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Sonic R. System

  • #80,541
  • Apr 13, 2015 11:12am Apr 13, 2015 11:12am
Quoting Ati_82
{quote} I had the same, reseting default settings on profile page fixed it for me. (if you mean FF trade explorer)
Did it , still nothing
Man lie, woman lie, numbers don't
  • #80,542
  • Edited 7:30pm Apr 13, 2015 5:19pm | Edited 7:30pm
GBPJPY Short Trade Open/Close:

PVSRA based following a 50+% retrace of the bear swing down from the 177.50 area, taking price back above the 176.50 half Level a couple of times, both times immediately followed by strong backsliding. This could be a PVSRA indication MMs have been filling SM orders for additional shorts above the 176.00 whole Level, and then took price a bit higher to the 176.50 area to fill more of their own orders for shorts. Now a distinct bear wave is formed. If PA breaks low the 176.00 whole Level, it might go down to the next whole Level. I say this because SM entering short above one whole Level is most likely to have placed orders to close those shorts at least one whole level below, if not even lower. But, we can never know. No TP, SL at this time.

Closed for gain of 31.8 pips average, 318 pips total.
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  • #80,543
  • Apr 13, 2015 7:29pm Apr 13, 2015 7:29pm
Quoting traderathome
NZDUSD Long Trade Open: This long trade is PVSRA based (see signal above). Because price is ranging and this is just the wee hours of a new week, no TP is yet set. Price might go lower again, as it did Friday, in which case I might add to this trade. {image}
NZDUSD Long Trade Closed:

Closed for gain of 16.9 pips average, 2,033 pips total gain.
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  • #80,544
  • Edited 10:17pm Apr 13, 2015 8:09pm | Edited 10:17pm
Gold, here is my analysis with PVSRA，yesterday in US session the mms push the price up the whole number(1200), then drop the price under SR area which are also the whole number 1200, I think they want to stop hunt the longs and get more liquid to fill their own longs. because the volume become so high
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PS: I am not sure with my analysis is right or wrong, because i am a new hand using the PVSRA to analysis, all this is my advise or some clue which I see.
  • #80,545
  • Apr 13, 2015 10:11pm Apr 13, 2015 10:11pm
Can anyone tell me what happened? LOL I downloaded the 2014 Black background...
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Trade Different
Multi 3000 All Time Pips: 23,606
  • #80,546
  • Edited 12:19am Apr 14, 2015 12:05am | Edited 12:19am
Quoting TidalSurf
Can anyone tell me what happened? LOL I downloaded the 2014 Black background... {image}
Read and follow Post #1 for the download and the installation instructions.
  • #80,547
  • Apr 14, 2015 1:33am Apr 14, 2015 1:33am
GBP/JPY short open/close trade:

banked 40 pips

thanks again Sonic & TAH !!
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  • #80,548
  • Apr 14, 2015 1:57am Apr 14, 2015 1:57am
GBPJPY +27 pips
GBPCAD +15 pips
GBPUSD +21 pips
EURAUD +21 pips
EURJPY +93 pips

Demarko
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'Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication'
  • #80,549
  • Apr 14, 2015 2:30am Apr 14, 2015 2:30am
USDCAD Signal:

Bullish. Setup with breakout of whole number.

This is ranging. So the upper half number might be a good tentative TP. Overall, if this goes up I see it as a move for the bears to get orders for shorts filled at higher prices, but that does not negate it becoming a good long trade.
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  • #80,550
  • Apr 14, 2015 3:02am Apr 14, 2015 3:02am
GBP/USD short scout opened :
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  • #80,551
  • Apr 14, 2015 3:37am Apr 14, 2015 3:37am
EURJPY Signal:

I am in this one up to my neck, but for as much as this has dropped since I first entered long, it is again showing bullish. There is rising volume as the MMs took the price low today, and sustained high volume as they go about filling orders below the half Level,.....closing shorts, opening longs is my bet. This has made a nice 500+ pips bear swing. So, SM might be vacating shorts and moving to the long side now. Time will tell, but a break high of the half level could be key to a successful long trade with maybe the first TP between RDH and the upper half Level,....about 100 pips above the order filling currently in progress.
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  • #80,552
  • Apr 14, 2015 4:51am Apr 14, 2015 4:51am
short trade usdjpy, mms active in whole number

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  • #80,553
  • Apr 14, 2015 6:07am Apr 14, 2015 6:07am
Quoting traderathome
EURJPY Long Trade Open: Price today has been taken below RWL and below a half Level (PVSRA). The most notable volumes are at the price lows. There is still time for a bounce. Overall, I see JPY pairs as becoming bearish (http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...63#post8193963), and so with such downside already this week a retrace into next week has a reasonable chance of occurring. Big players surely will be wanting more shorts, and at higher prices. {image}
EURJPY Long Trade Closed:

Closed for gain of 57.2 pips average, 12,582 pips total gain.
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  • #80,554
  • Apr 14, 2015 6:35am Apr 14, 2015 6:35am
AUDJPY Signal:

