EURUSD | Page 49001 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Related Instruments

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Similar Threads

MT4: how to change "EURUSD" to "#EURUSD"? 3 replies

Re: EurUsd short term 15 replies

did oanda just drop its spread for eurusd to 1 pip? 11 replies

EA for multiple lot limit order for EURUSD 0 replies

NFP nice bump up on EURUSD 2 replies

Attachments: EURUSD
Exit Attachments

EURUSD

  • #980,001
  • Apr 10, 2015 9:53pm Apr 10, 2015 9:53pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} Thanks for your 3-5 year fundamental forecast and advice to randomly short. Any charts? Any idea, on average, how far the currency market tends to discount interest rate differentials? Any idea how fundamentals have affected long term charts? Nope. {image}
I dont need no charts all i can see is a 1-2 year window inthe future for usd to continue its strengthagainst the euro because of us rate hikes and ecb continuing the easing
You can scratch your head as much as you want and show me pretty charts etc etc, with multi year trendlines and stuff
If you got bloomberg why dont you do a correlation chart between the us fed vs ecb interest rate swaption spread differential chart and plot it against the eurusd chart
You'll realise the us vs euro spread increasing and when this happens eurusd falls
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #980,002
  • Apr 10, 2015 10:21pm Apr 10, 2015 10:21pm
anyone have an TR Eikon platform can plot me a EURUSD chart on Monthly and a USDTIRS=RR line graph on the same monthly chart and see what is the reasoning behind the recent drop on EURUSD.

i did this back in october to see they have a negative correlation. if USDTIRS=RR chart starts to tick up (which it is because of fed about to hike rates, increasing the treasury swap spreads... this in turn is fueling the USD strength.

did that chart comparison back when EURUSD is above 1.22 only to realise 1.22 is gona break cuz the swap spread was gona start rising.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #980,003
  • Apr 11, 2015 12:24am Apr 11, 2015 12:24am
Quoting Ck87
{quote} At these levels, for me, even the daily chart is noise. I'm taking a more long term (Monthly chart) approach to what we're seeing now. Perhaps a retouch of this monthly TL is coming, which would make perfect sense, and possibly another LL toward 1.034 area..... I'm gonna be a fool and say we're very, very close to a LT bottom, if it hasn't been made already. {image}
what if i told you....the problem is only to know if there will be a supply at 1.07 before it happens...the 560+ is secured part of the short button, supply zone if you prefer...below is much a *risky* area...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: below is such a noisy area....jpg Size: 115 KB
Attached Image
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #980,004
  • Edited 2:09am Apr 11, 2015 1:04am | Edited 2:09am
Quoting gatorinla
0596 close, probably not bullish. it was below 0610
do you know why i hate you to speak with closes?...because i have 6086(BID) on my broker Platform + 6086(BID) on my MT4 demo which are not linked as far i know, (i often have 0.4 to 1.2 pips difference between them)... for me the bottom is 459 not 471, and it mean the 11.8 is 606 not 610 or 612... (606 mid of 576 636 567 is 9 pips lower)...
i still Wonder what a close at 596 608 or 615 can change anyway?... still no LL/st shot...it will happens next week...my short 629 closed...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: the close is confusing thing.....jpg Size: 136 KB
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #980,005
  • Apr 11, 2015 1:23am Apr 11, 2015 1:23am
I am the friend of Randomness. When it is bull, it bull. When it is bear, it bear. Existing trend continue unless it prove otherwise, it only get proved when hindsight shown on chart. Is there accurate causality? or is there probability causality? The only thing to manage is money management. Flow with the direction. Entry at pullback rather than "greater foolish" price. Flow, flow, flow, and your equity will start to fly, fly, fly.
  • #980,006
  • Apr 11, 2015 1:58am Apr 11, 2015 1:58am
1.0555 needs to be broken to confirm the continuation towards new year lows. Only level to watch for for now regarding the downside. To the upside, 23.6% retracement is major resistance lying around 1.0678.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: image.jpg Size: 192 KB
"The policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all."
  • #980,007
  • Apr 11, 2015 2:21am Apr 11, 2015 2:21am
ok bearish week ,fair enough bears , last h12 is bullish ,could be tasks were required like eur nzd
its range ,I mean really large range
bears must take low for continuation ,neutral as to kick off ,there is this major respected rising tl monthly and monthly has changed
as of now long wick to upside this month last month long wick to downside ,monthly don't lie change is coming imo but its monthly
so far and market will always test resolve
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USD (DFB).png Size: 25 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: NZD (DFB).png Size: 22 KB
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #980,008
  • Apr 11, 2015 2:24am Apr 11, 2015 2:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} u want me to answer a question that nobody knows the answer to. we can sit here and ask irrelevant questions to things that can't be answered truthfully. what's the next question? why dont it drop to 1.0 immediately. i trade on probabilities of past moves repeating. not on possibilities, i look for them, but need a catalyst to trade them and a probability of a good outcome. we are just above 1.0. i can't trade like a village boy, in a canoe. i am in the middle of the ocean here with super tankers passing...
(green): we all are in same boat...
(pink): yes this is traders job, to try to find answers... if I did not like the trading I will something else, such as selling ice cream on the beach watching the pretty girls sunbathing... the reality is, i do not like the hot sun...
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #980,009
  • Apr 11, 2015 2:24am Apr 11, 2015 2:24am
trading within one large h12 pretty much this market will make a monkey out of anyone
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USD (DFB).png Size: 17 KB
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #980,010
  • Apr 11, 2015 2:28am Apr 11, 2015 2:28am
May not possible to drop further without ECB's green signal.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDMonthly.png Size: 67 KB
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #980,011
  • Apr 11, 2015 2:32am Apr 11, 2015 2:32am
I have same chart ,to me its definitely being considered


