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  • #978,601
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:04am Apr 8, 2015 2:04am
Quoting sisse
{quote} long time no see you mate ... Yeap can't argue with that, the good posters rarely share thoughts when the thread becomes a whore house... in the old times there were trolls and "muppets" now there are the "know it all kids" who make impossible to have more than two posts in a row with a decent discussion ... In any case, what is your general view for the euro ? sisse
Yes its been quite some time, i hope you are fine mate

Got news from PTL sometimes?

About the euro, we are still clearly in downtrend, looking at weekly/monthly its hard to go against it....but...

...looking at commodities they seem to want a retracement which could help dollar giving up some gains. That's what i'm looking at

If only we could rise near 1,12xx/1,13xx to chance some shorts

So far its ranging, so i'm going with the daily flow

Are you still short?
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #978,602
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:05am Apr 8, 2015 2:05am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Yes, very important in my charts as well. I have GU forming range @ 1,491 monthly (below another M-range,4815 low of grey range) with top @ your number and bottom 1,474. But as I think it is start of a bull move, 1 retest of 474 could be enough and we may go chop to range top and break - , 491...,486...,498 ... ,491... break. Like this. Brutal MS paint analysis again. edit: also tracking 178,4 on GJ. {image}
My tp forGJ 179

Quoting Idkurv
{quote} My tp forGJ 179
180 is reachable too btw
  • #978,603
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:10am Apr 8, 2015 2:10am
Quoting KzX
I'm gonna be laughing so hard it's gonna pop. You need two D closes in a row under 1.08 for EU to turn bearish again... But what do I know I started trading yesterday
imo - below the daily 21 ema , below the daily 50 ma below the daily 200 ma below the daily 21 and below the weekly pivot , bouncing off of weekly demand but it is the most bullish its been since this move in may 2014 if weekly demand holds with tweezer formation 1 12830
  • #978,604
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:13am Apr 8, 2015 2:13am
Is it possible to move like this
BTW still waiting the PMI data
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  • #978,605
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:13am Apr 8, 2015 2:13am
Quoting Idkurv
{quote} Hi Tom, I long GU too, tp 1.5, Longer term tp 1.54
I hope I manage to stay on same leverage till then . But USD bull move was very strong and had its reasons. Am afraid I wont make it with full vagon. Got 5055 monthly ...5200...5260...5346 monthly. But pretty long way to go, as we need to get through 4972-498. Very thick top of this low zone. Wont be easy + elections still not finished - could produce heavy unstability = wild chop. Think they are gonna vote on 7th May and my plan is for PA to be @ 5055 till then. Hope it works .
GL to you.

edit: Omg while chatting here I got quite rich. Whopeee . What a move. 1,491
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #978,606
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:14am Apr 8, 2015 2:14am
Quoting Idkurv
{quote} My tp forGJ 179 {quote} 180 is reachable too btw
GJ is stopped cause of UJ sell off. EU just broke daily pivot at 08586 so we might need to wait
  • #978,607
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:20am Apr 8, 2015 2:20am
Quoting CuddlesK
Is it possible to move like this BTW still waiting the PMI data {image}
In case we go back to 1.105 and still want to play a bearish outcome, I'd would rather play a "false break" setup. We have been trying to break 1.105 a few times now if we go there again I don't think there will be so many people buying the resistance. Something like this?
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  • #978,608
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:22am Apr 8, 2015 2:22am
My plan
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  • #978,609
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:23am Apr 8, 2015 2:23am
Quoting guilhemch
{quote} In case we go back to 1.105 and still want to play a bearish outcome, I'd would rather play a "false break" setup. We have been trying to break 1.105 a few times now if we go there again I don't think there will be so many people buying the resistance. Something like this? {image}

Totally agree. I think the yearly pivot of January close will come first before the trend continues.
  • #978,610
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:23am Apr 8, 2015 2:23am
Quoting KzX
I'm gonna be laughing so hard if it's gonna pop. You need two D closes in a row under 1.08 for EU to turn bearish again... But what do I know I started trading yesterday


Now who was short in the morning...gosh
  • #978,611
  • Edited 2:33am Apr 8, 2015 2:23am | Edited 2:33am
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keeps bouncing off of monthly fib level 138 - a nice break should throw us up to my buy zone and next monthly fib level
  • #978,612
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:25am Apr 8, 2015 2:25am
Quoting KzX
{quote} Now who was short in the morning...gosh

Me............and still am.. thanks........
All My Opinions, Are Just That, My Opinion!!!
  • #978,613
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:26am Apr 8, 2015 2:26am
Pssst, god of thunder never lies...
  • #978,614
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:27am Apr 8, 2015 2:27am
Quoting EUROtech
{quote} Totally agree. I think the yearly pivot of January close will come first before the trend continues.
I also have a strong sentiment about the yearly S1 being the next resistance. However I would not be surprised to see a lack of buyers after because the fundamentals are still very bearish for the EUR/USD (USD raise increase). That's why we will need to keep the false break in mind in case it happens.
  • #978,615
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:28am Apr 8, 2015 2:28am
We touched yesterday the pivot for April and now we are back up to 1.1149, with a possible daily shadow upward of 50-100 pips and a close at around 1.1149. Not sure that it happens today but certainly this week. Then the 5th leg down close to parity but that's the job for the next 2-4 months. Any similar views?
  • #978,616
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:29am Apr 8, 2015 2:29am
Quoting KzX
Pssst, god of thunder never lies...

Short from 1.1020 yesterday 60 pip stop loss... and 1.0860 60 pip stoploss.... and your longs....??

Edit also long Usd/Cad 2450
All My Opinions, Are Just That, My Opinion!!!
  • #978,617
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:32am Apr 8, 2015 2:32am
Quoting guilhemch
{quote} I also have a strong sentiment about the yearly S1 being the next resistance. However I would not be surprised to see a lack of buyers after because the fundamentals are still very bearish for the EUR/USD (USD raise increase). That's why we will need to keep the false break in mind in case it happens.
Exactly, a false breakout is brewing
  • #978,618
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:35am Apr 8, 2015 2:35am
Quoting EUROtech
We touched yesterday the pivot for April and now we are back up to 1.1149, with a possible daily shadow upward of 50-100 pips and a close at around 1.1149. Not sure that it happens today but certainly this week. Then the 5th leg down close to parity but that's the job for the next 2-4 months. Any similar views?
1.1150 for me which is monthly R1 but it first need to break week PP at 091
  • #978,619
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:37am Apr 8, 2015 2:37am
Quoting shackleton
{quote} O the irony of this Bryan/Fxtyrant...isn't that exactly what you are eg privately educated at school, privately educated at college and then straight into an IB on the back of family connections? Your hypocrisy is astonishing. I really don't mind reading your analyses, some if it I agree with and it is always interesting. The reason I started ignoring* you was because of your most recent racist outburst ("stinking caucasians"). How many bans now since you started posting as BGuguen? Given the complete and utter lack of humility and perspective...
News is crap all the rest is long term fib levels in my opinion, monthly chart with a 61 retrace forcasted this drop 2008
  • #978,620
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:37am Apr 8, 2015 2:37am
Quoting scouse12345
{quote} Short from 1.1020 yesterday 60 pip stop loss... and 1.0860 60 pip stoploss.... and your longs....?? Edit also long Usd/Cad 2450
Kept longing for 3 weeks... I'm not brag alike type, not gonna paste 60 positions here, wrong address.
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