Bullish. An inverted H&S is in play. If MMs work price back to whole Level area, it might be a decent entry. TP would be in the RDH to upper half number area, for something less than 50 pips, unless such a run up gains momentum. If this does not run in the remaining time of the LS today, there is strong probability the MMs will indeed bring the price back down for some more filling of long orders, perhaps below the whole Level.
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  • #80,555
  • Edited 7:24am Apr 14, 2015 6:44am | Edited 7:24am
Quoting traderathome
USDCAD Signal: Bullish. Setup with breakout of whole number. This is ranging. So the upper half number might be a good tentative TP. Overall, if this goes up I see it as a move for the bears to get orders for shorts filled at higher prices, but that does not negate it becoming a good long trade. {image}
USDCAD Signal Update:

It is difficult at the moment to know if the run down is the start of a bear swing without first going back up to fill more short orders, or if it is a liquidity creation move, the liquidity to get long orders filled by stop hunting existing longs that were anticipating a move up for the filling of short orders, and by deceiving shorts and sucking them into the market. But viewing the Day chart, the volume on this down move is very light to be a run for profits move. So, I will stick with the hypothesis that this move down is a liquidity creation move - a damn good one - to get long orders filled and to get the price low to continue filling long orders. Keep in mind the CAD high impact releases coming tomorrow, which the MMs might be planning to use as triggers for their next move. This move down today might be staging for what is to come, which further supports the idea that SM has placed long orders at the lows, and this is why the MMs have taken the price low,......to fill them. Once filled, then SM is going to ask that they be closed at higher prices. So.....a trip back up, maybe after the CAD releases.

If I am right, this will be headed upwards in due time. And it could go back up 200-300 pips. If I am wrong, there still should be a retrace coming, at the top of which would be an opportunity to enter short.

To keep perspective on this, it looks to me - I anticipate - this will eventually drop like a rock. For now, the emphasis is on closing longs and loading up with as many shorts at the highest prices possible,....and to leave the unfortunate holding their bags of longs when the drop comes. But, this is a process which if dragged out can suck in a lot of new, additional money on this baby, helping to get more shorts on the books and bigger bags of longs for the unfortunate to be left holding. And to further this objective the MMs continue to range the price, which is what they do when building their positions, and filling the orders of others.
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  • #80,556
  • Apr 14, 2015 7:13am Apr 14, 2015 7:13am
Quoting traderathome
{quote} EURJPY Long Trade Closed: Closed for gain of 57.2 pips average, 12,582 pips total gain. {image}
Good, because I am shorting EURJYP

This 150 pip upward movement today was really tough and surprising. But what goes up, must come down. Time will tell.

Regards
FN
Stay green! FN
  • #80,557
  • Edited 8:22am Apr 14, 2015 8:09am | Edited 8:22am
Quoting forexn00b
{quote} Good, because I am shorting EURJYP This 150 pip upward movement today was really tough and surprising. But what goes up, must come down. Time will tell. Regards FN
xxxJPY Pairs

For xxxJPY pairs, I think the grand perspective is bearish. But a true trend change from them all being bullish to becoming bearish entails ranging. And the ranging can make trend identification more difficult if it is wide ranging, which is what is going on. In few words, I think SM is preparing for the start of a major bear trend. I think their plan is to keep asking the MMs to fill short orders at various higher prices until there are absolutely no long suckers left. This can take some time. They are going to suck as much new, additional money into the market on these pairs as is possible, so SM can build larger short positions. Meanwhile, there will be both long and short trade opportunities because the MMs are going to have to continue to range prices up and down to accomplish this feat.

This is like playing "Musical Chairs". We just do not want to be the ones standing - long - when the music stops.

-tah
  • #80,558
  • Edited 10:32am Apr 14, 2015 10:12am | Edited 10:32am
Quoting traderathome
AUDJPY Signal: Bullish. An inverted H&S is in play. If MMs work price back to whole Level area, it might be a decent entry. TP would be in the RDH to upper half number area, for something less than 50 pips, unless such a run up gains momentum. If this does not run in the remaining time of the LS today, there is strong probability the MMs will indeed bring the price back down for some more filling of long orders, perhaps below the whole Level. {image}
What kind of fibo indicator you have on the chart showing numbered levels?
  • #80,559
  • Apr 14, 2015 2:05pm Apr 14, 2015 2:05pm
Quoting qFish
Using H4 dragon for trend direction, here are my trade progress since after NFP (+2000 pips closed, with -200 open). Only UJ left with outstanding trades open but looks like it'll hit my tp soon : {image} {image} {image} {image}
Today was a good day for me . Most outstanding trades closed. Here's my progress since NFP (+5570.2 Pips Closed, -353.4 Pips Open):
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insanity: Doing the same thing over... and expecting different results -AE
  • #80,560
  • Apr 14, 2015 2:24pm Apr 14, 2015 2:24pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} xxxJPY Pairs For xxxJPY pairs, I think the grand perspective is bearish. But a true trend change from them all being bullish to becoming bearish entails ranging. And the ranging can make trend identification more difficult if it is wide ranging, which is what is going on. In few words, I think SM is preparing for the start of a major bear trend. I think their plan is to keep asking the MMs to fill short orders at various higher prices until there are absolutely no long suckers left. This can take some time. They are going to suck as much...
Agree with you on XXX JPY downtrend. at least for the next few months while US mkts and others will probably undergo corrections. Then maybe back to the highs and then a full out downtrend for years to come.
Got a question regarding Daily volume vs H4 volume. If one looks at EU, GU on daily chart we can see a green (bearish) volume for today's action. But when looking at NU and AU, it's not there on the Daily, but it is on H4 for all four..... what does this tell us about EU GU vs AU NU in regards to this ? Thanks TAH.
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