Quoting forexings
May not possible to drop further without ECB's green signal. {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USD (DFB).png Size: 24 KB
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #980,012
  • Apr 11, 2015 2:38am Apr 11, 2015 2:38am
for continuation weekly must be bearish next week ,strong resolve is good imo which you have because its designed to break that

Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} I dont need no charts all i can see is a 1-2 year window inthe future for usd to continue its strengthagainst the euro because of us rate hikes and ecb continuing the easing You can scratch your head as much as you want and show me pretty charts etc etc, with multi year trendlines and stuff If you got bloomberg why dont you do a correlation chart between the us fed vs ecb interest rate swaption spread differential chart and plot it against the eurusd chart You'll realise the us vs euro spread increasing and when this happens eurusd falls...
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #980,013
  • Apr 11, 2015 2:51am Apr 11, 2015 2:51am
Quoting Bones
for continuation weekly must be bearish next week ,strong resolve is good imo which you have because its designed to break that {quote}
bones, if you went long here at the trend line, where would your target be?
  • #980,014
  • Apr 11, 2015 2:59am Apr 11, 2015 2:59am
If it turns I was thinking up to the break down area ,low area must hold could be thats a doji next ,ideally slightly green


Quoting big_pipin
{quote} bones, if you went long here at the trend line, where would your target be?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USD (DFB).png Size: 16 KB
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #980,015
  • Apr 11, 2015 3:36am Apr 11, 2015 3:36am
Gosh i think the euro$ is exhausted.....time to go long.....how is that COT report looking like..?
  • #980,016
  • Apr 11, 2015 3:49am Apr 11, 2015 3:49am
kens slated me on this ,all I said is tls that are drawn in mid air can not be right
fact is then that price then fell straight to support
but as usual I put my neck on line ,with a possible pattern slightly defective ,subject to support holding ,


http://fxwords.com/b/bullish-three-l...ndlestick.html
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD (DFB).png Size: 20 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDLFXMonthly.png Size: 21 KB
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #980,017
  • Apr 11, 2015 4:09am Apr 11, 2015 4:09am
Hey Scott no time to chat this weekend ,have a good one my friend

Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} Thanks for your 3-5 year fundamental forecast and advice to randomly short. Any charts? Any idea, on average, how far the currency market tends to discount interest rate differentials? Any idea how fundamentals have affected long term charts? Nope. {image}
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #980,018
  • Edited 4:58am Apr 11, 2015 4:44am | Edited 4:58am
Quoting Ck87
{quote} At these levels, for me, even the daily chart is noise. I'm taking a more long term (Monthly chart) approach to what we're seeing now. Perhaps a retouch of this monthly TL is coming, which would make perfect sense, and possibly another LL toward 1.034 area..... I'm gonna be a fool and say we're very, very close to a LT bottom, if it hasn't been made already. {image}
that recent bottom you're showing is a small sub #. tl dont show power, only levels do. that tl is time added with movement. it can makes things look smoother or easier to see. what makes that tl is there, before u know where to put those lines. how many monthly have failed on this drop? all of them, up to the one u show.. eventually one will be right, maybe its the one u show. the odds are, it's not. we made a LL and it stopped just below 0471 a small sub between 1.399x an 1.0... 399x is not the largest high on the chart ..

if u pull from 1.603x to 1.0 u may find 1.1425.. and figure 1.0712 .. and other sub levels.. the main thing for me is the 1/4 closed below 1425 and 1.1067 (where the dt was at 1.105x) and it had bounced from 0712 to 1/2 apple level and failed, near dt... atm we just closed a week after this rejection and below 1.0712. i dont need a following, i posted while at 1.102x i will not be popular, because many of u were posting long biased things in the face of a dt, that hasn't even been challenged.. . and i pro 1.0 or lower. even then, if the dt was broken, 1.1067 was still there and a retrace to 1.0832 was normal.. many would have probably drowned on that retrace, because its was below 0942 and 0998.. against trend and ecb
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #980,019
  • Apr 11, 2015 4:47am Apr 11, 2015 4:47am
He he ....

Love those bragging in this business and harassing newbies ....... They are always right even they are left ...........
  • #980,020
  • Apr 11, 2015 4:51am Apr 11, 2015 4:51am
I drew an imaginary line on my chart- buckle up, we're going to 1.36
494 traders viewing now