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Sonic R. System

  • #80,521
  • Edited 8:56am Apr 11, 2015 7:52am | Edited 8:56am
Quoting Ck87
Thanks, any thoughts on this monthly chart -- volume more specifically? Perhaps the big banking thieves are close to done on this one and then will begin slaughtering shorts for a while..... I'm sure you realize how many shorts would be destroyed if EU were to have a decent size (10% or more) swing to the upside in coming months/years.{quote} {image}
Minute to Month, Where are the Clues?

For me, the Month chart verifies there is reason for a bounce because price is at an area of previous bouncing both ways. That makes it a significant price area. It is mid-way between two important FR retrace levels. Will price bounce up or down? We cannot know this by looking at the Month chart, or any TF chart! What we can do is to gather in clues from PVSRA, best found on the lower TF charts, to help us with our trading decisions.

Remember this. If trading successfully was a simple matter at looking any or all TF charts then we would all be easily getting rich. Right? And experience teaches us that is not the case! The ingredients to successful trading include more than just looking at price action on charts. The ingredients include learning how the market really works and learning what kind of analysis is going to yield the best clues as to what the market makers are doing. If we learn how the market REALLY works, and obtain the clues needed to see what the MMs are currently doing, we have the best chance possible to spot a good entry in the right direction. This has the potential to be a more profitable trading method.

Remember also, sometimes from hour to hour the MMs will not decide yet what their next move will be. Why? Their next move will depend on the moves everyone else is currently making! Simply put, this is all like a game of chess. The MMs make their next move based on and after most everyone else of importance has made theirs. They know the orders waiting to be filled above and below the current price. And they wait sometimes for the rest of the market to do it's "guessing" to see how the price queue shapes up. Their next move might be a surprise to many, because they force price in a directional sequence and for distances that will make them the most profit. That, and only that, is their prime directive.

PVSRA and Patience,
tah
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  • #80,522
  • Apr 11, 2015 12:32pm Apr 11, 2015 12:32pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} Minute to Month, Where are the Clues? For me, the Month chart verifies there is reason for a bounce because price is at an area of previous bouncing both ways. That makes it a significant price area. It is mid-way between two important FR retrace levels. Will price bounce up or down? We cannot know this by looking at the Month chart, or any TF chart! What we can do is to gather in clues from PVSRA, best found on the lower TF charts, to help us with our trading decisions. Remember this. If trading successfully was a simple matter at looking...
Good points.. ty.
  • #80,523
  • Apr 11, 2015 10:21pm Apr 11, 2015 10:21pm
Quoting denmas
Loeil and Gupito really inspire me to find the very safe style of trading. Finally I prefer GUPITO for my style of trading. Have a nice weekend traders {image} {image}
what is your trading style? open the position safely, and hold as long as possible?
  • #80,524
  • Apr 12, 2015 6:14am Apr 12, 2015 6:14am
My last contribution to this group before enlisting next thursday:
GBPJPY:
On the weekly chart, price seem to have closed below the dragon, closing at 175.82 beyond the low of the dragon, with it closing at the lows with big volumes. This could be seen in both ways, both as a stop hunting to hunt stops in the range from 176.4 to 175.4 range, and should be perceived as such. Supporting this analysis is that of the chart on a daily range, with above average volumes playing up prices back into dragon on thursday before making prices fall back down on friday, indicating a significant shorting tendency.
However, shortists should be careful when shorting on monday for this pair due to JPY pairs ( and most pairs in general) tend to enjoy a bit of a retracements during mondays back in the opposite direction for the MMs to load more shorts. A preferred area to short would be around 177.00 whole number level as this level seems to be a substantial level that the pair have held up back in the end of March. Counter trend back up to the price might carry some risk due to the big movements seen on last thursday and friday.Intraday levels to take note of could be that of the current levels at around 177.2 and 176.6, and if the large support ahead at 175.1 is broken with sufficient market interest prices could move further down to 172.8 and 173.9. Exercise *extreme* caution when going long since the consensus is that both daily and weekly are showing long interests.
AUDUSD:
The week of 6-10 April ended as a bull price movement upwards with a slight bit of a tail towards the end with prices being pushed down from the dragon on Friday on the daily chart. This pair presents somewhat of a challenge, due to the nature of the price movements of the USD (and hence extrapolated to all major USD pairs) have been in a range since mid January. USD have been in such strength in the last year up to January this year, and current price actions do prefer that of a consolidation.
The bias is somewhat on that of a bull side, due to recent volumes picking up on upwards price swings (during 12 and 18 arch, as well as 7 April) and that this prices seems to drive towards that below the major pinkbra on the 3rd of Feb, below the price of 0.7630. Thus all of these movements can be seen as a stop hunting on weak longs with long range stops around these areas. Of course if price do not break above 0.7940 it cannot be gauged as a major reversal of trends, but the bias could still be slanted upon the bull side, but with figures coming up on employment rates on the AUD side, a possible Chinese trade balance tomorrow and some key figures on the US economy coming up (CPI/PPI) on the USD side of the pair are coming up would be expected to move the markets.
A good level to long would be where the weak long stops are, around 0.7630 and 0.7580, with stops wide enough to withstand potential stop hunting. Going short would bear certain risks, and should be had with caution, ahtough on smaller time frames shorts could still yield good return.
--
Will be much less active after next thursday, so I wish all happy trading and green profits. Huat arr.
No pictures, but prices are indicated and can be referred to on your own charts. Time stamps are provided above too. My best to all here due to my enlistment into the military. Good luck and prosper long.
  • #80,525
  • Apr 12, 2015 9:11am Apr 12, 2015 9:11am
Quoting spore.trader
{quote} what is your trading style? open the position safely, and hold as long as possible?
What style do I apply? I am a sonicer. I apply PVSRA, but I prefer classic to scout. The most important thing I get from GUPITO is NEVER LET THE MM HUNT YOUR SL MORE THAN 20. I also avoid adding my EP when I get red. Fold fast when it is gonna be big red. Switch if dragon drives me to switch. Add if dragon shows me to add. Hold if trend + dragon tells me to hold. I avoid AVERAGING as LOEIL/TAH do because AVERAGING means I hope to be "green". HOPE=VIRUS (as Gupito tells me).

