in this thread... I'll blame the protester girl from this morning!! (And yeah, agree with the ones who are saying she IS hot.)
It's no that off topic. Anybody who was alive during the CMC, their Dad's probably fought in WII and their Grandfathers in WWI. But since WII Western Europe has had the longest period of sustained peace and prosperity in its history. And why is that? Its for the same reason that the US states haven't had a war since the Civil. Their governments are democratic and their economic interests are aligned. The Euro and the ECB has played a major part in that. That's why the Euro isn't going away and why that girl is an idiot who apparently doesn't know her own history. The major European country that is currently threatened with sliding into to being a dictatorship today is Russia, and we needn't even talk about how its currency is doing without a body like the ECB to manage it.
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