So my style is HOLD, FOLD, ADD, SWITCH
  • #80,526
  • Apr 12, 2015 9:28am Apr 12, 2015 9:28am
Quoting tjinhean
My last contribution to this group before enlisting next thursday: GBPJPY: On the weekly chart, price seem to have closed below the dragon, closing at 175.82 beyond the low of the dragon, with it closing at the lows with big volumes. This could be seen in both ways, both as a stop hunting to hunt stops in the range from 176.4 to 175.4 range, and should be perceived as such. Supporting this analysis is that of the chart on a daily range, with above average volumes playing up prices back into dragon on thursday before making prices fall back down...
See u around Ah Tey..

Take Care of yourself..


Sonic
  • #80,527
  • Edited 3:59pm Apr 12, 2015 3:02pm | Edited 3:59pm
Quoting tjinhean
My last contribution to this group before enlisting next thursday: GBPJPY: On the weekly chart, price seem to have closed below the dragon, closing at 175.82 beyond the low of the dragon, with it closing at the lows with big volumes. This could be seen in both ways, both as a stop hunting to hunt stops in the range from 176.4 to 175.4 range, and should be perceived as such. Supporting this analysis is that of the chart on a daily range, with above average volumes playing up prices back into dragon on thursday before making prices fall back down...
tjinhean,

I sent a PM to you, but just in case you don't get it, my best wishes and prayers go with you on this new journey you are about to embark on,......that God be with you and you be with Him as you learn, endure and grow.

Sincerely,
tah
  • #80,528
  • Apr 12, 2015 6:10pm Apr 12, 2015 6:10pm
NZDUSD Signal:

This signal is PVSRA based. In past days the MMs have repeatedly brought price back down to the 1/4 Level. Also, in past days the volumes at chart lows are higher than at the chart highs. Both together would indicate repeated order filling of longs at lows is what the MMs have recently been doing. Price is ranging (what the MMs do with price when filling orders) and it might drop lower again, as it did on Friday, but overall this looks bullish.

tah
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  • #80,529
  • Apr 12, 2015 6:12pm Apr 12, 2015 6:12pm
NZDUSD Long Trade Open:

This long trade is PVSRA based (see signal above). Because price is ranging and this is just the wee hours of a new week, no TP is yet set. Price might go lower again, as it did Friday, in which case I might add to this trade.
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  • #80,530
  • Apr 12, 2015 8:45pm Apr 12, 2015 8:45pm
Quoting denmas
{quote} What style do I apply? I am a sonicer. I apply PVSRA, but I prefer classic to scout. The most important thing I get from GUPITO is NEVER LET THE MM HUNT YOUR SL MORE THAN 20. I also avoid adding my EP when I get red. Fold fast when it is gonna be big red. Switch if dragon drives me to switch. Add if dragon shows me to add. Hold if trend + dragon tells me to hold. I avoid AVERAGING as LOEIL/TAH do because AVERAGING means I hope to be "green". HOPE=VIRUS (as Gupito tells me). So my style is HOLD, FOLD, ADD, SWITCH
Thanks you explain. totally agree with you!
  • #80,531
  • Apr 13, 2015 2:43am Apr 13, 2015 2:43am
Quoting spore.trader
{quote} Thanks you explain. totally agree with you!
I find nice classic in M5. I count my risk then JUMP and DRIVE the dragon. Closed for 2.02%
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  • #80,532
  • Apr 13, 2015 4:14am Apr 13, 2015 4:14am
My take on EURJPY : Short possible , TPs : DS1 , 127.00 or even RDL
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Man lie, woman lie, numbers don't
  • #80,533
  • Apr 13, 2015 4:25am Apr 13, 2015 4:25am
Quoting MisterG
NZDUSD + 124 pips {image} Plus banksters are up to something on GBPUSD {image} To be honest I am expecting last one push down , today , but who knows , maybe it is similar to EJ as TAH pointed out
GBPUSD : And we had a nice 70 pips of a down swing , as predicted , unfortunately it happend later , so I was not prepared to trade it
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Man lie, woman lie, numbers don't
  • #80,534
  • Apr 13, 2015 4:42am Apr 13, 2015 4:42am
Hi everyone..im reza from malaysia..the newbiest in forex trading..
Luckily in the state of concious incompetence..=)
I just want to ask you guys about EJ H1..
I noticed last 3 hours the volume of green candle increase but Candlestick getting smaller..
And the red volume close above the green candle..
So this pattern, does it meant PVRSA bearsih in control?
I also attached the picture...
Hope you all can clear my mind..

Soh
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  • #80,535
  • Apr 13, 2015 5:04am Apr 13, 2015 5:04am
Dollar index, does the mm's sell in every up move to there's shorts?
every up swing the volume is rising.. what do you think?

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  • #80,536
  • Apr 13, 2015 6:31am Apr 13, 2015 6:31am
hi TAH
what is you idea about gold
  • #80,537
  • Apr 13, 2015 7:45am Apr 13, 2015 7:45am
Quoting MisterG
My take on EURJPY : Short possible , TPs : DS1 , 127.00 or even RDL {image} {image} {image}
I am getting good at this ;]
EURJPY short closed + 1374 pips
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Man lie, woman lie, numbers don't
  • #80,538
  • Apr 13, 2015 8:03am Apr 13, 2015 8:03am
Quoting qFish
Using H4 dragon for trend direction, here are my trade progress since after NFP (+2000 pips closed, with -200 open). Only UJ left with outstanding trades open but looks like it'll hit my tp soon : {image} {image} {image} {image}
UJ Closed! And re-entered:
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insanity: Doing the same thing over... and expecting different results -AE
  • #80,539
  • Apr 13, 2015 11:00am Apr 13, 2015 11:00am
Anyone having trouble with trade explorer , lately I have created one and now I can't even enter it. I see only stats in my profile , they seem to be correct. I can't even delete it or create a new one , some security issue pops up , any ideas how to solve it ? Maybe in MT4 options ?
Man lie, woman lie, numbers don't
  • #80,540
  • Apr 13, 2015 11:43am Apr 13, 2015 11:43am
Quoting MisterG
Anyone having trouble with trade explorer , lately I have created one and now I can't even enter it. I see only stats in my profile , they seem to be correct. I can't even delete it or create a new one , some security issue pops up , any ideas how to solve it ? Maybe in MT4 options ?
I had the same, reseting default settings on profile page fixed it for me. (if you mean FF trade explorer)
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